Elisa's Charts @elisascharts Channel on Telegram

Elisa's Charts

@elisascharts

ELISA'S CHARTS technical analysis.
Join chat too t.me/elisasTAchat and for FX t.me/elisasFXanalysis and t.me/elisasFXchat

Elisa's Charts (English)

Welcome to Elisa's Charts, your go-to source for technical analysis in the world of trading. Led by the talented Elisa, this Telegram channel provides valuable insights and predictions based on in-depth chart analysis. Whether you are a seasoned trader or just starting out, Elisa's Charts offers valuable information to help you make informed decisions in the market. Elisa's Charts covers a wide range of topics including stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and more. The channel is updated regularly with the latest analysis and market trends, ensuring that you stay ahead of the curve. But that's not all! Elisa's Charts also provides a platform for discussions and sharing ideas with fellow traders. Join the chat at t.me/elisasTAchat to connect with like-minded individuals and exchange thoughts on trading strategies. If you are specifically interested in the foreign exchange market, don't miss out on Elisa's FX analysis at t.me/elisasFXanalysis. Here, you can dive deeper into the world of forex trading and gain valuable insights to help you navigate the complexities of the currency market. You can also join the FX chat at t.me/elisasFXchat to engage in discussions with other forex enthusiasts and expand your knowledge further. With Elisa's Charts, you have the opportunity to enhance your trading skills, stay informed about market trends, and connect with a community of traders. Join us today and take your trading journey to the next level!

Elisa's Charts

31 Jan, 17:13

Next video, the Hs on the watchlist, a short one. Same format as yesterday starting with very quick BTC/ETH/majors.

0:00 Stream Start
1:05 Intro - BTC ltf entry updates
4:58 USDT.D
6:09 ETFs
7:08 ETH ltf entry updates
11:15 Old Majors update (EOS, BCH, LTC, XRP)
13:20 New Majors update (BNB, LINK, ADA, POL, SOL, DOT, ATOM, NEAR)
15:40 Alts - some new alerts (FARTCOIN, DEXE, ICE, BIO, EIGEN, G, DAG, AVAAI)
17:45 Alts HARRY - HIFI
25:19 HIGH - HMSTR
33:35 HNT - HYPE

Full list -
HARRY
HBAR
HFT
HIFI
HIGH
HIPPO
HIVE
HMSTR
HNT
HOOK
HOT
HPOS10I
HYPE

https://youtube.com/live/61uhcXH4Gy4
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Elisa's Charts

31 Jan, 11:31

#JASMY - time to start seeing if we can get breaks of supply and HLs on the stronger alts which have held 1M demand (for Jasmy 3M).

As an example -
This is just hitting 2W supply - I had alerted the daily inside at the top for a possible short but is coming off 3M demand so may fail.

I have now also alerted 8h demand at the base of the bounce although there is a 2d level a bit higher if it wants to make a HL. Failing this if the 2W supply still wants a LL there is still a 1M/2M zone inside the 3M a bit lower than the prior low.
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Elisa's Charts

31 Jan, 11:29

#FARTCOIN - so far according to what I said on the video and following similar to POPCAT price action - breaking tl but then rejecting daily supply.

Now hitting 12h demand which would be tl break long reentry, so if you took the short off daily supply bring stop to break even or just above the wick and monitor.
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Elisa's Charts

30 Jan, 18:10

Next video - very quick updates (<5mins) on BTC, ETH and the majors with new ltf zones to watch which I've alerted. Then Gs on the watchlist.

Please like and subscribe to show your support!

0:00 Stream Start
0:42 Intro - BTC and ETH ltf entry updates
4:00 Majors quick update, new zones of interest (EOS, BCH, LTC, XRP, BNB, LINK, ADA, POL, SOL, DOT, ATOM, NEAR)
6:50 Alts GALA - GEMS
15:50 GHST - GLM
23:48 GLQ - GNO
32:40 GNS - GRIFFAIN
41:25 GROK - G
49:45 Outro

GALA
GALAXIS
GAS
GEMS
GHST
GIGA
GLMR
GLM
GLQ
GME
GMT
GMX
GNO
GNS
GOAT
GODS
GOMINING
GRASS
GRIFFAIN
GROK
GRT
GTC
G

https://youtube.com/live/e1gxFFY4C-M
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Elisa's Charts

28 Jan, 23:07

Stream failure again but have posted the video instead - a bit longer again as combined the market update with the Fs on the watchlist, but everything timestamped for you :)

Please like and subscribe to show your support!

