The Noiseless Trader

https://youtu.be/XPsgaCKxSfw

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In this session, we will explore how to use the 'Momentify' platform to execute and automate Momentum Investing strategies effectively. This practical, hands-on approach will take your investment journey to the next level.

In the previous two sessions, we covered:

1. The foundations of Momentum Investing.
2. Backtesting methodologies.
3. Designing custom Momentum strategies.

Missed Part 1 or 2? No worries! Recordings will be provided to all Part 3 attendees.

Momentum Investing has proven to yield superior outcomes compared to traditional value or growth approaches by providing diversification and capturing stock momentum.

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thenoiselesstrader.beehiiv.com/p/mastering-relative-strength-part-4

In today's newsletter, we dive into the first tool of this mini-series—the Ratio Trend Matrix. This tool provides traders with insights into the trends of Ratio charts and the patterns they formed in previous sessions. We'll start by exploring how this tool functions and then discuss how to use it effectively.

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Today's newsletter on Mastering Relative Strength (Part 3)

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With so many strategies out there, why should you focus on Breakouts and Pullbacks❓

Breakouts and Pullbacks are simpler to identify and act on, making them ideal for traders who want consistent results without the guesswork. They leverage market momentum and confirm trends, giving you an approach that’s easier to execute while enhancing your accuracy.

What will you learn:

1️⃣ Build a strategic framework to capitalize on trending markets.

2️⃣ Learn strategies of renowned traders.

3️⃣ Identify high-probability trades.

4️⃣ Build and customize scanners.

This course equips you with advanced tools and strategies to achieve a consistent trading edge.

This exclusive course is part of the TNT One membership.

Enroll now: https://cutt.ly/UeFaxf2v

Multi-day Support is broken, if the first 15-min high remains intact we may have trending move in the bearish direction.

Nifty Analysis for 10/01/2025: Renko Chart Insights

The overall analysis remains consistent with yesterday’s outlook. The market continues to be in a bearish trend, with 23,500 currently acting as a support level. Based on the data, a potential breakdown below 23,500 appears likely in the coming week.

As long as Nifty trades between 23,800 and 23,500, volatility is expected to persist. A breakout above 23,800 could offer scalping opportunities on the long side, while a breakdown below 23,500 may present positional trade opportunities on the short side, in line with the broader bearish trend.

Focus on a swing breakout pattern in Renko charts outside this range for more reliable trade setups.

The market has shown consistent weakness over the past few months as Nifty is currently trading below the MAST indicator, signaling a bearish trend. The index has previously found support around the 23,500 level. Nifty formed a bearish anchor column (marked with 'A'), followed by a Double Top Buy pattern. However, it has reversed to form a Bull Trap pattern (marked with 'B'), resulting in a pattern cascading. The completion of the ABC structure has opened bearish counts at 22,500 and 21,500, with a high probability of being achieved due to the pattern-cascading effect.


I have discussed pattern cascading in depth in Module 11 and Module 15 of the How To Trade Point & Figure charts:
https://cutt.ly/negV36T9

#Nifty is showing resilience at the 23,500 level. Based on the first 15-minute rule, the dominant intraday trend remains bearish. The price is also trading below the 34 EMA and CPR, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the day.

Nifty Analysis for 9th January 2025: Renko Chart Insights

Nifty is currently trading within the range of 23,800 to 23,500, as highlighted in the charts. Significant volatility is expected within this zone, making it difficult to identify clear directional moves.

A breakout above 23,800 could create a scalping opportunity on the long side, while a breakdown below 23,500 may provide positional trade opportunities on the short side, aligning with the broader bearish trend.

Given that today is an expiry day, trading directional options will require precision due to the potential for rapid intraday fluctuations. Monitoring key levels closely and waiting for clear patterns outside the current range may help in identifying actionable trades.

If you’re still relying on a single charting method, let me ask—how confident are you in your decisions?

My book 'Anatomy of Breakout and Pullback Trading' is first of its kind to focus on multi-chart approach—Candlestick, Renko, and P&F charts combined!

