studying different companies, even if you don’t buy them, gives you a perspective on different sectors.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
@cavarunagl
Chartered Accountant| Serial Entrepreneur| Investor
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474) (English)
Are you looking for expert financial advice and insights from a qualified Chartered Accountant? Look no further than the CA Varun Agarwal Telegram channel! With SEBI registration number INH000014474, CA Varun Agarwal is a reputable professional in the field of finance and investment. Who is CA Varun Agarwal? He is a Chartered Accountant with a wealth of experience in the financial industry. His expertise goes beyond just accounting - he is also a serial entrepreneur and investor, making him a well-rounded expert in all things finance-related. What is the CA Varun Agarwal Telegram channel? It is a platform where CA Varun Agarwal shares his knowledge, insights, and advice on topics such as taxation, investment strategies, financial planning, and more. Whether you are a beginner looking to understand the basics of finance or a seasoned investor seeking advanced tips, this channel has something for everyone. By following the CA Varun Agarwal Telegram channel, you can stay updated on the latest trends and developments in the finance industry. You will also have the opportunity to interact with CA Varun Agarwal directly, asking questions and getting personalized advice on your financial matters. Don't miss out on this valuable resource! Join the CA Varun Agarwal Telegram channel today and take control of your financial future with expert guidance from a seasoned professional.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
20 Jan, 02:56
Triggers for short covering can be created by one of these.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
20 Jan, 02:55
Trump as the new president. Quarterly results of Q3. Budget 2025 are the 3 main triggers to watch out for the next few weeks.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
20 Jan, 02:55
My view on the Indian markets continues to remain CAUTIOUS. Every rally is getting sold. We are looking at 23000 as the first support zone and expect the market to consolidate and build a base around this zone.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
20 Jan, 02:52
US markets had a good session on Friday. All the 3 indices closed in green. Futures are trading in red. 10Y Bond Yield is at 4.6%. Brent Oil is at 80$. Dollar Index remains elevated at 109. Most of the asian markets are trading positive. Consider global cues as slightly positive for today.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
20 Jan, 02:37
Kotak Mahindra Bank delivers better numbers than the other banks so far.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
20 Jan, 02:07
Trump will take oath today as the new president of the United States.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
20 Jan, 02:05
US markets will be closed today.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
20 Jan, 02:03
Upcoming events to watch Budget 2025.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
19 Jan, 12:52
Need suggestions for upcoming videos in the comments section
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
19 Jan, 12:52
Show some 💜
Do share with your friends.
Do share with your friends.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
19 Jan, 12:51
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474) pinned «»
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
19 Jan, 12:51
Was travelling this weekend. However managed to make it😁
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
19 Jan, 08:15
The next video coming up will be on Tata Technologies
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
09 Dec, 03:34
24400 zone will act as the support now. You should use that dip for buying. That’s our strategy
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
09 Dec, 03:34
Nifty has given a breakout from the resistance of 24400 last week. I changed my view from Cautious to Bullish. I maintain the same view. There may be some days of profit booking during this journey. But it is a buy on the dips market now.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
09 Dec, 03:28
US markets had a mixed session on Friday. Futures are also trading in red. Brent Oil is at 71$. Dollar Index is at 105. Asian Markets are also weak. 10Y Bond Yield is at 4.1%. Consider global cues as weak for today.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
09 Dec, 03:27
Ready for another exciting week?
