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Today at 1 p.m. UTC, the South African Reserve Bank lowered the interest rate from 8% to 7.75%, indicating negative expectations for the ZAR and the South African economy. This is a second decline in a row after the previous decision to cut the rate by 25 basis points on 19 September.

The reason for the rate cut is a wish of the authorities to constrain inflation. However, analysts forecast that the interest rate will be lowered even further, which is a dovish sign for the currency.

The Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank is responsible for defining the interest rate in the country. This is the rate upon which the central bank loans money to commercial banks.

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📊 Gold rises on geopolitical risks

Gold (XAU) has been rising for three consecutive days, gaining 0.69% yesterday.

👉 Possible effects for traders

Geopolitical risks linked to the Russia-Ukraine conflict remain a key driver of gold's upward trend. Tensions escalated when Ukraine got permission to use long-range missiles, and, in response, Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the nuclear strike threshold, boosting demand for gold. A weaker U.S. dollar (USD) further supported the bullish trend in XAUUSD.

In the U.S., investor sentiment suggests that expansionary policies proposed by President-elect Donald Trump may lead to increased inflation and force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to stop reducing interest rates. A member of the Fed Board of Governors, Lisa Cook, warned that a slowdown in inflation decline could lead to a pause in further rate reductions. Another Fed member, Michelle Bowman, said that progress in combating inflation has slowed and that the central bank should adopt a cautious approach to monetary policy. According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, there is a 50% chance that the Fed won't reduce interest rates in December.

XAUUSD was testing the $2,650 resistance level and continued rising during the Asian session, reaching a 1.5-week high. If the pair manages to hold above the resistance, it could rise further towards $2,700 or higher. Alternatively, if the price pulls back from the resistance, a sideways movement may be expected.

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📊 EURUSD could rebound as the market is likely mispricing Fed rate cuts

The euro (EUR) lost 0.49% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Wednesday as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) renewed its post-election rally after a three-session decline.

👉 Possible effects for traders

Overall, EURUSD is down more than 3.5% as the U.S. presidential election prompted investors to expect fewer rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed). They suggest that Donald Trump's policies would be inflationary, leading to a tighter monetary policy. However, there is a risk that the rally in DXY is overdone. ‘There's a lot of pessimism about Fed rate cuts that we think is misplaced. The rest of the world, except for Japan, has to cut because they have zero growth, basically, and without the U.S., they'd be in a recession. Everybody is super-bearish, in our opinion too bearish, about Fed cuts’, said Jay Hatfield, CEO at Infrastructure Capital Advisors in New York. In other words, the market sentiment isn't balanced right now, which increases the risk of a sharp upward correction in EURUSD. According to CME's FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in a 52% chance of a 25-basis-point cut at the Fed's December meeting, down from 82.5% a week ago.

At the same time, the market is a lot more optimistic about the rate cuts in the eurozone. Interest rate swaps market data implies a 49% probability that the European Central Bank (ECB) would reduce its base rate to just 2% by mid-2025. In addition, there is a growing risk that potential global trade tensions will damage the eurozone economy, which is predominantly export-based. Thus, investors lack strong reasons to buy and hold the euro.

EURUSD was relatively flat during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market will get more clues on the state of the U.S. economy from the latest weekly Jobless Claims report at 1:30 p.m. UTC and Existing Home Sales data at 3:00 p.m. UTC. Better-than-expected results will likely trigger another sell-off in EURUSD, potentially pushing the pair towards a multi-month low. Conversely, worse-than-expected results may pull EURUSD above the 1.05800 level.

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📊 GBPUSD continues to move in a downtrend

The British pound (GBP) lost 0.25% on Wednesday as rising geopolitical tensions offset the impact of a topside U.K. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

👉 Possible effects for traders

The escalation of tensions between Russia and Ukraine led to increased volatility in currency markets in the past two trading sessions, resulting in erratic price movements. GBPUSD fell towards session lows following reports that Ukraine fired missiles into Russian territory. Despite this, market movements have been relatively contained so far. With the latest inflation data showing services CPI aligning with the Bank of England's (BOE) projections, the impact on the policy outlook was minimal, supporting the case for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the BOE.