This isn't just theory; it's packed with practical strategies to help you trade smarter and with confidence.

Why it works:
✅ Gives you a 360-degree market view
Minimizes losses with clearer entry & exit signals.

✅ Helps you trade with awareness, not guesswork.

✅ Most traders stick to one method and lose the edge.

This book helps you gain it and trade with purpose!

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The market dynamics are getting increasingly interesting from here. I have been consistently sharing insights about the bearish market sentiment for quite some time.

When the market reached the 24,200 levels, I had highlighted that these were merely pullbacks within a broader bearish trend. I explained this in greater detail during the sessions on 28th December and 4th January, as part of TNT One.

TNT One offers more than just weekly analysis. Subscribers gain access to an extensive library of over 100 hours of content, covering concepts such as Candlestick Patterns, Renko, Point & Figure, Relative Strength, and much more.

If you have not subscribed to TNT One yet and are in the learning phase, you could be missing valuable insights. I genuinely believe that TNT One can significantly contribute to your learning journey.

Learn more here: https://cutt.ly/teLLcVVw

Nifty Analysis for 8th January 2025: Insights from Renko Charts

Nifty is currently trading within a tight range of 23,800 to 23,550. A breakdown below the 23,550 level is likely to push prices further down to lower levels. While the broader markets appear to be in a corrective phase, there are specific pockets of strength where buying interest is evident.

Sectors such as Pharma and Healthcare are showing promising signs of outperformance. Applying my Multi-timeframe Point & Figure (P&F) strategy on the Nifty 500 basket, nine stocks qualified for the setup, of which four belong to the Pharma sector.

For long-only traders, it is crucial to focus on outperforming sectors and adopt a top-down approach to identify opportunities. By aligning sectoral strength with strong stocks, one can better navigate the current market dynamics.

#FSL has been on my watchlist for a while, and today it went up by 4%, triggering an entry signal based on the MTF strategy explained in the “How to Trade Breakouts and Pullbacks” course and my book. The scanner conditions outlined in the course hinted yesterday that this stock deserved attention, leading me to add it to my watchlist for today. I will be keeping a close eye on its performance in the days ahead.

Learn more about this strategy here: https://cutt.ly/UeFaxf2v

https://thenoiselesstrader.beehiiv.com/p/mastering-relative-strength-part-3

In today’s newsletter, we will explore the 6 patterns of Relative strength. Also, we will learn how to use these patterns. But before this, we will learn about the Ratio chart in Relative strength.

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Today's newsletter on Mastering Relative Strength (Part 3)

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APARINDS up by 3% today. That's the beauty of ATH breakout in fundamentally strong stock.

The move in this stock can be captured using 3 more setups apart from ATH breakout.

1. Single Candle Breakout Setup
2. Turtle Trading System-2
3. Multi-timeframe PnF Strategy
4. along with ATH breakout

I have discussed all the 4 setups in 'How to Trade Breakouts & Pullbacks' course

https://cutt.ly/teLLcVVw

Nifty Analysis for 7th January 2025: Insights from Renko and Candlestick Charts

Nifty is currently trading below the Triple Moving Average (TMA) and SuperTrend indicators, which indicates a bearish outlook for the coming days. Furthermore, the candlestick charts reveal that the market is trading below the 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), adding strength to the bearish sentiment.

A Market Structure High (MSH) has been observed on the Weekly, Monthly, and Quarterly charts, signaling the likelihood of continued bearish momentum. Any short-term bullish moves in the market should be viewed as opportunities to initiate short positions.

On the 15-minute timeframe, which represents a very short-term view, the trend remains bearish as the price is trading below the 34-period EMA. When multiple timeframes align in the same direction, as seen here, the market tends to exhibit stronger trending moves.

The chart of APARINDS reveals that the stock has been in a consolidation phase since October after reaching all time high.

The company's fundamentals appear robust, with its trailing twelve-month net income and total revenue showing an upward trend. Notably, the stock has breached its all-time high price today, an achievement that stands out given the prevailing bearish market conditions. This stock is worth keeping on the watchlist.

Master your mind, and the market will follow.

