The Last True Gael

America’s tech bro revolt to the right looks set to continue to alter Ireland’s media landscape.

"https://www.theburkean.ie/articles/2025/01/12/the-journal-ie-could-be-the-next-big-loser-in-facebooks-dei-purge"

Saw this clip about Ireland being shared around. Just a quick post on what would in my opinion, happen if this was to play out.

1: Because the multinational sector is such a major component of Ireland's economy, (not just on the direct corporation tax receipts level) companies leaving on this scale would cause unemployment on a similar scale to 2008. This unemployment would cause an increase in young Irish people leaving the country for good, depression, poverty, lack of services provided to people. None of these are good things.

2: If this was to happen right now, support for nationalists would increase, but because the Irish right is still in its infancy, most of that support would simply go into Sinn Fein this time. And Sinn Fein would mishandle the situation in my opinion.

3: This would threaten a vicious economic loop whereby civil servants and politicians bring in more extreme measures and high taxes on people to pay for all these programs/NGO workers, etc. This would be worse than 2008 because at least in 2008, younger people had built up some bit of wealth through the boom, even if a part of that was just the housing bubble. This time, that simply doesn't exist for younger people. Even more people then leave. The country then becomes hollowed out over time.

We should have done two things. Improve our infrastructure to the level where companies have less of an incentive/stay just for the tax rate to leave AND copied Japan/South Korea in terms of supporting Irish firms learn the skills so we can do the work ourselves.

So yeah, great that people are talking about it, but suffice to say, I don't agree with this.

@MorgothsReview on the Irish situation.

Channel photo updated

Very interesting IDA survey that came out a couple of days ago but originally done in 2022.

Corporation tax is the main driver of why companies come here. Housing and the cost of energy the major issues in terms of what companies dislike.

Based on some of these findings, I'd be wary of people who say these multinationals are here for our educated workforce (see the second image in this post) or anything like that.

As the United States looms over us, it is important to not be under any delusion of why they are here.

Even the data points at it.

Doing some reading for a livestream on Dublin 4.

Here is data on the percentage of men with level eight and above university degrees by LEA. From the CSO.

You can see overwhelmingly, affluent areas in Dublin top the list.

Not surprising and obvious sure, but leads into a problem Ireland has had over the past couple of decades.

Why do all these people have the same opinions?

O King that was born
To set bondsmen free,
In the coming battle,
Help thy Gael !

'Christmas 1915' by P.H. Pearse

Merry Christmas everyone.

Good clip on Dominic Cummings talking about how the UK Civil Service works.

Thing is, a lot of this applies to the Irish system as well.

Presidential polls for next year out.

Guess who is going to be RTE's chosen candidate?

Anyway, one thing to note about this.

The candidate who talks about mass immigration (if there is one) will have an excellent chance of winning.

Remember Peter Casey in 2018?

Great essay that everyone should read.

https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/dostoyevsky-the-modern-intelligentsia?triedRedirect=true

Ivan Yates on incoming Trump admin

https://x.com/rteupfront/status/1868791395965689932

The Irish economy is "particularly susceptible" to US trade and tax policy changes that may be implemented by the incoming Trump administration, according to a new report from the Central Bank.

https://gript.ie/trump-economic-plans-could-see-govt-balance-fall-significantly-into-deficit-central-bank/

New online safety code in the crosshairs as Elon Musk’s X takes Coimisiún na Meán to the High Court

Under EU law, the Irish State is obliged to regulate video-sharing platforms and streaming services established out of Dublin for the whole of Europe. The new code means platforms such as Elon Musk's X (formerly Twitter), are obliged to comply or face fines of up to €20 million, or 10 per cent of a platform’s annual turnover, whichever is greater.

Back in July I mentioned that JD Vance was interested in Irish Hate Speech Laws and that due to the tech centre in Ireland there may be some battleground between the Trump US vs EU regulation here - appears to be starting now

https://www.irishtimes.com/crime-law/courts/2024/12/16/new-online-safety-code-in-the-crosshairs-as-elon-musks-x-takes-media-regulator-to-the-high-court/

Here is the video presentation for part 2 of The Globalist Education Series on Rumble and Odysee: https://rumble.com/v5y8uye-the-enlightenment-and-utopianism-part-2-of-the-globalist-education-series.html https://odysee.com/@TheReceipts:d/Part-2-of-the-Globalist-Education-Series:a

So we're getting to the end of 2024, and what a strange, weird, confounding year it has been.