After a decline, the U.S. dollar (USD) started to grow again, approaching a one-year high. The U.S. dollar gained over 2% after the presidential election. People expect Trump's new policies to accelerate inflation, so the Federal Reserve (Fed) might not lower interest rates anytime soon. At the same time, everyone's thinking about what Trump's tariff plans mean for other countries. Europe and China will likely feel the impact of implementing these tariffs. It's hard to bet against the U.S. dollar right now, according to Matt Simpson from City Index. People are also wondering if the Fed will still cut rates next month. There's about a 54% chance of the Fed reducing rates at the next meeting in December, down from 82.5% just a week ago, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.

GBPUSD has been moving sideways Thursday morning. Today, market participants will be waiting for the U.S. Jobless Claims report at 1:30 p.m. UTC. Analysts expect the data to grow from 217,000 towards 220,000. If the numbers are higher than expected, they may support GBPUSD. Otherwise, the downtrend in the pair will likely continue.

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0.097 💰

GBPJPY, 15-minute timeframe char

GBPJPY retested the resistance level of 196.0000

👉Level explanation

GBPJPY has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 196.000.

👉Possible scenario

The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 196.000.

Set your stop loss at 196.450 above the previous high ($2.91 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 195.350 ($4.19 profit for 0.01 lot).

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EURUSD, 30-minute timeframe char

EURUSD broke the support level of 1.05750

👉Level explanation

EURUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.

👉Possible scenario

The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.05700.

Set your stop loss at 1.06100 above the previous high ($4.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.05250 ($4.50 profit for 0.01 lot).

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📢 Market Updates

🟡 Gold jumps after Biden lets Ukraine use long-range missiles on Russia
🛢️ But oil gets only modest boost and USD is subdued
💴 JPY falls as BoJ chief Ueda offers no hints on Rate Hike timing
📈📉 Stocks are mixed as Trump Trade fades and Fed turns hawkish
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EURUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart

EURUSD pulled back from the resistance level of 1.05680

👉Level explanation
EURUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 1.05680.

👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.05550.

Set your stop loss at 1.05750 above the previous high ($2.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.05350 ($2.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
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📊 Gold grows due to rising geopolitical tension

Yesterday, gold (XAU) rose and gained 1.9%, breaking above the resistance level of $2,600. The pair grew after a significant weekly decline.

👉 Possible effects for traders

The rise in gold prices is attributed to a combination of factors, including geopolitical uncertainties, declining U.S. bond yields, and weak demand for the U.S. dollar (USD). Yesterday, the U.S. President, Joe Biden, granted Ukraine permission to use American long-range missile systems against military targets in Russia. This development could escalate the conflict and fuel geopolitical uncertainty, leading to an additional infusion of funds into the gold market. The market has already begun to factor in this possibility, so XAUUSD rose.

As for the U.S., experts anticipate that the policies of the newly elected President, Donald Trump, may lead to increased inflation and limit the potential for further interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve (Fed). According to economists, the Trump administration will likely prioritise tax reductions and tariff hikes, which may contribute to inflation rise and force the Fed to pursue a less aggressive easing cycle.

Gold rose in the Asian trading session. XAUUSD will likely continue rising towards $2,650 and further, as it broke above the resistance level of $2,600 and didn't show any signs of reversal. ‘Spot gold may rise into a range of $2,638 to $2,646 per ounce, as it shows little sign of completing around the peak of the wave 4 at $2,619’, according to Wang Tao.

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📊 Canadian dollar strengthens on rising oil prices and recent reports

USDCAD dropped by 0.53% on Monday. There's little news to guide market direction, with a reversal of some of the big moves from last week.

👉 Possible effects for traders

The market's focus has shifted back to the possibility of the Federal Reserve (Fed) easing monetary policy, with no major announcements about newly elected U.S. President Donald Trump's picks for the Treasury or trade posts. Strong U.S. economic data, combined with the expectation of higher inflation from Trump's tariff plans and tighter immigration rules, has lowered the chance of a December rate cut to around 58%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. While markets still think there will be a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut in December, expectations for reductions in 2025 have dropped to less than 80 bps compared to 100 bps just a few weeks ago.