Trading is not just about charts, strategies, or market trends—it is about your mindset.
If you aim to trade like a professional and achieve consistent success, understand this: the solutions are in your mind, not in the market.

The market treats everyone the same, but what sets winners apart is how they think and respond. Professional traders master their emotions, stay disciplined, and focus on execution without bias. These are not just market skills; they are life skills rooted in self-awareness and mental discipline.

Stop chasing the perfect system and start investing in yourself. Master your mind, and you will master the market.

Nifty Analysis for 04/12/2024 Based on Candlestick Chart

The candlestick charts continue to align with the view from yesterday's market session. Key levels and patterns remain unchanged, reinforcing the current analysis.

The primary purpose of sharing daily market analysis on this Telegram channel is to provide insights into what I observe in the market and the key trigger points that guide my actions. This initiative is rooted in educating you and sharing the art of analysis to help develop a structured and thoughtful approach to trading.

Nifty Analysis for 04/12/2024 Based on Renko Chart

The SuperTrend and TMAs are now aligned bullish, signaling a potential upward move. A bullish pattern, such as a Swing Breakout above 24500, could push Nifty into a no-resistance zone.

During market hours, I have closely tracked OI data, which shows a higher number of PUT writers, making the PCR 1.28 — a bullish indicator. If this trend continues, we may see Nifty closing above 24500 by this expiry.

Updates

Nifty breaking from 24350 levels. MSL on 15-min TF are good triggers to observe.

Nifty Analysis for 03/12/2024 Based on Candlestick Chart

The candlestick chart aligns with the Renko chart, indicating a resistance level around 24350.

For today, I will monitor the 15-minute candle rule, as explained in the 'How to Trade Candlestick' course, alongside the CPR concept. A close observation of these indicators will help gauge the market's next move. Stay tuned!

Nifty Analysis for 03/12/2024 Based on Renko Chart

Nifty is facing near-term resistance at the 24350 level. A bullish swing breakout beyond this resistance would be crucial for a decisive move.

Currently, the market remains in a no-trade zone, which continues to expand. The updated no-trade zone now ranges from 23900 to 24350. Patience is key until we see a clear breakout in either direction. Stay vigilant!

Nifty Analysis for 02/12/2024 Based on Renko Chart

The Principle of Polarity might be in play here, demanding cautious observation. Previously, Nifty found support around the 24150-24200 zone, and it has now returned to the same level. If the price re-enters the earlier no-trade zone of 24200 to 24350, we could likely see another phase of volatility.

A short opportunity should only be considered if Nifty moves decisively below the 24000 level. Stay patient and watch the levels closely!

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It has come to our attention that unauthorized Telegram channels and WhatsApp groups have been falsely created in the name of 'The Noiseless Trader,' 'Prof Kaushik Akiwatkar,' and 'Kaushik Akiwatkar,' claiming association with us and engaging in illegal and fraudulent financial activities.

We want to make it clear that:

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https://youtu.be/o1-Ad1wHxdE

Nifty Analysis for 29/11/2024 Based on Renko Chart

The SuperTrend has now turned bearish, but a follow-through sell signal is crucial to confirm the bearish move. I always prioritize a swing breakout pattern after a trend change, as it helps avoid false breakouts caused by volatility.

If you find my daily analysis helpful, show your support by dropping a ❤️

Here’s a clear example of why patience is key when trading Renko charts. Even when the SuperTrend turns bullish, we wait for a confirmed bullish pattern before making any moves. In a strong bearish trend, aggressive pullbacks can easily give false signals.

Since November 25th, my posts have emphasized a cautious approach to bullish moves. This concept is explained in detail in the 'How to Trade Renko' course, available as part of TNT One. Staying disciplined and waiting for the right confirmation is what separates successful trades from costly mistakes.

Update: Finally Nifty broke the range and formed a bearish Swing Breakout pattern.

Nifty Analysis for 28/11/2024 Based on Candlestick Chart

The analysis aligns with the Renko chart observations. I will closely monitor the first 15-minute range to identify a clear market trend. For a detailed explanation on first 15-min range, you can watch my video here: https://youtu.be/2Uha-914wAg.