Anyway, here is a list of streams I did this year.

1: Stream where I go into the history and the background of the two referendums that happened in March of this year.

2: Stream where I go into the results and outcome of the referendums. What mistakes were make, why they failed and what the consequences will be.

3: Stream where I go through the technical details on how Ireland's voting system works and why there would be vote splitting in the locals and the general election as a result.

4: Stream on the housing market. The first of two. This one I talk about the psychology, the economics and Rory Hearne's solutions to the problem.

5: Stream where I talk about the tent city, Ireland's foreign policy and resource management/resource capacity for Ireland to build and provide infrastructure.

6: Stream on Coolock.

7: Stream on the Irish economy, pensions and funding, taxation, Trump winning prediction and the impacts of that on future Irish events.

8: Stream on predictions for the local and European elections.

9: Second stream on the Irish housing market. Whereas the first one was based on psychology, this one was more technical. It went into supply, Irish vulture funds, banking credit, profit margins and NAMA.

10: Stream on predictions of the general election. Also went into the recent history of Ireland from 2020-2024.

11: Stream on the outcome of the general election and what the results mean going forward.

Anyway, here's everything in one place.

Thanks for listening and have a good Christmas.

The plan next year is to take the channel in a new direction if I get the time. So we'll see where that goes if I get the chance to do so.

Germany and Austria have suspended all asylum applications from Syria indefinitely, just days after the fall of the Assad regime:

https://gript.ie/germany-and-austria-suspend-all-asylum-claims-from-syria/

Channel photo updated

I mentioned on the stream that FF/FG wanted a coalition with Labour for the following reasons.

1: They can have the usual "smaller party gets destroyed" result when the next election rolls around.

2: They can handover the more controversial departments.

3: The media will be nicer to them because the media likes Labour.

4: The perception with the General Election has been the right wing did badly and we need to go more left.

5: Easier to control, compared to some random rural TDs.

Earlier today, they've pretty much come out and said all of this.

Labour are sellouts and Bacik clearly wants the coalition to happen.

However, they know they'll be wiped out if the go into this coalition, hence the trying to form a left wing alliance with other parties talk going on right now.

You can read the full tweet here.

The great rebrander
🔗 x.com

And there you have it. A major talking point of this channel for the past few years is now according to Harris a "significant potential economic challenge."

There's so many things that need to be changed/looked at differently in terms of how this country works.

Economics and geopolitical shocks is one of them.

This is gross mismanagement of the economy. Close to two decades to prepare for this. All the areas to work on to protect yourself from these kind of problems: infrastructure, energy, domestic industries, transport, piggybacking off of Brexit and Zero Seats disasters, having good foreign policy etc have just been thrown to the wayside.

Guess there's only one solution according to Fine Gael.

More Simon Harris TikTok videos.

Ireland saw the largest decrease in industrial production between August 2023 - September 2024 within the EU

https://x.com/eu_eurostat/status/1857000531283038378

^ Having said that, to emphasize, this is as of now and things could change completely. So vote Nationalist, and see if some interesting surprises can happen as a result.

A lot of people make up their mind in the last few days of all of this.

Quick post/summary on the General Election and the recent stream I did, as of now. Subject to change/major news story.

FG - Will do worse than the polls suggest. This is because of people being angry/organizational issues with half their TDs not running and RTE protecting them which is not reflecting reality. Whatever the polls are, subtract 3%-4% from them.

FF - Will remain fairly flat, potentially going down slightly.

SF - Will remain fairly flat, potentially going up slightly. However, the anti establishment anger is going to be spread more amongst Aontu/II/Nationalist Candidates/Independents and even The Social Democrats. So what happened in 2020 will not happen this time.

GP - Will be wiped out and will only return a small fraction of their TDs.

SD - Will do well as old Green Party voters move to them and vote for them.

Labour - Will remain flat.

PBP - Will remain flat, though Murphy is in trouble.

Aontu/II - Will do well, however will lose votes to Nationalist candidates.

Nationalist candidates - Will do well in terms of raw votes/better than polled. Out of all the constituencies five to seven will do respectably well. Respectfully well means getting their deposit back and surviving for a lot of counts. One seat as an outside chance. Vote splitting, losing out to Aontu/II in the midlands. Councillors will do better than non councillors.

This will, in my opinion, end up being a more fractured Dail than seen previously.