On Monday, the Canadian dollar (CAD) strengthened against the U.S. dollar (USD). The 10-year Canadian government bond yield rose by 0.5 bps towards 3.277%, while the U.S. 10-year yield fell towards 4.4138%. Oil prices rose by $2.14 on Monday towards $69.16 per barrel, benefitting CAD as Canada is a major oil exporter. Also, Canadian housing starts for October were 240,800—higher than expected and up from the previous month's revised number of 223,400.

USDCAD has been trading sideways during Asian and early European trading hours. Today, two major reports will come out: the Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the U.S. Building Permits, both at 1:30 p.m. UTC. If CPI figures are higher than expected, USDCAD may decline further, while milder data may support the pair and push it towards new highs. Better U.S. Building Permits data will support USDCAD, while soft data may accelerate pair's decline.

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📊 Euro's decline pauses, but fundamental weakness persists

The euro (EUR) gained 0.55% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday but failed to close above the critical 1.06000 level.

👉 Possible effects for traders

Yesterday, EURUSD's rally was most likely the result of technical buying after a drop towards a 13-month low prompted some traders to close their short positions and take profit. Fundamentally, the pair still looks weak, and the rally was probably a technical rebound. On Monday, two top European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers signalled they were more worried about U.S. trade tariffs than inflation. Indeed, some analysts fear Trump's second term could bring a major trade war with China, with ramifications for Europe and possible retaliation.

Still, ECB officials said they were confident inflation would stabilise at 2% next year and monetary policy would follow suit. The market currently prices in a 78% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the ECB in December. At the same time, the market prices in less than a 60% probability of a similar reduction by the Federal Reserve (Fed) next month.

EURUSD was falling during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is uneventful, and only the U.S. Building Permits data due at 1:30 p.m. UTC may trigger some volatility. However, even if the figures are lower than expected, they are unlikely to break the underlying bearish trend in EURUSD. Conversely, higher-than-expected numbers may push the pair towards previous lows near 1.05000.

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📊 Gold continues its downward correction

Gold (XAU) continued its downward correction, falling by nearly 1% yesterday. XAUUSD broke below multiple support levels, and now the support level at $2,550 may slow the drop.

👉 Possible effects for traders

The latest U.S. inflation data aligned with expectations. Still, gold reacted negatively as U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (USD) continued to rise, hitting a new yearly high. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased from 2.4% towards 2.6% annually, with a monthly rise of 0.2%. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a cut increased towards 82%, up from only 58% yesterday. Despite growing expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December, it didn't slow the U.S. dollar's rise.

Analysts expect that policies under Donald Trump may hinder the Fed's plans for monetary easing if he implements tax and tariff cuts. Market participants are focused on today's Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), and employment data releases. Recently, several Fed officials, including Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, have advocated for lowering borrowing costs and suggested inflation moves towards the 2% goal.

XAUUSD may continue to decline towards support levels of $2,550 and $2,520. However, while gold is in an extended correction, it's too early to talk about a significant reversal of the long-term upward trend.

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📊 EURUSD drops to a one-year low

The euro (EUR) declined by 0.56% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Wednesday after the October U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report aligned with expectations, suggesting a slowdown in disinflation progress.

👉 Possible effects for traders

U.S. consumer prices rose in October, driven mainly by higher housing costs like rent. Even though the data aligned with market forecasts, progress in tackling inflation has slowed. The economic data may prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to scale back its planned interest rate cuts next year. 'I'm not sure the inflation data pushed things around too much since it was pretty much in line with expectations. I think it's just continuation of the Trump trade kind of mindset ... leading to strengthen the dollar on a broad basis, but also kind of a flushing of some of the emerging market long positions,' said Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies. Economists predict higher inflation next year if Trump advances his policies, including tax cuts, increased import tariffs, and deportation measures. Although a December rate cut is still expected, further reductions in 2025 seem limited. U.S. Treasury yields rise due to investors' confidence that Trump's policies will face minimal resistance, given the Republican majority in the Senate and a near-certain majority in the House.