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
08 Dec, 06:33
Pls leave your suggestions in the comments section.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
08 Dec, 06:14
Hey Guys! There seems to be an issue with my Instagram/ Facebook account. If you receive any DM from my side, pls let me know. Thanks
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
07 Dec, 03:49
Will come up with Sona Blw next
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
06 Dec, 05:38
RBI plans to cut CRR by 50bps in two tranches. This will increase liquidity + earnings of the banks.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
06 Dec, 03:37
24400 zone will act as the support now
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
06 Dec, 03:32
Volumes will be low before the policy announcement
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
06 Dec, 03:32
Rate cut is not expected. There may be 25bps cut in CRR
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
06 Dec, 03:25
What should be our strategy now? The journey up the hill will not be in a straight line. There will be several dips and these dips should be bought. Keep adding a little more to the companies that are expected to deliver good numbers in H2. They will be the winners of your portfolio in 2025.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
06 Dec, 03:23
Indian Markets had a good but extremely volatile session yesterday. I have changed my view to BULLISH as Nifty has now decisively crossed 24400 zone. I expect a fresh new all time high coming soon in 2025.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
18 Nov, 02:52
Nifty managed to protect the 200DEMA zone of 23500 and close right at it last week. Today with a weak opening, it is possible that it breaks that. But we have to keenly watch whether it bounces back immediately and closes above the 23500 zone again. If it does not bounce back, I will share a fresh strategy to deal with this kind of a weak market.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
18 Nov, 02:49
US markets had a weak session on Friday. Nasdaq fell more than 2% and S&P500 fell more than 1%. Futures are flattish. US 10Y Bond Yield is at 4.4%. Brent Oil is at 71$. Dollar Index crosses 106. Asian markets are mixed. Global cues are not very supportive today.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
18 Nov, 01:40
Mumbai goes to vote and the market is closed on Wednesday
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
17 Nov, 17:32
Zinka Logistics Solution Limited IPO: Startup business with Expensive Valuations. Can skip for now and evaluate post listing when we see consistency in profits and cashflows.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
14 Nov, 10:46
I will be attending Alpha Ideas Conference in Mumbai on 16th. If any of you are there, I would love to meet you. See you!
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
14 Nov, 03:27
If you feel my daily market commentary is helping you, you can suggest your friends also to join our channel. They may also be in panic. It will help them.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
14 Nov, 03:26
Wishing the best for your portfolio as always. Good luck. 👍
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
14 Nov, 03:25
But whatever you are buying, just keep in mind one thing. Buy only those companies who have performed well in Q2 and whose outlookf of growth for FY25 and FY26 is good. Don’t buy stocks just because they are cheap. Invest in your winners. Ignore your losers.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
14 Nov, 03:24
But to our bad luck, if next week also market continues to fall, we will become extra cautious. We will sell 1-2 weakest stocks in the portfolio and generate another 5%-10% cash. I will explain in detail about this strategy next week, if the situation arises. But at any given point of time in the market, we will not empty our portfolio in the fear of losing money and exit the market completely. Markets will not give you a chance of re-entry easily.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
14 Nov, 03:22
As an optimist, we are still hoping that Nifty will protect the 200DEMA zone. India is not doing so bad. We are doing fairly well compared to many other countries of the world. There is no scam. There is no major global war. No pandemic. I mainly see FII selling and bad earnings in FY25. That’s it. That’s why we are taking a chance of averaging the stocks at this zone also.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
14 Nov, 03:20
Now coming to the strategy. As you know we always had the view of keeping 10% cash. Then we started deploying some cash at every support zone. As this 23500 zone is also a very critical support zone. We will again deploy some cash here. But the question arises that, after deploying some more cash here, you may be more than 95% invested. You will not have much cash left. If the market breaks this zone and continues to go down further, then what to do?