Worst outcome is FF/FG and Social Democrats or Labour.

When the count is in, I'll come back to this list and see how accurate it was.

Irish tech funding falls 18% in 2024 as bosses warn of new isolationist US policies

According to the Irish Venture Capital Association, the fall in VC funding here could soon be exacerbated by “isolationist” policies from Donald Trump’s incoming administration

https://www.independent.ie/business/technology/irish-tech-funding-falls-18pc-in-2024-as-bosses-warn-of-new-isolationist-us-policies/a233424113.html

Thank you for listening. Stream where I talk about the General Election. I talk about a brief history from 2019-2024, Fine Gael's voting patterns, best and worst voting outcomes, predictions, recommendations to vote and more. No sources/articles to share for this one.

Live stream finished (1 hour)

Live stream started

Live stream scheduled for Nov 16 at 21:30

You should be able to leave comments for the stream under this post if you wish.

Going to do a livestream at 21:30 today on the general election. I'll open up comments later on.

This is a great video from The Don (now named The Receipts) one of the best original Irish Nationalist channels on YouTube.

There's a lot going on in this video. Covers the universities, the impact of the Enlightenment, the Huxleys, Allen Bloom and a lot more besides that, but its a hell of a watch.

Give it a go.

First Video of new Globalist Education Series: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_iWFbc4j2s

First long-format essay introducing my Globalist Education Series: https://thereceipts.substack.com/p/a-belated-introduction

Just a few random points on the past few days.

Trump winning for Ireland opens up a number of different scenarios.

First on the multinational/economy question.

I've talked about this at length in previous posts/livestreams etc. It's a mainstream topic now, which is good and I'm glad people are finally talking about it. First, lets not scaremonger here; its not like its going to cause economic Armageddon or anything like that that immediately. Just that the potential is there for some major damage that could both be very sudden and prolonged over the rest of the decade. But where the mainstream is wrong is how this is set to compound with other issues at hand.

Throw in the IDA complaining about how companies are getting pissed off at Irelands infrastructure being bad, and the US getting jumpy about the Digital Services act stuff as well and John O Brennan types not knowing what they are doing other than just shout racist and nazi at people, and its a bit of a perfect storm. It's not just the tax rate, its the crumbling infrastructure and Europe coming into collision with the United States on the DSA as well.

So Trump is quite bad in this way for Ireland. You might want accelerationism but that in turn means more economic issues and all the problems associated with it; unemployment, young people leaving etc. Fine Gael's foreign policy in relation to this has been utterly abysmal. It's what happens when the ivory tower of student union politics gets control of the country and you put your fingers in your ears.

There's also Ukraine. Depending on how that goes, that could mean more instability in Eastern Europe, with more people coming here, which in turn means far more of the chaos which we have seen over the past few months. Again, this is somewhat up in the air, but I don't thin its good for us either.

Having said that, Vance/Musk etc openly speaking out about Ireland and Fine Gael in relation to hate speech laws is a very good thing indeed. And of course, this election has shown, more than any other I've seen, the emergence of alternative media in order to fit the gaps left by terrible mainstream media coverage. That trend is happening in Ireland and will continue to make more and more strides here.

So overall, mixed. Positive for America but of course, this is an Irish channel and theres a lot of thing that don't look as good here.

Wait and see I suppose.

I'm more interested to see how Fine Gael use this in the lead up to November 29th as well.

Overall, they'll lean into the "put more money back in your pocket/we're not extreme like the orange man" marketing like they've done before. It will work, but ultimately, whatever happens in the General Election one thing is clear.

They are throwing the kitchen sink at it. I'll go into that in another post but ultimately, its going to involve shutting down as much as possible.

Fine Gael Minister Jennifer Carroll MacNeill outlined how the Irish Government is preparing a “contingency plan” for the Irish economy in case Donald Trump is elected president in the upcoming US election:

https://gript.ie/theres-a-lot-at-stake-in-us-election-for-ireland-says-fg-minister/

Checking in on how Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael and the Greens will be approaching this potential change in circumstance…

Trump stating on Joe Rogan he intends to drop corporation tax to 15% and cites also about Apple having issues moving their money back to the US from Europe

Top Trump economic advisor Robert Lighthizer's view of Ireland's tax scheme from his 2023 book

Basically wants to dismantle it and engage in hostile trade relationship with Ireland to bring this about.