The euro remains under pressure due to several factors. First, diverging expectations for monetary policy between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Fed favour the USD. Second, Trump's new tariffs could harm the eurozone economy. Third, political instability in Germany has weighed on the euro, following the collapse of Chancellor Olaf Scholz's coalition. EURUSD bears are targeting support levels at 1.05243 and 1.04459.

EURUSD traded lower during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Key events today include the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) report at 1:30 p.m. UTC, followed by speeches from ECB President Christine Lagarde at 7:00 p.m. UTC and Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 8:00 p.m. UTC. The eurozone will also release employment and industrial production data at 10:00 a.m. UTC, which could add volatility. Key levels to watch are 1.05240 and 1.05700.

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📊 GBPUSD falls for the fourth consecutive day

The British pound (GBP) declined for the fourth straight day, driven by a stronger U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) after Donald Trump's election victory on 6 November. GBPUSD has dropped about 2.7% since then but seems to find support around 1.27000.

👉 Possible effects for traders

Implementation of the higher trade tariffs and stricter immigration policies by the new administration is expected to drive inflation higher. Thus, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may have to reconsider its plans for future rate cuts. The anticipated rise in government spending is also pushing up U.S. Treasury yields, supporting the U.S. dollar's value. According to Edison Research forecasts, Trump's party is expected to retain control of both chambers of Congress, granting him significant influence to advance his agenda. While trends don't persist indefinitely, a stronger U.S. dollar will likely continue to exert downward pressure on GBPUSD.

GBPUSD has been trading sideways during Asian and early European sessions. Attention now turns to the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) release today at 1:30 p.m. UTC. It's a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, accounting for most overall inflation. Thus, higher-than-expected PPI numbers could be bearish for GBPUSD, while weaker data may trigger a slight upward correction.

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USDCAD, 30-minute timeframe chart

USDCAD formed a bearish Three Black Crows pattern

👉Level explanation

USDCAD has been under buying pressure within the last day. Now, the price displays a bearish Three Black Crows pattern.

👉Possible scenario

The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.39950.

Set your stop loss at 1.40200 above the previous high ($1.79 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.39700 ($1.79 profit for 0.01 lot).

The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.

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BTCUSD, 15-minute timeframe char

BTCUSD broke the resistance level of 90,600.00

👉Level explanation

BTCUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours.

👉Possible scenario

The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 90,900.00.

Set your stop loss at 88,900.00 below the previous low ($20.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 93,400.00 ($25.00 profit for 0.01 lot).

The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.25.

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📊 U.S. inflation report could influence gold prices

Gold (XAU) has been in a downward trend for the past three days. On Tuesday, XAUUSD declined by 0.8%, continuing a significant correction. The support level at $2,600 remains relatively stable, helping to limit the losses.

👉 Possible effects for traders

The recent drop in gold prices is due to the strengthening U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which gained bullish momentum following Donald Trump's victory. Markets anticipate that the Trump administration's policies could delay the timing of interest rate cuts in the U.S., prompting a shift in investments away from gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) towards other assets. Investors closely monitor Trump's initial actions and cabinet selections for insights into his stance on tax cuts, trade tariffs, and immigration policies.

Today, all eyes are on the release of U.S. consumer inflation data, which could significantly impact the DXY and broader financial markets. This week also includes key updates on producer inflation, speeches from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, and U.S. retail sales figures. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari has already commented on the potential impact of upcoming inflation data, noting that 'if inflation surprises to the upside between now and December, that might give us pause.' The CME FedWatch Tool recently showed that the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 2024 meeting has fallen from 65% towards 58%.

Gold remains in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the U.S. inflation report today at 1:30 p.m. UTC. XAUUSD may break below the $2,600 support level if inflation is higher than expected, potentially declining towards $2,580 or lower. Conversely, weaker data may push gold towards $2,630 or higher.