0:00 Stream Start
0:33 Intro
1:23 BTC
6:40 USDT.D
8:28 TOTAL, TOTAL2, TOTAL3, OTHERS
13:00 Dominances
18:22 ETH
24:00 Old Majors - XRP
26:10 LTC, BCH, EOS
29:48 New Majors - BNB, LINK, ADA, POL
32:40 DOT, ATOM, NEAR
33:50 SOL
36:10 50+ Alt alerts, of interest ZEREBRO, USUAL, DEEP, DEXE, MOVE, DAG, ZKL, TOSHI
44:28 Alts Fs: FARTCOIN - FIL
53:10 FIO - FLOKI
57:58 FLOW - FORTH
1:03:03 FOXY - FUEL
1:07:30 FUN - FXS
1:14:34 Outro

Full List:

FARTCOIN
FB
FET
FIDA
FIL
FIO
FIRE
FLM
FLOCK
FLOKI
FLOW
FLR
FLUX
FORTH
FOXY
FTN
FTT
FUEL
FUN
F
FWOG
FXS

https://youtu.be/XtCjXtBjLX4
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Elisa's Charts

28 Jan, 12:48

#FARTCOIN - So I said in the video I was watching the weekly demand which hasn't garnered much of a bounce so far but that this reminded me of POPCAT in my gut but couldn't remember why exactly.

So here's the comparison.

You can see the pattern at the top of FARTCOIN resembles both the high tf and the low tf tops on POPCAT - more blow off at the top rather than distributive.

It still needs to break the zone at the arrow to fall out of range and potentially flip the weekly demand to supply. Interestingly the high tf on POPCAT is at a similar point.

I have an alert set on the small trendline above to monitor but if you're in longs on this watch out for rejection at daily supply around 1.25.
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Elisa's Charts

27 Jan, 21:32

I'm being told off for not linking the video on the Ds and Es so here it is again! 👆👆👆Or watch the one in the post the next day for more detail.
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Elisa's Charts

27 Jan, 21:31

Per above comments this morning, many, many alts have 3W supply so be wary of fomoing in late after bounces without checking resistances.
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Elisa's Charts

27 Jan, 21:29

Further to that - these ones are those I wanted to keep an eye on. Various reasons: either lacking solid supply, not as messy as the other 40 alerts I've had hit today, or stronger than the rest.

Doesn't mean buy now but watch for ltf entries.
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Elisa's Charts

27 Jan, 21:26

Posted the above in the wrong channel!

So to update the same here, DEEP had a lovely bounce on the level I gave, DAG was a bigger picture trade which is still worth watching, ETC too but that has now got 3d supply so is likely to take longer. ELON came back down to test the weekly for a second time so needs to be monitored. DOGE was just analysis and not a buy now and still miles off where I'd want to buy. And DRIFT still yet to check!
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Elisa's Charts

27 Jan, 19:27

Note to self to also check DRIFT based on these that I liked the look of in the Ds and Es. Others I've checked already, ELON I haven't mentioned as it's tentative, it was back on weekly demand second test last I looked so need to see if it holds.

12:06 DAG
12:40 DEEP
12:55 DOGE
15:16 DRIFT
15:28 ELON
16:48 ETC
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Elisa's Charts

27 Jan, 12:21

While the more bullish alts are en masse hitting monthly demands now, loads of them are going to also have new 3W supply now so trade carefully.

Not long until the end of the month so these are very possibly also going to translate into monthly supplies too.
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Elisa's Charts

27 Jan, 12:14

#ETH - has hit area of interest for longs however coming off 2W supply and now has confirmed new 3W supply by a small margin. BTC pair made 2d and rejected and now has a new daily supply.

Obviously likely to bounce here if BTC does even if only temporarily, and has left now 3 CME gaps above, however this for me is not a high probability buy in the bigger picture.

Still would like to see the weekly/monthly tested below 2750 and Korea properly test the annual level.
162
Elisa's Charts

27 Jan, 11:28

Wow waking up to about 50 alerts across crypto and tradfi. Appears Nvidia has dropped premarket murdering Nasdaq and possibly also crypto - although if you watched my videos you'll know many of the murdered alts were clearly bearish anyway!

BTC has just hit the weekly demand and CME the 4d inside the weekly I wanted. KRW is floating a bit higher than I'd like right now though for confluence.