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
14 Nov, 03:17
Nifty broke the support zone of 23800 yesterday and closed right at the next support zone of 23500. I am going to give the maximum importance to this support zone of 23500 as it is 200DEMA. If the market decisively breaks this zone, then I will turn extra cautious. It will be difficult to predict the downside of the market correctly, if this zone is broken. Markets may end up having a bigger price correction or a long time correction. That’s why this support zone is important. It would not fear from calling it a ‘Short Term Bear Market’ then.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
14 Nov, 03:14
I will share my analysis in two clear parts today. Firstly I will share my technical view on the markets. Secondly I will share a strategy for facing this kind of a market.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
14 Nov, 03:11
US markets had a mixed session yesterday. Futures are trading in red. US 10Y Bond Yield is at 4.5%. This is not good for the global equity markets. Brent Oil is at 72$. Dollar Index crosses 106. Not good. Macros are now turning bad. Asian markets are also weak. Global cues are not supportive today.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
13 Nov, 04:12
23800 support zone is broken. Nifty may head towards the next critical support zone of 23500.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
13 Nov, 03:25
Until then, do not try any adventures in the market. Exit the stock that has come out with pathetic results and keep some cash. Do not be fully invested. But there is no need to panic. Don’t think of exiting the market. People in this scenario generally lose hope and start distress selling. That is an indication of market bottoming out. We will see how it goes. Will be in touch.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
13 Nov, 03:23
Results season is also about to end and so by the end of this week, we will get some clarity about the market’s direction.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
13 Nov, 03:22
Nifty gave an unexpected down move yesterday and took everyone by surprise. If you see the chart, it closed right at the lower end of our support zone of 23800. If this breaks, the next support which is very critical would be 23500 zone. If this breaks then it will be major setback on the market sentiment and we will have to change our strategy accordingly.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
13 Nov, 03:20
US markets had a weak session yesterday. All the 3 indices closed in red. Futures are also weak. US 10Y Bond Yield inches up to 4.4%. Brent Oil is at 72$. Dollar Index is above 105 now. These macro indicators are not good for the emerging markets like India. Asian Markets are mixed. Consider global cues as negative for today.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
13 Nov, 03:17
Results season is in full swing. Markets will approach critical levels today
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
13 Nov, 03:17
Very important day for the markets today
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
13 Nov, 02:44
October retail inflation at 6.21% vs estimate of 6%. Highest in the last few months. This number is bad for the markets. Do not expect any rate cut in the near term.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
12 Nov, 03:18
Nifty will be out of the woods soon. It is just a matter of time.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
12 Nov, 03:18
So, this is the best time to invest in the markets. Don’t sit on much cash. Be min 90% invested. If you are sitting on cash and unable to find good stocks, buy Nifty ETF or Bank Nifty ETF.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
12 Nov, 03:17
For the second, FII cannot keep selling for long time. They also know that India is their best bet for this decade. They do not want to sell at any price. Profit booking beyond a certain point does not make sense. So, this selling will not last beyond November is my guess. So, 1-2 weeks more max.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
12 Nov, 03:15
For the first, the results season is getting over now. H2 is not going to be that great. But compared to H1 it is going to be slightly better. So the first issue is almost priced into the markets now.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
12 Nov, 03:14
There were two main reasons for this correction in the market 1. Bad domestic results in Q2 2. FII selling
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
12 Nov, 03:14
Consolidation continues in the Indian markets. Nifty tried to give a rally yesterday and it got sold off again. This has become normal nowadays. Nifty is building a base in the range of 23800-24500. As each day goes by, this base is getting stronger. My conviction that Nifty has bottomed out in this range is also getting stronger with each passing day.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
12 Nov, 03:11
US markets had a decent session yesterday. All the 3 indices closed in green. Futures are a bit weak today. US 10Y Bond Yield is at 4.3%. Brent Oil is at 71$. Dollar Index is above 105. Asian Markets are mixed. Consider global cues as neutral for today.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
11 Nov, 03:21
The same is going to happen with the monopolies in the other businesses as well like FMCG. People are not very keen in using the same tooth paste, the same shampoo like earlier. There are many new startups making more innnovative products and disrupting the market. Stay away from blue chip companies where there is a risk of this kind of disruption. You will see a slow down in growth. I would not be surprised if you see de-growth also.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
11 Nov, 03:19
Asian Paints results this time also were not good. The company is clearly losing market share and showing de-growth. We discussed one year before that the stock may not get the valuation premium as high as before. That is playing out in the market now. The stock will be very much in pain this year.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
08 Nov, 10:10
Consolidation continues. But I feel market is building a strong base for more upside.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
08 Nov, 03:09
Consolidation is the best time for creating a good portfolio. You don’t have to rush or take any decision in FOMO. Enjoy this phase of the markets too.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