Nifty Analysis for 28/11/2024 Based on Renko Chart

Nifty continues to trade in a no-trade zone. A breakout above 24350 would indicate a bullish trend, while a move below 24150 would suggest bearish momentum. Despite the lack of a breakout over the past three days, patience is crucial until the market provides a clear direction. Stay alert for potential opportunities as the range narrows.

https://thenoiselesstrader.beehiiv.com/p/trading-the-swing-part-2

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Today's newsletter on Swing trading using Renko charts.

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Nifty Analysis for 27/11/2024 Based on Renko Chart

Currently, the price is consolidating, and we are waiting for a breakout above the 24400 level to confirm the bullish view. Until then, patience remains key, as the market needs further clarity to establish direction.

Nifty Analysis for 27/11/2024 Based on Candlestick Chart

Nifty traded below the CPR levels throughout the day yesterday. Today, the opening price and the 15-minute ORB (Opening Range Breakout) will be crucial in determining the market's direction. While the overall trend on the 15-minute timeframe remains bullish, confirmation from Renko charts is essential for a clearer view and stronger directional bias.

My team and I are thrilled to see your reactions to the posts! Your engagement truly motivates us to continue delivering valuable insights and staying consistent with our work. Thank you for your support!

No breakout at the moment. I will confirm the bullish view only if Nifty moves above 24,400, forming a Swing Breakout. Until then, I remain on the sidelines, awaiting further clarity.

Nifty Analysis for 26/11/2024 Based on Candlestick Chart

Currently, the price is trading above the 34-EMA on the 15-minute timeframe with a Bullish CPR formation. This suggests a potential change in trend and indicates a bullish outlook. However, I will wait for confirmation from the Renko chart to align with this candlestick view.

I will share updates during market hours if any interesting patterns or signals emerge on the charts. Stay tuned!

Nifty Analysis for 26/11/2024 Based on Renko Chart

Building on yesterday's analysis, I am awaiting a Bullish Swing Breakout pattern to confirm the trend reversal. While it appears that the trend might have shifted, I will maintain a cautiously bullish outlook until a clear bullish pattern emerges on the chart.

It's important to note that in strong bearish trends, pullbacks can be aggressive and might give the impression of a reversal. Hence, patience is key before making decisive moves in the current market scenario.

Nifty Analysis for 25/11/2024 Based on Renko Chart

The SuperTrend has turned bullish, signaling a potential trend reversal to the upside. However, there have been two previous instances where a bullish SuperTrend quickly reversed and turned bearish. To confirm the current bullish trend, I will watch for a Swing Breakout pattern accompanied by proper alignment of the SuperTrend and TMA.

Until confirmation, I will maintain a cautiously bullish outlook.

Nifty Analysis for 25/11/2024 Based on Candlestick Chart

On Friday, Nifty formed a reversal CPR pattern and maintained the low of the first 15-minute candle. These formations typically indicate a potential change in trend. However, confirmation from today's price action is essential before drawing any conclusions. The overall trend on the Daily Timeframe remains bearish, so this reversal should be approached with caution.

I have explained the CPR concept and the 15-minute rule in detail in my course 'How to Trade Candlestick'. You can check it out here: https://cutt.ly/kelAOP4S.

Starting tomorrow, I will resume posting daily market analysis as I used to before. Stay connected with this Telegram channel for regular market updates!

https://youtu.be/6QC49EaDJvc

Join us for an Exclusive Live Market Analysis Session for TNT One members on Saturday, 23rd November at 4 PM..
You’ll not only get real-time insights into the market but also learn how to approach trading with a broader, more strategic view.

🎯 With in-depth Index and Sectoral Analysis, you’ll know exactly where the markets stand.
🎯 By digging into Open Interest, Sentiment, and Seasonality trends, you’ll be better equipped to anticipate market moves.
🎯 And most importantly, identifying outperforming and underperforming sectors ensures that you’re always focused on high- potential opportunities.

One of the key benefits of these sessions is the opportunity to ask questions and get your doubts cleared.

