پاسخ به جرد کوشنر:
The argument you've made is filled with inaccuracies, oversimplifications, and dangerous assumptions. Contrary to your claim, Israel’s attempt to neutralize Hezbollah will not bring about regional peace, as you define it.
First, Hezbollah cannot be neutralized. It is a grassroots movement that will only re-emerge with more resolve. It’s absurd to think you can physically destroy a liberation movement that is deeply rooted in a spirit of resistance. The more people you kill, injure, or humiliate, the more you will drive new recruits to Hezbollah and similar liberation movements.
Second, the claim that Iranian “proxies” are the ones threatening Christians, Muslims, and Jews in the region is not supported by historical facts. Under Qassem Soleimani’s leadership, Iran saved millions of Yazidis, Kurds, and Christians from the grip of ISIS in Iraq. Likewise, Hezbollah played a major role in stabilizing Syria and preventing ISIS and similar groups from turning it into a slaughterhouse for religious minorities. Without Iran and Hezbollah, Takfiri extremists would have carried out widespread ethnic cleansing in the region. This is why millions of people in West Asia and beyond mourned General Soleimani when your father-in-law assassinated him.
Third, claiming that Hezbollah is the backbone of Iran’s deterrence against Israel oversimplifies Iran’s capabilities and overlooks its strategic depth. Iran is the oldest civilization in the region, with a population of over 88 million people united by strong patriotism and national pride. It didn’t survive for centuries in this volatile region by relying on Hezbollah. The idea that Iran has "never won a war" is also historically inaccurate. Previous U.S. administrations recognized Iran’s importance and sought its assistance in times of desperation! George H. W. Bush sought Iran's help in Lebanon; Clinton asked for Iran's support in the Bosnian war to restore the balance of power on the battlefield, leading to the Dayton Accord; and George W. Bush relied on Iran’s military assistance and strategic knowledge to defeat the Taliban and Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan in the early 2000s. Iran’s military and soft power extend far beyond Hezbollah. Do not mistake Iran's current restraint as a sign of weakness.
Iran has many tools at its disposal. For example, an attack on Iran, based on your misguided assumptions, would likely destroy the non-proliferation regime and leave Israel facing an even more precarious security landscape.
Fourth, the idea that “Iran is stuck in the old Middle East while the GCC is sprinting toward the future" is also flawed. While the GCC countries have modernized, their development depends heavily on regional stability, which cannot be achieved by undermining Iran. In fact, trying to exclude Iran from the new regional order or ignoring its legitimate security and economic interests will only backfire, at the expense of everyone in the entire region. Arab nations surrounding Iran seem to have learned through experience that they can no longer ignore Iran’s reality or outsource their security to Western powers, let alone to Israel. They need to come to terms with Iran as a strong neighbor that is here to stay.
You cannot sit in the U.S. and engineer a new regional order by disregarding the vital interests of the most influential country in the region or by trying to isolate and contain a nation of 88 million people. This strategy has failed before, and it will fail again. Encouraging Israel to attack Iran's nuclear facilities based on the assumption that “Iran is exposed” is a dangerous miscalculation.
Iran has outlined a plan to build a "strong region" in collaboration with its Arab neighbors, which could lead to the creation of an economic zone and a local regional security regime. This offers the best chance for lasting stability and security in the region. Maybe the last one!
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