Follow the Data with Dr Frank

“The War Rages On”

The war for the future of America rages on, despite some of our recent election victories. I liken it to WW2, on the beaches of Normandy. We’ve taken huge losses, but established a beachhead. Now, it’s on to Berlin, and I’m expecting things to really heat up.

There are shorter- and longer-term challenges looming. We still have certification and inauguration pending; it ain’t over ‘til it’s over, and the fat lady hasn’t yet sung. And despite our national efforts, our elections are even less secure today than they were in 2020.

Longer term, you will recall how challenging Trump’s first term was despite a similar majority in the Senate (52 then, 53 upcoming) and a *larger* majority in the House (241 then, 218 now).

And as my graph illustrates, just because a Congressman has an “R” in front of their name does not mean that they will represent traditional values, support Trump’s agenda, nor honor their oaths to defend the Constitution.

The next few years will decide the future of our country. Now, more than ever, each of us must accept our civil responsibilities and fuel new efforts away from centralized government and toward more local control. America is an experiment in self-government, and the experiment has been failing in too many categories.

Our Founding Fathers also made a covenant with Almighty God, another category where we are failing miserably. We murder our babies, castrate our children, and traffic in humans. Corruption runs rampant in our courts and in our government. America can only be great if it is good, and only a virtuous people are capable of freedom. We need to turn our hearts toward Heaven.

Now, more than ever, is the time to clean house. Literally. It may be our last chance. Time to step up.

"Nellie's Birthday"

Nellie turned 27 yrs old today. We had a party at home with the family for her, and Daddy gave his princess some live flowers for her desk. It made her very happy!

If you’re ever with someone who has Down Syndrome, and you don’t know what say, ask them about their birthday. It seems to be a common theme for folks with DS. Nellie countdowns the days every year… for months. Tomorrow, the countdown begins to 28.

One of my favorite movie lines ever was from the movie “Peanut Butter Falcon,” where a young boy with DS is trying to become a professional wrestler, but he just can’t be ‘mean’ enough. His teacher coaches him, “Say something really, really, mean. Mean as you can…”

After some thought, the boy says, “I’m not inviting you to my birthday party!”

“Following the Data with Dr Frank”

I like to immerse myself in data, because it guides my intuition, keeps me connected to reality, and helps to expose propaganda.

For example, I just posted a series of graphs that clearly show that the Republican Party is losing influence in a large majority of states across the country. Because of this, they are losing more and more elections (remember the ‘red wave’) and increasingly failing to represent traditional conservative and constitutional values (I’ve shown graphs for this too).

Trump’s recent win is despite the RNC, not because of it. (Again, I’ve posted the data to support this position.)

So, what to do about this?

First, stop buying their horsesh*t. The data show that they are failing nationwide.

Second, drain the GOP swamp by getting involved in the GOP at the local level (there are far too many precinct vacancies). This is already happening in several counties and states across the US. (See precinctstrategy.com)

Third, take over the leadership of the party, so that you can start putting forward candidates who truly represent your values, so you’re not always having to vote for the lesser of two evils.

America is an experiment in self-government. We need to start behaving like it.

"US Voting Trends, 1980-2024" (fixed 3rd graph)

For ease of viewing, I divided the country into three portions, sorted alphabetically. Each series of twelve bars shows the Republican to Democrat voting ratio for that state for the twelve presidential elections spanning 1980 to 2024. Elections won by the Republican candidate are shown in red, those in blue were won by the Democrat.

If a state is voting more Republican, the series of bars for that state will be getting taller. If voting more Democrat, then the bars will be declining in height.

Find your state, and zoom in. Is the trend what you expected?

"US Voting Trends, 1980-2024"

For ease of viewing, I divided the country into three portions, sorted alphabetically. Each series of twelve bars shows the Republican to Democrat voting ratio for that state for the twelve presidential elections spanning 1980 to 2024. Elections won by the Republican candidate are shown in red, those in blue were won by the Democrat.

If a state is voting more Republican, the series of bars for that state will be getting taller. If voting more Democrat, then the bars will be declining in height.

Find your state, and zoom in. Is the trend what you expected?

"Updated 2024 Presidential Election Totals"

I updated my election summary graph with the latest numbers.

Essentially, the Democrat party did not turn out (especially California), and Trump's numbers went up by 3.0%.

In March of 2024, I did a calculation based upon my knowledge of 2020 Republican voting county-by-county, and projected that even if the Republican party did an amazing job registering and chasing ballots they could only increase the turnout by about 3%. I was spot on.

The point of my calculation was to show that this was the WRONG strategy for winning the election, because the voter rolls are brimming with non-real voters, making it easy to stuff ballots like they did in 2020.

Republicans are fortunate that Kamala was such a horrible candidate, or they would have failed again, like they did in 2022.
The RNC and GOPs are not interested in election integrity, nor winning elections. They are interested in power, influence, and money.

We need to drain the Republican swamp as well.