USDT.D has just hit daily supply inside 5d. So everything except Korea at possible reversal point.

On the bear side - above left daily supply however has equal highs at the top - typically we expect weekly demand to break the high however we do still have the risk of a swing fail of ATH playing out.

Another thing to be aware of the last few weeks we have tended to trend from Monday. This has typically started off a stop hunt so let's hope this is a stop hunt of the lows which will reverse later today or tomorrow.

There is likely to be fuckery the next few days with a big FOMC coming on wednesday so trade safely!
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Elisa's Charts

26 Jan, 14:23

Jose shared this summary with me - useful!
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Elisa's Charts

24 Jan, 16:33

#ALTS - Ds and Es finally streamed, winning! Timestamps below.

0:00 Stream Start
2:07 Intro
2:55 DAG - DEGO
15:00 DENT - DODO
24:07 DOGE - DYM
33:56 EDU - ELF
39:55 ELON - ERN
46:50 ETC - ETHW
53:30 FARTCOIN
54:45 Outro

DAG
DASH
DATA
DBR
DCR
DEAI
DEEP
DEFI
DEGEN
DEGO
DENT
DEXE
DF
DGB
DIA
DODO
DOGE
DOGS
DOG
DOP
DRIFT
DUSK
DYDX
DYM
EDU
EGLD
EIGEN
ELF
ELON
ENA
ENJ
ENS
ERN
ETC
ETHFI
ETHW

https://youtube.com/live/Yt4FY5UUbe0
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Elisa's Charts

23 Jan, 22:48

Market update - getting quicker <20mins, local levels on BTC and ETH, then ran through some alts:

0:00 Intro
0:13 BTC and USDT.D
2:40 ETH
5:10 Majors - BCH EOS LTC
5:55 XRP
8:00 New Majors - BNB POL ADA LINK
9:20 New Majors - DOT ATOM NEAR SOL
10:00 SOL (brief interlude back to LINK)
11:48 Alts Ds and Es that I liked
12:06 DAG
12:40 DEEP
12:55 DOGE
15:16 DRIFT
15:28 ELON
16:48 ETC
18:38 Outro - DYM more bearish

https://youtu.be/uHMieKHb-bA
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Elisa's Charts

23 Jan, 14:36

pre-Trump squeeze...
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Elisa's Charts

23 Jan, 12:21

This PA on BTC is evil! Damn a lot of stops being left above though. Trump speaking this afternoon .... maybe we'll get some action!
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Elisa's Charts

01 Jan, 15:41

#SAMO - to follow up on these comments regarding risk in local demands and see what's happened. It has closed the 2M on a massive wick and has moved deeper into the monthly demand - i.e. per previous comments gave a small bounce off demand but has now drifted lower.

New 5d supply immediately above and 2W higher (alerted for possible short). Still looking likely to take the trendline stops and then possible bounce on the 5d or the 3M zones below.
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Elisa's Charts

01 Jan, 15:34

#T - this one bounced on the 4d demand and went straight to Berlouts first tp at 3037 which was a new 5d supply.

It now has 6M demand along with the not quite tested 1M just below so I've reset the alert for a possible swing fail of the last low into those demands.

I think this structure is going to be common across a lot of the alts which have history and I'm keen to see how strong the bounces are. As I said in the videos some will be better than others where they've broken monthly supply above or made HHs.

Others will be potentially less strong - and T is an example of this (refer third image of the monthly), coming off a swing fail of monthly supply above and a LH. However these can still give decent moves, or go for the HH now, if the overall market supports more bullishness.
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Elisa's Charts

01 Jan, 15:21

#KOMA - Berlouts was right about this finding resistance at the local supply. Still holding demand but taking its sweet time :)

I've set a new alert for possible entry if it crosses the trendline - there is a risk it just runs straight into the same supply, so will be looking for what new demand has been formed and the strength with which it crosses.
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Elisa's Charts

01 Jan, 15:17

Happy New Year everyone - time for a couple of weeks of updating all the 1M/3M/6M/1Y levels on around maybe 800 charts! FML gotta love a new year 😂😂

But hears to continuing the quest for knowledge and 💰💰💰 in 2025! 🚀
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Elisa's Charts

28 Dec, 13:52

#KOMA 2.76R 2D demand protected with 2h lower with 0.768 Fibo. We also have a 2h demand below and 200 EMA. Watch 0.13291/0.1364 as potential resistance that may prevent us to go higher.
197
Elisa's Charts