08 Nov, 03:08
What are the charts saying? The markets are undergoing a healthy consolidation. I am still not too negative about the markets. I am broadening my consolidation range now. 23800 is the support zone and 24500 is the resistance. Markets may consolidate in this range for some more time till the FIIs stop selling.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
08 Nov, 03:04
Why are small caps falling as FII don’t invest in small caps? Because when the market sentiment is weak, people tend to book profits overall.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
08 Nov, 03:03
Why is this happening? Because FII selling is not stopping. They are selling 5000cr on every rise in the market.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
08 Nov, 03:03
Nifty attempted to breakout from the resistance of 24400 and failed again.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
08 Nov, 03:02
US markets had a mixed session yesterday. Dow closed in red and Nasdaq in green. Futures are trading flat. US 10Y Bond Yield is at 4.3%. Brent Oil is stable at 75$. Dollar Index is at 104. Asian markets are mixed. Consider global cues as neutral for today.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
07 Nov, 12:25
We do not do short term trading. We invest for long term based on strong fundamental research.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
07 Nov, 12:24
We have 100+ clients from India and various countries abroad. People from different backgrounds like IT professionals, Doctors, Pilots, Businessmen, Teachers etc. are a part of our clients.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
07 Nov, 12:22
🟢If you are looking for an advisor who can guide you to create wealth in the stock market, you can join our Equity Research Services. To know more feel free to contact us at [email protected]
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
07 Nov, 08:02
Niva Bupa Health Insurance Company Limited IPO: SKIP. Low profitability. Will see some results post listing and evaluate again.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
07 Nov, 08:00
ACME Solar Holdings IPO: SKIP. Evaluate post listing. IPP model. High debt. No entry barriers.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
07 Nov, 07:59
Swiggy IPO: Only Aggressive investors can APPLY
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
07 Nov, 07:58
Sagility India IPO: View SKIP: Business totally dependent on the US and complete OFS. Writing off Intangible assets will keep the PAT low. Can evaluate again post listing.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
25 Oct, 10:56
100 points recovery from the day’s low in the last one hour. Not bad. Let’s be optimistic and also be prepared for the worst at the same time.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
25 Oct, 10:09
Not hurrying. Keeping some cash.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
25 Oct, 10:09
I am in slow accumulation process in this zone
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
25 Oct, 10:08
weakness continues. But still in the above zone. Markets need a positive trigger to get stable.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
25 Oct, 02:53
You see this zone of 24000-24400 that we had marked a couple of weeks before when this correction started deepening? Nifty is taking support of this zone and has started consolidation. The free fall has stopped. Atleast for this week. I am hopeful that the markets will pause here, consolidate for a while and then begin their journey upwards. I expect some more time correction in the market.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
25 Oct, 02:50
The second reason was the major FII selling of more than 100,000cr this month. This is the highest number ever in any month.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
25 Oct, 02:50
As we discussed a couple of days back, Global markets are not impacting the Indian markets much this week. We are falling because of our own inherent weakness. Investors community was living in our own fancy world that the economy is doing excellent and the results will also be good. But the Q2 results have not been great so far. This was a major disappointment for the Indian markets. FMCG, Two wheelers etc. that are used everyday saw demand slowdown. This was unexpected by the investors community. People are a little skeptical about the growth of the economy in the short term. This led to the recent correction.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
25 Oct, 02:46
US markets had a mixed session yesterday. Dow closed in red. Whereas Nasdaq in green. Futures are also trading in green. 10Y Bond Yield is at 4.1%. Brent Oil is at 74$. Dollar Index is at 103. Macro Indicators are stable. Most of the asian markets are trading in green. Consider global cues as neutral for today.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
25 Oct, 02:36
Godavari Biorefineries Ltd IPO: SKIP: Low Margin Business. Better options available in the secondary market.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
24 Oct, 09:54
No strength in the market still
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
24 Oct, 04:43
If these both countries work together, they can become the greatest super powers
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
24 Oct, 03:04
In terms of strategy we as we have discussed that we will deploy some cash near this zone in a phased manner and hold on to the remaining cash. We stick to the same strategy. Now we are playing a wait and watch game for Nifty to choose its direction.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
24 Oct, 03:02
The good thing was that yesterday, although Nifty was weak, the midcaps and small caps showed some strength. There are little signs of the market taking support near the 24000-24400 zone. Too early to come to any conclusion but still.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
24 Oct, 03:01
Nifty attempted a recovery yesterday but failed. Selling emerged on the top and Nifty closed almost near the day’s low.
CA Varun Agarwal (SEBI RA Regn.No. INH000014474)
24 Oct, 02:59
US markets had a weak session yesterday. Nasdaq fell 1.60%. Futures are trading flat. US 10Y Bond Yield is at 4.2%. Brent Oil is at 75$. Dollar Index is at 104. Asian markets are weak. Consider global cues as weak for today.
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