Having access to sessions like these allows you to sharpen your skills, get a clearer view of market dynamics, and make well-informed decisions. It’s not just about learning; it’s about mastering the tools that will elevate your trading performance.

Join now: https://cutt.ly/bw8TzRAC

Got Doubts in Trading❓Let’s Clear Them Together!

If you've completed the TNT One courses and gone over the notes but still feel uncertain about your next steps in trading, you're not alone. Sometimes, even with a solid foundation, having someone to guide you through your specific challenges can be the game-changer.

Why not schedule a call with me? We can work together to clear up any confusion.

In a one-on-one Zoom session, we’ll focus on your concerns and map out a clear, personalized plan for your trading journey. This isn't just a consultation—it's a mentorship designed to equip you with the clarity and confidence needed to make informed, successful trades.

Here’s how it works:

1️⃣ Book Your Session: Choose a time that works best for a one-on-one Zoom call with me, Prof. Kaushik Akiwatkar.

2️⃣ Prepare Your Questions: Identify the areas where you need the most guidance, whether it’s entry triggers, technical analysis, or another aspect of your strategy. Bring your specific questions.

3️⃣ Join the Call: We’ll have an in-depth discussion, and I’ll provide actionable insights and personalized advice to help you refine your strategy and move forward with confidence.

Book your session today!
https://cutt.ly/70YSde2

Safe Choices Don’t Lead to Big Profits

This perfectly captures the mindset shift needed to grow as an investor.

When I first started my investing journey, I stuck to what felt "safe"—buying well-known names or waiting for the market to feel predictable. But over time, I realized that real growth often comes from stepping outside that comfort zone.

Take a stock that has just broken out of a long consolidation phase. It’s tempting to wait and see if the price stabilizes further, but that hesitation often means missing the early gains. It’s uncomfortable to act on a breakout, yet with a sound strategy like the Turtle Trading system, which I use, these moves can be incredibly rewarding.

Investing is about calculated risks, not reckless decisions. If you’re willing to embrace the discomfort of making informed but bold choices, the rewards can surprise you.

With so many strategies out there, why should you focus on Breakouts and Pullbacks?

Breakouts and Pullbacks are simpler to identify and act on, making them ideal for traders who want consistent results without the guesswork. They leverage market momentum and confirm trends, giving you an approach that’s easier to execute while enhancing your accuracy.

In "How to Trade Breakouts & Pullbacks", Prof. Kaushik covers timeless techniques like:

1️⃣ Darvas Box Theory: Learn how to leverage price movements within “boxes” for Breakout entries.

2️⃣ Turtle Trading System: Follow a rule-based system for structuring your trades.

3️⃣ Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP): Identify emerging market leaders with precision.

This course equips you with advanced tools and strategies to achieve a consistent trading edge.

This exclusive course is part of the TNT One membership.

🔉Course Launching on November 1st!
Enrol now: https://cutt.ly/UeFaxf2v

https://thenoiselesstrader.beehiiv.com/p/this-trading-system-was-created-by-a-professional-dancer-a58f

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Newsletter on Darvas Box Trading System - Part 2.

If you have not read Darvas Box Trading System - Part 1, read it now: https://thenoiselesstrader.beehiiv.com/p/this-system-helped-nicolas-darvas-make-2-000-000

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#Trading #Investing #Finance #Newsletter 📊💡

Do you know what type of a trader are you? Breakout, Pullback, or Reversal?

Introducing "How to Trade Breakouts & Pullbacks", an advanced course designed to equip traders with two of the most effective strategies—Breakouts and Pullbacks.

🔉Course Launching on November 1st!

This exclusive course is part of the TNT One membership.
Visit now: https://cutt.ly/UeFaxf2v

Patience Pays: Know When to Trade and When to Walk Away.

This speaks volumes about the patience and timing required in trading. It’s a reminder that not every market moment demands action, and sometimes, stepping away is the smartest move a trader can make.

In practical terms, this means knowing when to act and when to wait. Going long when the trend aligns and signals are strong, going short in clear downtrends, and recognizing sideways, unpredictable markets where sitting out is wiser.