Groundwork already laid out for stamping out Irelands corporation tax with Yellen - so a Trump admin could clear the rest if they decide too

https://x.com/_peterryan/status/1816956118436053451

Meanwhile, in reply to the above post.

Small businesses/restaurants and pub closures are beginning to accelerate rapidly. The fact that they're closing well before the Christmas peak tells you all you need to know.

Will something come of this, or is it like that meme where "nothing ever happens"?

Who knows, but it feels like we're in 2006. And we're a bank. And our portfolio is made up of loans to the construction sector. And all it will take is a spark to some dynamite to ignite the whole thing.

Back in July - I made two points on a Trump-Vance presidency

The first being that Vance spoke against the Irish hate speech which will be ultimately a battle between Trump admin and Brussels censorship given Ireland is the US tech base for EU

The second on how Trump wanted to cut US corporation tax and the potential impacts this would have on Ireland’s current economic model of scrapping bottom of the barrel taxes from international (mostly US) tax cheats

Well… it appears one of the top Trump advisors wants to end Ireland's economic model.

Are Irish NeoLibs prepared?

"[...] emogender, EPICgender, epigender, equalgender [...]"

Senator Sharon Keogan
is currently in the Seanad listing hundreds of genders that would be recognised by Irish law if the government gets its way with hate speech legislation #WokeGoneMad

Links discussed in the stream.

https://pdf.euro.savills.co.uk/ireland-research/residential-land-supply-study.pdf

https://t.me/IrelandArchive/17102

https://extra.ie/2023/11/19/news/irish-news/vulture-funds-own-1-in-6-mortgages

https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/ires-reit-the-facts-behind-ireland-s-biggest-landlord-1.2749116 <IRIS REIT

https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/housing-planning/2023/11/27/construction-of-more-than-22000-homes-held-back-by-planning-delays/

https://archive.ph/5y8rn

https://ryanresearch.substack.com/p/irish-housing-crisis-explained

https://bpfi.ie/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/BPFI-Housing-Finance-Report-Final.pdf

https://www.smartcitiesdive.com/ex/sustainablecitiescollective/landlords-forced-update-bedsit-and-studio-style-apartments-dublin-irel/275576/

https://headstuff.org/topical/the-green-party-housing-reforms/

https://www.michaelmcdowell.ie/biggest-problem-of-the-housing-crisis-is-the-department-of-housing.html

https://irishexaminer.com/news/politics/arid-41454985.html
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/landlords-must-ensure-homes-meet-minimum-energy-rating-from-2025/40777282.html

https://www.independent.ie/life/home-garden/homes/the-ber-faced-lies-our-inaccurate-energy-ratings/30257397.html
https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/ep/p-dber/domesticbuildingenergyratingsquarter22023/

https://www.centralbank.ie/docs/default-source/publications/quarterly-bulletins/quarterly-bulletin-signed-articles/economic-policy-issues-in-the-irish-housing-market.pdf?sfvrsn=9879661a_12


https://www.centralbank.ie/docs/default-source/publications/financial-stability-notes/rising-construction-costs-and-the-residential-real-estate-market-in-ireland.pdf

https://scsi.ie/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/SCSI-Real-Cost-of-New-Housing-Delivery-2023-Report.pdf

https://www.thejournal.ie/bakers-corner-dun-laoghaire-student-accommodation-5591325-Nov2021/

https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/housing-planning/2024/04/20/other-eu-countries-have-banned-foreign-property-buyers-to-ease-housing-crises-should-ireland-do-the-same/
https://x.com/PeterPaulGuy/status/1842638901439078448

https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40299404.html

https://mre.ie/why-are-landlords-leaving-the-irish-housing-market/

https://www.owenreilly.ie/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Dublin-Residential-Market-Report-Q1-2023.pdf

https://www.irishnews.com/news/northern-ireland/the-building-of-37000-properties-in-pre-plan-stage-at-risk-because-of-underinvestment-in-water-and-sewerage-infrastructure-MXPMPTWNYNGVRBHIYLBIME7V7Q/

https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/spotlight/arid-41449156.html

https://mymortgages.ie/ireland-is-once-again-the-most-expensive-country-in-the-eurozone-to-take-out-a-mortgage/

https://t.me/LastGael/1858

https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/brothers-objecting-to-multiple-planning-applications-to-extract-money-from-developers-rte-investigation-claims/a242626393.html

https://www.rtb.ie/about-rtb/data-insights/data-hub/rtb-private-tenancy-registration-statistics
https://dublininquirer.com/2023/08/09/census-data-raises-questions-about-narrative-that-landlords-are-fleeing-the-market/

https://www.cso.ie/en/media/csoie/census/census2021/Sample_Census_2022_Household_Form_English.pdf
https://dublininquirer.com/2023/08/09/census-data-raises-questions-about-narrative-that-landlords-are-fleeing-the-market/

https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40028588.html#:~:text=The%20maximum%20height%20for%20buildings,Dublin's%20docklands%20and%20George's%20Quay.