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🔽 Trump's policies and German election uncertainty pressure the euro

The euro lost 0.29% against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday as the greenback continued to rise on expectations that Donald Trump's policies would accelerate U.S. inflation.

👉 Possible effects for traders

It's still an extension of the post-election moves; the economic calendar has been relatively light, although it's picking up later in the week. For now, the market is focusing on the implications of a second Trump term, particularly policies that would be positive for the U.S. dollar, such as potential higher tariffs,' said Vassili Serebriakov, an FX strategist at UBS in New York. Proposed deportations of immigrants and increased import tariffs are expected to drive inflation in the U.S., giving the Federal Reserve (Fed) less room to reduce interest rates. According to Decision Desk HQ, the Republican Party has secured a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. Trump's party will control both chambers of Congress, enabling the president-elect to advance his policy agenda. Trump has warned that European countries will 'pay a big price' for not purchasing enough American exports.

The euro is also facing additional downward pressure from political uncertainty. Germany, the eurozone's largest economy, will hold elections on 23 February after Chancellor Olaf Scholz's governing coalition collapsed due to disagreements over spending and borrowing plans. Fundamentally, investors now anticipate that the European Central Bank (ECB) is more likely to cut rates in the near term than the U.S. central bank. The likelihood of an additional 25-basis-point rate cut before year-end is currently 70% for the ECB and 63% for the Fed.

EURUSD was falling during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market will focus primarily on the U.S. inflation report due at 1:30 p.m. UTC. However, several Fed officials' speeches will come out throughout the day and may trigger some volatility in all USD pairs. The market expects a 0.3% rise in monthly core Consumer Price Index (CPI) and a 3.3% annual increase. If CPI numbers exceed the expected, EURUSD may drop slightly, probably towards 1.05910. If the data shows that inflation is slowing, EURUSD will likely rise sharply, possibly towards 1.06600.

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📊 AUDUSD stays low ahead of the U.S. CPI report

AUDUSD fell by 0.62% on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar (USD) strengthened, driven by 'Trump trades'. These trades reflect traders' bets that Trump's inflationary policies may limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to lower interest rates.

👉 Possible effects for traders

The U.S. dollar has been rising since Republican candidate Donald Trump won the presidential election, reaching its highest levels since May. Investors expect Trump's proposed policies, including tax cuts and import tariffs, to fuel inflation. With Republicans gaining more control in Congress, Trump will likely have more opportunities to implement his plans. This can also lead to interest rates staying higher for longer as markets anticipate a slowdown in rate cuts by the Fed. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December has dropped towards 60%, down from 84% last month.

‘Focus is likely to shift back to inflation and Fed policy later this week, but it remains uncertain if that will trigger an unwinding of Trump trades,’ said Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist at Saxo Bank. With markets already pricing in Trump's policies as inflationary, the market may be 'more sensitive' to hotter-than-expected CPI data. The core CPI is projected to increase by 0.3% in October.

AUDUSD traded sideways during the Asian and early European sessions as traders await the U.S. CPI report at 1:30 p.m. UTC today, which is the most important economic event of the week. A higher-than-expected CPI figure may drive AUDUSD to new local lows, while weaker data could lead to an upward correction. Additionally, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak, followed by the release of Producer Price Index (PPI) data and retail sales figures on Thursday and Friday, respectively. All the data may affect AUDUSD.

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EURUSD, 15-minute timeframe char

EURUSD broke the support level of 1.06120

👉Level explanation

EURUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.

👉Possible scenario

The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.06050.

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🔽Gold continues to fall

Gold (XAU) declined by over 2.4% yesterday, settling near the $2,600 support level. Experts believe this correction could lead to a further decrease.

