JMFS Research Official

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JMFS Research Official (English)

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JMFS Research Official

21 Nov, 03:25

JMFS DERIVATIVES: Nifty view point

_broader view_ : volatile near ear key 200 moving avg support 23500+/-150 pts

Options 28 nov OI major set at 23000 pe & 24800 CE

Nov : FII sold 34300+ crs in cash & 1969 crs in fut. Vix at 16.18 %

_Intra view_
👉23500 pivot level. (Moving AVG support)
👉23300 pe & 23800 CE define today support & resistance
👉OI PCR 0.8 CE writing presence high at 23800.

FII bought 1983 crs yesterday in nifty with option selling of 11111 crs

_direction for the day_
Gifty nifty hints -ve open
👉 Nifty trying to get support on INTRADAY. No positional evidence as yet.

Refer research disclaimers on
https://bit.ly/3UN5lxi

672

JMFS Research Official

21 Nov, 02:23

*JMFS ViewPoint: FinNifty Outlook 21 NOV 2024*

- FIIs Long : Short Ratio 26% : 74%
- India VIX at 16.18
- FIIs outlook positive for indices & FnO stocks

- FNF witnessed aggressive short covering + its PCR_OI is at 0.66 indicating a slightly positive outlook

- The new weekly expiry shows the highest OI at 23500/24000 CE

- 23400 straddle also has equally high OI of more than 3k contracts & it will be crucial to watch any further OI additions to determine a further trend

- Resistance continues to be at 23500

- Immediate support at 23200

- All spot levels

🎯 *View:* A close above 23500 can lead see short covering towards 23800++ levels. Hedge positions on a close below 23200.

Refer disclaimer at bit.ly/3UN5lxi

Regards,
JMFS Derivatives Research

701

JMFS Research Official

21 Nov, 02:04

BANKNIFTY Outlook 21NOV’24

Buy on dips- Sell on rise scenario continues...

Resis: 50800/51000
Support: 50000/ 49800

Only a move beyond this band will set stage for a directional move of another 1000 points in that direction.

Till then expect time correction within the mentioned range for Nov series

696

JMFS Research Official

19 Nov, 09:59

Perfect expiry range for FN today between 23200 to 23400 ✅
Shared in today’s note

824

JMFS Research Official

19 Nov, 02:29

*JMFS ViewPoint: FinNifty Outlook 19 NOV 2024*

- FIIs Long : Short Ratio 24% : 76%
- India VIX at 15.17
- FIIs outlook slightly positive for indices & FnO stocks

- FNF witnessed minor long build up + its PCR_OI is at 0.78 indicating a slightly positive outlook

- Aggressive OI additions were witnessed in 23000/23100 PE & 23300/23400 CE

- Intraday support 23200

- Expected expiry range 23200 to 23400

- All spot levels

🎯 *View:* No clear direction. Multiple resistances around 23400 (+-50 pts). Expiry move may see past these resistances, however, for any reversal, a close above 23500 is required.

Refer disclaimer at bit.ly/3UN5lxi

Regards,
JMFS Derivatives Research

883

JMFS Research Official

19 Nov, 01:53

JMFS DERIVATIVES: Nifty view point

_broader view_ : near key 200 moving avg support 23500+/-150 pts

Options 28 nov OI major set at 23000 pe & 24000 /24800 CE

Nov : FII sold 29000+ crs in cash & 4300 crs in fut. Vix at 14.78 %

_Intra view_
👉23500 pivot level. (Moving AVG support)
👉23300 pe & 23800 CE define weekly support & resistance
👉OI PCR 0.8 CE writing presence high at 23800. & 24000
FII were short 275 crs yesterday in nifty with option selling of 4300 crs

_direction for the day_
Gifty nifty hints flat/+ve open
👉expecting support formation at 23500 which is 200 dma. upside 23750/23825.. Downside support 23400-450 zone.

Refer research disclaimers on
https://bit.ly/3UN5lxi

838

JMFS Research Official

18 Nov, 03:04

JMFS DERIVATIVES: Nifty view point

_broader view_ : near key 200 moving avg support 23500+/-150 pts

Options 28 nov OI major set at 23000 pe & 24000 /24800 CE

Nov : FII sold 29000+ crs in cash & 4300 crs in fut. Vix at 14.78 %

_Intra view_
👉23500 pivot level. (Moving AVG support)
👉23300 pe & 23800 CE define weekly support & resistance
👉OI PCR 0.88 :CE writing presence high at 23500. & 24000
FII were short 868 crs yesterday in nifty with option selling of 13500 crs

_How to trade for the day_
Gifty nifty hints flat/+ve open
👉expecting support formation at 23500 which is 200 dma. upside 23750/23825.. Downside support 23400-450 zone.