https://irelandisfull.substack.com/p/hap-is-born

https://fortune.com/europe/2024/06/25/irelands-housing-crisis-is-so-grave-employers-getting-into-landlord-business-and-buying-property-for-staff-ryanair/

Thank you for listening. Stream on the Irish Housing Market. I talked about NAMA, bedsits, rent controls, foreign purchase of Irish assets, brownfield developments, bureaucracy, banking credit, HAP payments, BER restrictions, profit margins and more.

This followed on from Part One, where I talked about the psychology of the housing market.

Had a video I was going to share, but it went down when my internet went down for a bit.

Live stream finished (1 hour)

Live stream started

Live stream scheduled for Oct 12 at 19:30

You should be able to leave comments for the stream under this post if you wish.

Following on from this stream a few months ago I'm going to do a livestream at 20:30 today on housing and the rental market. Going to mainly focus on supply (but there will be some demand stuff as well) and the history of the Irish market post 2011.

In addition, I'll try and do some projections on the future of the Irish housing market. I'll open up comments later on.

Hate speech bill back next Wednesday at 4pm in the Seanad according to Keogan.

https://fxtwitter.com/SenatorKeogan/status/1844392902442598877

House price increase is "driven by population growth" and is "not sustainable in the long term" says Conall MacCoille, Chief Economist Bank of Ireland https://t.co/aEHf8aKLqB

70 candidates. In 39 constituencies. Wow.

They ran 42 candidates in 2020 and they're less popular now than then.

Unless there is a major swing in the coming weeks, they are going to split their vote like crazy with this.

So far this is very very good. 500 pages in.

Far from perfect but it goes into places that no modern novelist would even touch.

While Sally Rooney is writing romance novels dressed up with references to Trinity to sound clever, this book covers an awful lot.

A lot of "based" ideas in here.

Things this book covers:

Mass immigration, abuse of the elderly, weak men and IVF treatment, AI, broken families and anhedonia, erosion of democracy, nature of the medical system in terms of priorities, NGOs, relationships and true connections being the answer.

Loads going on.

I think most of all, the idea of an author writing a book like this is becoming increasingly redundant in our modern society.

Which is mad in a sense. Literature has, unlike other art forms, the ability to put us in the mindset/thinking pattern of other people. To see the loss of that is horrific to say the least.

It's been very interesting to see how all of the parties have presented themselves to the public in recent times, in particular Fine Gael.

First, Simon Harris comes out with the line that homelessness and asylum seeker immigration are linked.

A few days later, Varadkar says that immigration has increased too quickly in Ireland and just yesterday, Neale Richmond was on Newstalk saying that it should be acceptable to talk about mass immigration, despite issuing work permits for 31,000 people.

Since East Wall in November 2022, I've talked about how we've entered a new phase in Irish politics. Safety valve. At the time, it was the question of who would be able to claim that energy. Would it be Fine Gael under Varadkar, or would it be Independent Ireland or would it be McDowell if he was to do something.

The new FG framing has been "yeah sure, we can talk about it, but we don't want to turn into populists" on this issue. They're using the right as an anchor. We just want to be sensible. Centrist. Sure. While this is a major change from even a couple of years ago (they used to use PBP or the left as an anchor instead) we're facing into a scenario whereby, it is Fine Gael who are the ones who are trying to hijack this energy under Harris.

"We're not like the far right. We're not like the far left. We're sensible, common sense, put money back in your pocket types. The last guy was weird and who normal people disliked, he's gone now. Why wouldn't you vote for us?"

I guess we'll find out in the coming weeks.

"Jeff was very spiritual in nature, he saw the flooding of Ireland with foreign peoples as a direct attack on who we were as a race."

https://www.theburkean.ie/articles/2024/09/19/in-memoriam-jeff-gallagher