Profit and Loss metrics coming: snapshot of realised profits, summary of all wallet cohorts >100k. Note the approximate long term cost basis of each cohort and mid-year price peak
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$ROSE Trader
20 Nov, 18:43
This is my spread monitor, you can see that consistent red on the bottom, blue on the top on lower tf β this means Binance is consistently trading below Coinbase. With the inflow to Binance exchange, this looks to be a persistent distribution on Binance β a steady flow of market selling. Want to see this even out to signal they are done distributing. They will probably unload in one clip if BTC shows weakness, alternatively they will up the selling into any strength. Market needs to absorb this final unlock
$ROSE Trader
20 Nov, 18:38
I'll give a little more context: I don't mind looking to bid this zone around the daily 50EMA (this is my level around the 0.0739), watching this space atm. I am still macro long into the end of year. Just a little more caustious on balance near term. I'll show you why..
$ROSE Trader
20 Nov, 17:25
95-98 sats was the test and rn we're getting a push down from that level while we still have large inflows from unlock sitting on exchange, watching reaction at ~0.0739 but a time for caution
$ROSE Trader
19 Nov, 22:53
^^^ this figure is high but not too dramatic, still a definite headwind, we just have to see how it is absorbed now
$ROSE Trader
19 Nov, 22:49
$ROSE Trader
19 Nov, 20:14
Unlock: Binance, Coinbase and Kucoin all seeing significant inflows, a good portion of this directly from unlock
$ROSE Trader
19 Nov, 19:11
^^^ it is a good metric for identifying top heavy markets β time to get it back
$ROSE Trader
19 Nov, 19:09
This is a preview of the Wallets in Profit metric, returning soon. Like the token age will break down into wallet cohorts and overall, will also estimate nominal values in-profit and in-loss (based on tx timestamps at ROSEUSD)
$ROSE Trader
19 Nov, 19:02
Our CB wallets have been active, they have added an additional 33.7M ROSE but a bulk of that appears to be secondary market. Smaller transactions reflect market buying which I can track in arbitrage skew, the larger ones appear OTC (this was the same in our first leg up on the left of this chart). But good to see them activeποΈοΈοΈοΈοΈοΈ http://rosetrader.xyz/rose_cb_entity.html
$ROSE Trader
19 Nov, 18:55
Not much to complain about here, we're consolidating above the quarterly, daily 50EMA and 99D into the highs. Near term we have the head wind of unlock (many tokens have moved onto Binance) β watching this β as above real strength will come when we break up against ROSEBTC chart
$ROSE Trader
19 Nov, 18:47
ROSEBTC doing just as expected, retracing the bodies and showing ROSEBTC 95-98 sats to be the resistance to watch. We want to se behaviour like the blue circle, engulf and up ποΈοΈοΈοΈοΈοΈ
$ROSE Trader
19 Nov, 18:43
Macro charts: risk plot (blue) had a slight tick up post CPI, but still all tracking well β projections on track across BTC and S&P
$ROSE Trader
18 Nov, 07:34
^^ As above, weβve been anticipating this revisit - key now how we respond at this level, 95-98 Sats
$ROSE Trader
18 Nov, 00:03
Been asking some questions for the community, here's what I've had shared with me:
β’ Dawn Song is still the CEO of Oasis Labs β-> you can find Dawn talking about Oasis Labs PrivateSQL in Forbes in July 2024 (Note: she was never CEO of Oasis Protocol)
β’ Oasis Labs with Dawn are currently developing a Whitepaper on Ai
β’ Oasis Labs are collaborating with Oasis Protocol developing ROFL 2.0 (So teams are active and collaborating on core)
β’ On the VC front: A16z are still advising with Oasis Labs, so still very likely holding their ROSE bags
β’ Dawn Song is still the CEO of Oasis Labs β-> you can find Dawn talking about Oasis Labs PrivateSQL in Forbes in July 2024 (Note: she was never CEO of Oasis Protocol)
β’ Oasis Labs with Dawn are currently developing a Whitepaper on Ai
β’ Oasis Labs are collaborating with Oasis Protocol developing ROFL 2.0 (So teams are active and collaborating on core)
β’ On the VC front: A16z are still advising with Oasis Labs, so still very likely holding their ROSE bags
$ROSE Trader
17 Nov, 21:25
High fluctuations promised with Binance driving ποΈοΈοΈοΈοΈοΈ have some orders at 0.0739 just incase we get a sharp flush for monday, but rn we're still above the quarterly, still above the daily 50EMA and still above the 99D MA, my indicators still all tracking in the right direction. I suspect we just chop around in a large consolidation until leverage gets flushed out
$ROSE Trader
17 Nov, 20:22
The take home message for me from these charts: you still have many large $ROSE holders (VCs etc), some have routinely dumped with each unlock, some still hold. Beyond today (Nov 18) there will be no more VC or contributor unlocks. There is wood to chop with this unlock, but beyond today reinvestment to move the chart becomes much more appealing for those large VCs still holding β the headwind of the routine dumpers will be gone
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