Refer research disclaimers on
https://bit.ly/3UN5lxi

926

JMFS Research Official

18 Nov, 02:17

*Banknifty Outlook 18Nov'24*

👉🏼Highest OI concentration at Calls: 51000/50500
Puts: 49500/50000

👉🏼Crucial to maintain a close above 49850-900 area. Violation will see BN slide down to 49000

👉🏼Resistance: 50500/50800

👉🏼Negative set-up negates only on a close above 52000. Till then Sell on rise structure continues

851

JMFS Research Official

18 Nov, 02:08

*JMFS ViewPoint: FinNifty Outlook 18 NOV 2024*

- FIIs Long : Short Ratio 23% : 77%
- India VIX at 14.78
- FIIs outlook sideways for indices & slightly negative for FnO stocks

- FNF witnessed minor OI unwinding + its PCR_OI is at 0.59 indicating that the index is in oversold zone now

- Highest OI is at 23500/24000 CE each with more than 0.7 L contracts

- On the PE side, highest OI now shifts south to 22800 PE with 0.59 L contracts

- Intraday resistance at 23350 followed by 23500

- Intraday support at 23050 followed by 22800

- All spot levels

🎯 *View:* Previously recommended buy strategy SL hit at 23700, however, strategy was hedged with buying of 24000 PE to mitigate the downside risk. Derivatives data suggests that index is in oversold zone, although proposing a pullback recovery in a haste will not be wise. Remain hedged & crucial would be to watch for 23000/22800 support.

Refer disclaimer at bit.ly/3UN5lxi

Regards,
JMFS Derivatives Research

935

JMFS Research Official

14 Nov, 03:36

JMFS DERIVATIVES: Nifty view point

_broader view_ : near key 200 moving avg support 23500+/-150 pts

Options 28 nov OI major set at 23000 pe & 24000 CE

Nov : FII sold 27683 crs in cash & 3900 crs in fut. Vix at 15 %

_Intra view_
👉23500 pivot level. (Moving AVG support)
👉23300 pe & 23800 CE define weekly support & resistance
👉OI PCR 0.7 :CE writing presence high at 24000. & 23800
FII were short 574 crs yesterday in nifty with option buying of 11032 crs

_How to trade for the day_
Gifty nifty hints soft open. 👉 Follow first hour momentum.. expecting expiry to be at / Abv 23500. In case rallies upside 23700-750 . Downside support 23350-400 zone.

Refer research disclaimers on
https://bit.ly/3UN5lxi

1,599

JMFS Research Official

14 Nov, 03:08

Outlook 14Nov'24: BN closed at 200 DMA

🌱Again calls for a likely dead-cat bounce

📍On the flip side breach of yesterday’s low around 49900 will see further slide down to 49K

Strategy: Buy 49500 PE+50600 CE as big move on either side possible. Keep a SL on 250 pts on combo premium

1,367

JMFS Research Official

14 Nov, 03:07

BN strategies update:
As indicated BN slid by 900 pts upto 49900 on breach of 50800

As swings on both sides are huge, trading strategies need to be designed for both possibilities. Key is to maintain favorable RR ratio

Captured 900 Pts fall & lost 400 pts
Net result: +500 ✅️

1,332

JMFS Research Official

13 Nov, 02:56

JMFS DERIVATIVES: Nifty view point

_broader view_ : near key make or break level of 23800
🔴 _if sustain <23800 expect 23460/23000_ need to hedge for which 28 nov 23800 pe already reco yesterday

Options 28 nov OI major set at 23000 pe & 24500 CE

Nov : FII sold 25180 crs in cash & 2014 crs in fut. Vix at 14.59 %

_Intra view_
👉23800 pivot level.
👉23500 pe & 24200 CE define weekly support & resistance
👉OI PCR 0.7 :CE writing presence high at 24000. & 24200.
FII were short 365 crs yesterday in nifty with option selling of 1194 crs

_How to trade for the day_
Gifty nifty hints soft open. 👉Short bets if sustains< 23800
Till holds can be choppy but upside/resistance can b 23975/24050.

Refer research disclaimers on
https://bit.ly/3UN5lxi

1,637

JMFS Research Official

13 Nov, 01:59

BANKNIFTY Outlook 13Nov’24

BANKNIFTY: 51157.80 (-1.39%)

Ø India VIX: 14.59%
Ø FII Long Short ratio at 24%:76%

👉🏼 Options OI Set-up :

-- For 13Nov weekly expiry, highest OI in near strikes is at 52000 CE followed by 51500 CE & on the puts side at 50000 PE followed by 50500/51000 PE

-- OIPCR for weekly expiry at 0.55- Oversold

🎯 View : BN has approached the lower end of the oscillation range of 51000-52500

-- Probability of pull-back respecting the support level stands high.

--50800 on intraday basis and 51000 on closing basis are crucial to hold for any chances of a recovery. However breach of 50800 will see a sharp slide down to 50000 with very minor support at 50500

-- In case of pull-back, up move can be equally sharp. Immediate resistance at 51600 followed by 52000

-- Expected expiry range: 50800-51800

▶️ Trading Strategy: Buy recommendation close to 51200 level is now active. Maintain a SL of 50800. Targets intact at 52000/ 52500

↩️ For intraday in case of a move below 50800- Buy 12Nov 50000 PE as a hero or zero trade

Disclaimer: bit.ly/3UN5lxi

Regards,
JMFS Derivatives Research

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