អាចយកទៅផ្ទៀងផ្ទាត់សម្រាប់ប្រើប្រាស់បាន!!
1. Market Structure Analysis (MSA)
Higher Timeframe Trend (HTF)
• Bullish Trend Initiation: The chart shows a clear uptrend starting from October, characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
• Temporary Consolidation: After reaching a peak, BTC entered a range, showing multiple lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), indicating a short-term bearish retracement or distribution phase.
• Potential Breakout: If price holds support and breaks above recent LH, a continuation of the uptrend is expected.
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2. Liquidity & Institutional Involvement
Liquidity Pools:
• Buy-Side Liquidity (Above $100K Zone):
o There are liquidity pools around $100,000 - $110,000, where liquidity hunts might occur if smart money aims to trap retail shorts.
• Sell-Side Liquidity (Below $90K Zone):
o Several equal lows near $90,000 - $92,000 indicate a potential liquidity grab before a move higher.
o If BTC wicks into $88,000 - $90,000, we might see a Spring (Wyckoff Accumulation Phase) before a bullish continuation.
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3. Order Blocks & Institutional Zones
Key Order Blocks Identified
• Bullish Order Block (Demand Zone) at $90,000 - $92,000
o Institutional buying interest likely exists here.
o If price revisits this area, expect a bullish reaction.
• Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone) at $100,000 - $102,000
o This zone represents smart money’s previous selling area.
o A strong breakout and retest could indicate a shift in market structure.
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4. Wyckoff Schematics & Distribution
• The price action resembles a Wyckoff Distribution:
o Preliminary Supply (PSY): Strong rally in December.
o Buying Climax (BC): BTC peaks around $108,000.
o Automatic Reaction (AR): Price rejects and consolidates below $100K.
o Sign of Weakness (SOW): Recent lower highs and liquidity sweeps.
Key Confirmation:
• If BTC breaks below $90,000 - $92,000, it could enter markdown (bearish).
• If BTC bounces strongly from demand and clears $100K, a new rally may begin.
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5. Smart Money Strategy for Entry & Exit
Bullish Scenario:
• Wait for a liquidity grab around $90,000 - $92,000.
• Look for bullish engulfing or fair value gap (FVG) reaction.
• Target $100K first, then $108K+.
Bearish Scenario:
• If BTC rejects $98,000 - $100K with a bearish order block, short targeting $92,000.
• If price breaks below $90,000 without reclaiming, expect further downside to $88K or lower.
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Final Thoughts
• Short-term: BTC is consolidating, awaiting liquidity grab.
• Mid-term: A breakout above $100K confirms further bullish movement.
• Long-term: Smart money will drive price based on liquidity hunts—watch for stop runs & order blocks.