Imagine spotting a stock in a consolidation phase with no clear trend; forcing trades here can lead to frustration and losses. Instead, consider it your "fishing time." Step back, let the market reveal its direction, and conserve both mental and financial capital for the right moment.

Become more intentional with your trades, stay grounded and strategic in a market that often demands quick reactions.

Join us for an Exclusive Live Market Analysis Session for TNT One members on Saturday, 26th October at 4 PM.
You’ll not only get real-time insights into the market but also learn how to approach trading with a broader, more strategic view.

🎯 With in-depth Index and Sectoral Analysis, you’ll know exactly where the markets stand.
🎯 By digging into Open Interest, Sentiment, and Seasonality trends, you’ll be better equipped to anticipate market moves.
🎯 And most importantly, identifying outperforming and underperforming sectors ensures that you’re always focused on high- potential opportunities.

One of the key benefits of these sessions is the opportunity to ask questions and get your doubts cleared.

Having access to sessions like these allows you to sharpen your skills, get a clearer view of market dynamics, and make well-informed decisions. It’s not just about learning; it’s about mastering the tools that will elevate your trading performance.

Join now: https://cutt.ly/bw8TzRAC

Got Doubts in Trading❓Let’s Clear Them Together!

If you've completed the TNT One courses and gone over the notes but still feel uncertain about your next steps in trading, you're not alone. Sometimes, even with a solid foundation, having someone to guide you through your specific challenges can be the game-changer.

Why not schedule a call with me? We can work together to clear up any confusion.

In a one-on-one Zoom session, we’ll focus on your concerns and map out a clear, personalized plan for your trading journey. This isn't just a consultation—it's a mentorship designed to equip you with the clarity and confidence needed to make informed, successful trades.

Here’s how it works:

1️⃣ Book Your Session: Choose a time that works best for a one-on-one Zoom call with me, Prof. Kaushik Akiwatkar.

2️⃣ Prepare Your Questions: Identify the areas where you need the most guidance, whether it’s entry triggers, technical analysis, or another aspect of your strategy. Bring your specific questions.

3️⃣ Join the Call: We’ll have an in-depth discussion, and I’ll provide actionable insights and personalized advice to help you refine your strategy and move forward with confidence.

Book your session today!
https://cutt.ly/70YSde2

The price of a stock is influenced by numerous factors. As Benjamin Graham aptly put it, "In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it's a weighing machine." Factors such as interest rates, inflation, and government policies shape the economy, which in turn affects the equity markets. Recently, we have seen a sharp decline in the broader markets, with the looming threat of a global recession. While it is tempting to stay optimistic, the next bear market could be closer than we think.

Currently, technical indicators signal some caution even within the bullish trend, though the long-term outlook remains positive. It is essential, however, to stay vigilant for any signs of a potential bear market or downturn. My concern is that many newer traders have not yet experienced a bear market or crash, which can make navigating through challenging times even tougher. With geopolitical tensions rising and influencing other macroeconomic factors, understanding what lies ahead has never been more critical.

I recently recorded a video where I explain how to navigate bear markets and the key signs to look out for. It is especially designed for newer traders, offering a detailed breakdown of these concepts.

I hope you find it helpful. You can watch it here: https://youtu.be/xPJoQSn86sE

https://thenoiselesstrader.beehiiv.com/p/objective-way-to-analyse-opportunities-using-pnf-charts

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An interesting newsletter on Understanding the significance of PnF patterns across various box sizes.

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#Trading #Investing #Finance #Newsletter 📊💡

🎯 Seek out opportunities that are realistic and manageable.

Too many traders get caught up chasing high-risk, complicated strategies, thinking they need to beat the market in extreme ways. But true success often comes from mastering the basics—focusing on trades that you understand, with a clear risk-to-reward ratio, rather than aiming for flashy, high-stakes wins.

Consistency and discipline in simple, well-researched trades can lead to long-term profitability.