28 Dec, 03:31

#CHEEMS All TP hit, for a weekly demand, this was quicker than I though. Enjoy your profits and huge thanks to Eli for sharing it on the VIP channel
203
Elisa's Charts

27 Dec, 16:34

Timestamps now on the vid -
0:00 Intro
1:50 BTC briefly
3:28 CRV the only alt to hit supply from the last stream,
4:57 USDT.D and OTHERS
9:20 ICP
16:35 KDA
23:37 MKR
26:05 OGN
31:56 OP
35:36 RENDER
41:40 RVN
46:00 SOL briefly
47:25 STX
54:20 SUI
1:01:05 SUSHI
1:06:15 SYN
1:11:28 THETA
1:18:10 UNI
1:28:05 XCH
1:31:58 XLM
1:40:20 ZEC
207
Elisa's Charts

27 Dec, 14:08

#ALTS - new stream coming now, part 2 looking at the US capital gains free list.

https://youtube.com/live/tqRhgO5xJ78?feature=share
184
Elisa's Charts

27 Dec, 13:19

#CHEEMS 2.12R trade. Already hit 1W demand 5D and 1D lower. Entry sets on 5D zone. Also 200 EMA and local fibo. TP1 - 10450, TP2 - 10802
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Elisa's Charts

25 Dec, 11:02

Merry Xmas everyone! Hope you have an awesome day 🎉🎉🎄🎄🎁🎁
188
Elisa's Charts

24 Dec, 15:47

#TUSDT Happy Holidays everyone, first TP hit! +17% since entry. Watch reaction from here but may want to go higher. Take profit and enjoy!
230
Elisa's Charts

23 Dec, 19:56

Timestamps updated on the video if you want to skip to a particular coin. Lots of discussion about structure and probabilities so relatively educational too,=.
267
Elisa's Charts

23 Dec, 19:32

Managed up to continue up to the Hs, will do the second half tomorrow.
250
Elisa's Charts

23 Dec, 17:48

Stream aborted by blue screen of death! Need to figure out what happened!
246
Elisa's Charts

23 Dec, 17:29

#ALTS - new stream coming now, going to look at the pumped US capital gains free list - not sure if I'll finish all today, part 2 tomorrow if not.

AKT
ALGO
APT
ARB
AVAX
COMP
CRV
CSPR
FIL
FLOW
GALA
GRT
HBAR
HNT
ICP
KDA
MKR
OGN
OP
RENDER
RVN
STX
SUI
SUSHI
SYN
THETA
UNI
XCH
XLM
ZEC


https://youtube.com/live/tqRhgO5xJ78?feature=share
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Elisa's Charts

20 Dec, 17:48

Timestamps done too -

Timestamps
0:00 Stream starting
5:45 BTC macro chart - projections and guesswork!
15:52 BTC lower timeframe - failed waves 113-127%
25:10 Korea chart and Kimchi Premium, quick look at US equities at 26m
30:38 USDT dominance - possible double bottom need retest
32:38 TOTALs, OTHERS, TOTALDEFI
37:21 Dominance charts - more on USDT dom (40m)
45:00 Brief thoughts on alts examples ONT OP
47:50 ETF data, Coinbase CVD, Open interest decline on today's rally, liquidations and walls
57:00 ETH - BTC pair and 2019 comparison, USD pair
1:05:13 Final thoughts on Alts market examples POPCAT BAT DOGE
277
Elisa's Charts

20 Dec, 17:09

Not my best video - bit tired and I need to analyse things in more detail before starting rather than during! But at least back into it a bit :)
211
Elisa's Charts

20 Dec, 15:59

https://youtube.com/live/VCDGg52RpOk?feature=share
207
Elisa's Charts

20 Dec, 15:18

☝️+4% from entry already, SL at BE
203
Elisa's Charts

20 Dec, 13:03

#TUSDT 3R trade - If market about to stop dropping, this alert ring. T is at a 4D and 2W demand back by a lower 6h/8h demand. Also at Fibo .618. May test the 6h below at 0.2417
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Elisa's Charts

20 Dec, 12:13

Not so dramatic on ETH a bit from Grayscale, but then they haven't bought much so far either.
220
Elisa's Charts

20 Dec, 12:11

BTC ETFs heavy selling this week except Blackrock.
207
Elisa's Charts

20 Dec, 12:04

Another 50 odd alerts overnight and this morning for alts hitting monthly demands.