👉 Possible effects for traders

Traders expect the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to soften its stance on interest rates, given that Donald Trump's policies may drive economic growth and inflation. The decline in gold prices paused around $2,600 as investors worry that the new President's protectionist policies could impact the global economy, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, growth prospects for gold remain limited due to the continued strengthening of the U.S. dollar (USD). Traders are also cautious ahead of the upcoming U.S. Consumer Inflation report and remarks from key Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar hit new highs after Trump's election victory, prompting significant gold sales on Monday. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari noted that the Fed would need more evidence of inflation reaching its 2% target before considering further rate cuts. Traders are waiting for statements from FOMC members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who may offer insights on the future direction of interest rates. According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, there is a 65% chance of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut at the next Fed meeting.

In the short term, XAUUSD may continue its decline, potentially breaking below the $2,600 support level and reaching $2,575. Investors are currently closing their positions in gold in favour of riskier assets.


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🔽EURUSD remains under pressure as Trump's policies threaten the eurozone economy

The euro (EUR) fell by 0.6%, reaching a fresh six-month low against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday. Investors continued to favour the greenback over the euro following the Republican victory in the U.S. presidential and congressional elections.

👉 Possible effects for traders

The U.S. dollar is expected to benefit from the incoming Trump administration. Indeed, planned mass deportations of illegal immigrants may put upward pressure on U.S. wages, while the introduction of new tariffs could drive up import costs. If these policies accelerate nationwide inflation, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be forced to adopt a tighter monetary policy, keeping high interest rates longer. This would widen the interest rate differential between the eurozone and the U.S., exerting downward pressure on EURUSD.

Additionally, broad-based tariffs of 10–20% on all U.S. imports could harm the eurozone economy. These policies may prompt the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut rates more aggressively, widening the interest rate gap even further. However, it's unclear whether Trump's plans will have a lasting inflationary effect. For now, their impact on U.S. monetary policy is minimal, meaning the recent decline in EURUSD is largely driven by forward-looking expectations. Thus, EURUSD bears should be cautious as the pair may experience a sharp rebound.

EURUSD continued to decline during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the macroeconomic calendar is relatively quiet, though EUR pairs might experience additional volatility due to Germany's ZEW Economic Sentiment Index report at 10:00 a.m. UTC. A stronger-than-expected figure could trigger a slight recovery above 1.06770, while weaker data might extend the decline towards 1.06200.

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🔽 Japanese yen declines as DXY strengthens

USDJPY rose by 0.71% on Monday as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) reached its highest level in over four months, with 'Trump Trades' continuing to dominate financial markets.

👉 Possible effects for traders

Expectations of a second term for President Trump, alongside a potential Republican takeover of Congress, have driven optimism for regulatory rollbacks and tax cuts, which could boost economic growth and potentially increase inflation. This scenario could limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to reduce interest rates further. Also, Trump's plans to raise tariffs on key trading partners, particularly China and the eurozone, along with tighter immigration policies, have added to concerns over inflationary pressures.

Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) recently had its October monetary policy meeting, where policymakers disagreed on the timing of future rate adjustments. Some officials voiced worries over the economic uncertainties and increased market volatility, especially given the yen's significant depreciation. Despite these concerns, the BOJ maintained its projection to raise the benchmark interest rate towards 1% in the second half of 2025. In response to the yen's weakness, Finance Minister Katsu Kato signalled that the Japanese government might take 'appropriate measures' to address foreign exchange volatility.

USDJPY was moving sideways during the Asian and early European hours. Two key economic releases this week could impact the pair's movement. The Japanese Producer Price Index is due at 11:50 p.m. UTC today. Stronger-than-expected figures may trigger a correction in USDJPY, while weaker data could support the pair. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will come out tomorrow at 1:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected number could push USDJPY to new highs, while softer data may trigger a downward correction.

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Fossil fuel consumption hit record highs in 2023, fueled by rising coal and oil use in China, even as renewable energy booms globally. Gas, oil, and coal made up 81.5% of the global energy mix, down slightly from 82% in 2022. Check out this graphic to see the top countries driving fossil fuel consumption last year.

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The EUR/JPY pair, or “Yuppy,” reflects the Euro’s strength against the Japanese Yen. Traders watch this currency pair closely to track shifts between the Eurozone and Japanese economies, using it to spot trends and make strategic moves in the market.

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