It's not about jumping over the hardest hurdles; it’s about finding those "one-foot bars" that align with your strategy and expertise, and stepping over them with confidence.

https://youtu.be/GCPTjQRePoI

🔔Attention TNT One Members🔔

The Live Market Analysis Session for this week is scheduled on Sunday, 20th October at 11 am.
You’ll not only get real-time insights into the market but also learn how to approach trading with a broader, more strategic view.

🎯 With in-depth Index and Sectoral Analysis, you’ll know exactly where the markets stand.
🎯 By digging into Open Interest, Sentiment, and Seasonality trends, you’ll be better equipped to anticipate market moves.
🎯 And most importantly, identifying outperforming and underperforming sectors ensures that you’re always focused on high- potential opportunities.

One of the key benefits of these sessions is the opportunity to ask questions and get your doubts cleared.

Having access to sessions like these allows you to sharpen your skills, get a clearer view of market dynamics, and make well-informed decisions. It’s not just about learning; it’s about mastering the tools that will elevate your trading performance.

Join now: https://cutt.ly/bw8TzRAC

OI Analysis

Bearish undertone as evidenced by the low PCR of 0.57 and resistance buildup at higher levels. The index is likely to trade within the range of 24,500 (support) to 25,000-25,500 (resistance). A breakdown below 24,500 could lead to further downside, while a sustained move above 25,000 may require a shift in market sentiment to challenge the higher resistance at 25,500. However the OI is still building up, so it will be too early to conclude based on the current OI placement.

Nifty Analysis for 18/10/2024 Based on Renko

Nifty has broken below the 24,950 level, confirming a bearish trend as it continues to trade below the TMA. The near-term support is at 24,700, which is likely to be tested and may break, suggesting further downside potential in the index. Given this bearish sentiment, it's wise to exercise caution with stock-specific trades. The X% breadth indicator on P&F charts is also signaling caution, reinforcing the need to be selective with long positions in the current environment.

https://thenoiselesstrader.beehiiv.com/p/this-tool-was-a-game-changer-for-me

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🔔This breakout caught my attention!

I had been monitoring a stock, waiting for it to outperform the broader market. The stock formed a solid cup pattern, gave a bullish signal, then broke above its all-time high price after two years.

My analysis was positive, indicating a strong potential for gains, and the risk was within my acceptable range. Once I took the trade, the stock delivered an impressive 12% return in just six days. Typically, a 10% return in a month is considered a good performance, but this stock exceeded expectations due to its strong outperformance.

This is the beauty of Multi-timeframe analysis. The analysis of multiple box sizes allowed me to effectively manage the risk while not giving up much of the returns. This is just one of the concepts that I teach in my course How to Trade Point and Figure which you can access with the TNT One membership.
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We have got breakdown of 24950 levels opening further bearish counts.

Not a good sign for the markets.

If you know SAR-2 strategy discussed in SAR Webinar as part of TNT One, your entry has triggered.

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Nifty Analysis for 17/10/2024 Based on Renko

The Nifty remains range-bound, trading within a sideways zone without a decisive trend. For a clearer directional move, I’ll be watching for a bullish breakout above the 25,172 level or a bearish breakdown below 24,900. Until one of these thresholds is crossed, it’s best to approach with caution, as the current setup doesn’t strongly favor either direction.

If you've completed all the courses in TNT One and thoroughly reviewed the notes but still feel unsure about the right direction for your trading journey, it might be time for some guidance.
While courses lay a strong foundation, having a mentor to help you tackle your specific challenges can make a significant difference.

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Nifty Open Interest (OI) data for 16/10/2024

The Nifty is currently showing signs of consolidation with key support around the 25,000 level, as indicated by the high Put OI. Resistance is observed around the 25,300 level, where there is significant Call writing. Given the PCR of 0.56, the sentiment leans slightly bearish, and the range for the short term appears to be between 25,000 and 25,300.

Nifty Analysis for 16/10/2024 Based on Renko

The Nifty remains in a sideways trading zone, showing no strong directional momentum as of now. To establish a clear trend, I’ll be watching closely for a bullish pattern breakout above the 25,172 level or a bearish pattern breakdown below the 24,900 level. Until one of these levels is breached, the sideways movement is likely to continue, and caution is advised for traders looking for trend-based entries.