About time now I did proper updates - promise a video this afternoon post-gym!
190
Elisa's Charts

19 Dec, 15:50

This chart encompasses most of the examples I gave in the above post. It is about to hit 3W/1M demand however:

- trendline stops in the zone
- didn't hit a decent demand at the low, floating
- went high inside but didn't make it through weak 2M supply.

So while I've alerted these as potential entries to watch, some will be better than others - and this for example is one of the less probable!

It does at least have a decent gap to what will be 5d supply above so can still give a scalp trade if timing is right with BTC and ltfs confirm an entry.
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Elisa's Charts

19 Dec, 15:14

Obviously annual/6M/3M closes on everything are critical now - many alts/BTC etc. are set to create htf demands however we still have 12 days til candle close so it can change quickly if it wants to.

Certainly we don't want to see massive swing failures on those candles at close.
158
Elisa's Charts

19 Dec, 15:13

#BTC - while this is coming down and freaking everyone out, not helped by SPX dropping, dollar pumping etc. I won't be overly bearish on the high timeframe unless we break weekly demand and then reject a retest. (Next long alert is a bit below yesterday's low on the weekly demand).

The main thing on the bear side which is of concern is since the Korea wick we have seen a big push on this pair with the premium again over 3k.

As you can see from the attached chart price tops tend to slightly precede the Kimchi premium. It isn't as high yet as previously but with the wick was coming off a very low base!

Just be conscious of this with your positions but wait for major structure change before you freak out.
174
Elisa's Charts

19 Dec, 15:05

I've had a lot of alts hit long alerts on monthly and weekly demands now but some were zones I was wary for various reasons - floating / didn't properly hit demand below / trendline stops / still rejecting higher tf supply.

Many alts I've looked at now also have 4d supply above so be a bit wary about jumping into things unless the zones are solid and ltfs are showing the right thing. And be aware of taking some profit or hedging in the 4ds.

Countering that, I had a look at TOTAL3 and OTHERS and those are still relatively stronger than the alts I've looked at - i.e. I may be biased towards the more bearish alts as they are the ones which have alerted demands.
163
Elisa's Charts

19 Dec, 13:09

This one has been obliterated during yesterday drop :-(
148
Elisa's Charts

19 Dec, 13:08

This one still in play if market flip but dont look good. Ideally must create new strong demand which hasnt. Watch for reaction at 2.26ish 2D supply and 3W supply at 2.41
147
Elisa's Charts

03 Dec, 14:06

Buyback in progress
185
Elisa's Charts

03 Dec, 14:02

Poor Upbitters
188
Elisa's Charts

03 Dec, 14:01

Beware, Korea got crucified
183
Elisa's Charts

20 Nov, 22:38

https://x.com/ericbalchunas/status/1858916477384225005?s=46&t=92MpfC-eMZsW7gXsY2RY-w
384
Elisa's Charts

20 Nov, 22:38

https://x.com/kobeissiletter/status/1857455840245993713?s=46&t=92MpfC-eMZsW7gXsY2RY-w
362
Elisa's Charts

15 Nov, 09:20

#ETHBTC - Per previous update, 0.04 was the sticking point!

Trying to hold support here but alert remains for below at the start of the 3M zone.

The 3M is obviously a large zone so as usual need to see if we get a reaction - entirely possible we go deeper inside however we have alignment with the trendline at the 61% log fib is at 31.
462
Elisa's Charts

10 Nov, 12:26

Last election years and runs:
5 Nov 2012- 07 Apr 2013:
BTC: +1500% then pullback
SPX: +14% and continued up

7 Nov 2016- 12 Jun 2013:
BTC: +334% then pullback
SPX: +16% and continued up

2 Nov 2020- 11 Apr 2021:
BTC: +371% then pullback
SPX: +27% and continued up
456
Elisa's Charts

10 Nov, 12:26

🤯🤯🤯
373
Elisa's Charts

09 Nov, 14:22

Upcoming Blofin trading competition - anyone interested in this one??

https://blofin.com/activity/wow2024?referral_code=Elisa
381
Elisa's Charts

08 Nov, 15:28

#ETF - Blackrock buying hard yesterday again, surprised price didn't push higher actually,
344
Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 16:49

FOMC in 2 hours so trade safely
349
Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 15:17

#TOTAL3 #OTHERS #TOTALDEFI - these guys faked me out looking like breaking trend but then holding second/third/fourth tests on demand! I did have quite a few demand alerts go off though so not surprised we got a bounce albeit stronger than expected.