As suggested in the morning message, markets remained within the sideways zone. Waiting for clear price action.

Nifty OI Analysis for 15/10/2024

Key Metrics
PCR: 0.7
Max Pain: 25,100
Modified Max Pain: 25,352

Highest Put OI: At the 25,000 strike, indicating strong support.

Highest Call OI: At the 26,000 strike, indicating strong resistance.

Nifty is likely to trade within a range of 25,000 (support) and 26,000 (resistance). The low PCR of 0.7 suggests a mildly bearish sentiment in the short term. If Nifty holds above the 25,000 level, we may see consolidation with mild bullish sentiment.

Nifty Analysis for 15/10/2024 Based on Renko

The price is currently trading above the SuperTrend, which suggests a slight bullish inclination. However, the TMA are not clearly aligned, giving mixed signals about the overall trend direction. To get a clearer sense of the market's direction, I will be looking for a bullish pattern to form above 25,175 or a bearish pattern below 24,900. Until then, it is best to remain cautious and wait for a more definitive trend to emerge.

In trading, the goal isn’t to chase perfection—it’s to follow a good system with discipline.

Many traders make the mistake of over-tweaking a solid strategy, constantly seeking perfection. But the truth is, no system can predict every market move flawlessly.

By trying to create a "perfect" system, traders often end up complicating things, losing sight of what works, and making poor decisions.

Instead, focus on mastering a good system and sticking to it. Trust your process and admit that there will always be ups and downs. Perfection is impossible, but consistency is powerful.

It's not about chasing perfection—it’s about trusting the process and making steady progress. Stick with what works, refine your skills, and let consistency be your edge in the markets. Over time, success will come naturally.

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Nifty Analysis for 11/10/2024 Based on Candlestick, Renko, and OI

Nifty is currently in a consolidation phase, trading within the CPR, which usually indicates a lack of clear directional momentum. The Renko chart backs this up, showing similar sideways movement, which aligns with what we’re seeing on the candlestick charts. This kind of sideways action often sets the stage for a breakout/breakdown, keep a close watch on movement beyond the established levels to get a better sense of the next trend.

Looking at the Open Interest (OI) data, there’s notable Put (PE) writing at the 25,000 level, suggesting potential support, but the low PCR makes it hard to gauge the strength of this support just yet. On the flip side, heavy Call writing at 26,000 points to resistance overhead, which matches up with the price action. For now, it’s a waiting game as Nifty navigates this range. Watch for a breakout above or below these levels, as that will likely give us a clearer indication of the market’s next move.

Last week, I spotted a stock outperforming the broader market, indicating a potential breakout. Using the Multi-timeframe setup - unique to PnF charts, I identified a momentum pattern on a higher timeframe, which provided a solid entry on a lower timeframe with an affordable stop-loss.

In just 6 days, this setup yielded a 7% return.

The Pattern Cluster's simplicity, along with its clear rules, made it easy to follow and replicate.

I have made a YouTube video where I've discussed this in detail: https://youtu.be/I-5U00OpSN8 and https://youtu.be/7aJzBhq2iUs

If you would like to learn this setup in-depth and in a structured way, check out the How to Trade Point & Figure course, part of the TNT One membership https://cutt.ly/aw3YMj3Y

This 24+ hour course covers concepts like BOOST and Pattern Cluster and my proprietary strategies unique to Point & Figure charts.

Nifty Analysis for 10/10/2024 Based on Candlestick and OI

On 8th October, we saw a reversal CPR, and yesterday, the price opened and closed above both the Pivot and the 34-EMA, which is a positive indicator for the market. However, the Open Interest (OI) data isn’t fully supporting this bullish move. It's unusual to see a bullish rally when the PCR is below 1—specifically around 0.5, which is quite rare. This recent bounce seems to be driven largely by extremely oversold conditions in breadth rather than strong bullish sentiment.

Given this, I would approach the bullish move with caution and will look forward to the upcoming week’s OI data for additional confirmation on the trend.