I haven't run through alts enough to see holistically whether the market is breaking supply - it's mixed from what I have seen so far, some are breaking 3d/4d supply but then are going into weekly/monthly or are already in larger zones like the attached market cap charts, e.g. XRP/ADA)

I've had some aggressive short alerts hit on new monthly supplies (e.g. PEIPEI which reacted well and others are thinking about it) and I tested a few of the more bullish ones to see if new weak supply would hold with mixed results (e.g. SOL and NEIROCTO fail, POPCAT holding).

Still a nice market to trade both directions depending on the coin, but need to become a bit warier now of weak supply/demand breaking as quite a few have been in ranges a while - like ETH and the majors.
391
Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 14:41

#ETHBTC - Decent move off the low of 3d demand but has not broken trend and rejected just short of weekly supply.

Alert still set on that trendline at the black cross but it will cross at supply which isn't ideal.

On the plus side supply is choppy/messy and in these instances if it can get past the first bit it could push through the rest easily. 0.04 could also be a sticking point.
208
Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 14:37

#ETH - Nice move here but still needs to hold the breakout above the red box and not just be a range high stop hunt. May make 4d demand if it holds today.

I realised today I should have looked more at the Korea pair on this - USD has been messy whereas the Korea pair has been much cleaner. Final two charts illustrate this.

Problem with this is even if price does break range it's going straight into 2M supply.

It's coming from monthly demand and has had some decent time in consolidation which is good, but just be conscious of the possibility of rejection off the 2M which could still send price down into the lower untested 3M demand below 2k.

Also just noticed we are holding the base of the previous rising wedge (log scale) - could also find resistance back at the top of the wedge.
282
Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 14:25

#USDT.D - This made a local double top holding 5d supply for the rejection and was unable to hold support for a HL so still in a local downtrend.

It's in 2M demand which is a large zone initially bouncing on top and now deeper inside.

The current level is actually a decent bounce point - Previously tested 3W demand and a new daily, at the start of the last up move plus in the golden fib zone. So again watch for structure change.

Failing this, the green cross below is at an untested weekly demand. A bounce there would hold monthly structure however would make a LL on the weekly so would need to bounce hard for a wick to consider it still bullish.
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Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 14:06

Anyhow, I'm not being bearish before anyone leaps on me! Harmonics are only intended to frame possibilities and at any zone of interest you should be waiting for a reaction like any TA.
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Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 14:03

Incidentally everyone laughed when I shared this one back sometime in late 2021/early 2022 (wish I could find the actual post!)

Didn't get all the way to the 88% but not far off eventually.
160
Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 14:02

Because I know everyone enjoys my ultra-bear scenarios... although this is actually a bullish shark pattern!
108
Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 12:43

Just had the thought I hadn't fibbed the drop from 70k to 15k. Again here you can see we are at the 1.13% fib.

Without all the mess of my ltf charts - the must hold area for me is the monthly level at 64600 coinciding with the 2021 first high, and the 2M just below.

But preferably if this is uber-bullish, price just keeps going now without retesting which is historically what BTC has done on breakout.
106
Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 12:38

Above on the USD pair I have marked a grey box. This area is the 1.13-1.27% extension of the prior consolidation.

1.13% is known in harmonics as the failed wave and you can see in the second chart some previous examples of this (for both the small waves at the tops, and the larger wave from 70-30k).

Structure is obviously different this time with 6months of accumulation - however for this length of accumulation you would expect a significant and fast move up for a break out (like gold) - a rejection at the 1.13 area would not show strength and could signify a deviation.
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Elisa's Charts

07 Nov, 12:37

#BTC - Of note is that Korea has only just swing failed ATH on the second push of the local range high in Asia session.

In 2021 at the high we had a similar scenario where USD broke first, then held while Korea caught up (it took a couple of weeks back then though). Similarly at the lows in Jan 2023, USD hit demand and it was only when Korea was aligned that the bounce happened.

So just be conscious of if Korea is struggling to get past ATH when it tries again.

Both pairs have 4h demand and CME has 8h which need to hold for longs, else if these break we look to short retests.
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Elisa's Charts

04 Nov, 15:12

Competition if anyone wants to give it a shot!
60
Elisa's Charts

04 Nov, 15:11

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57
Elisa's Charts

03 Nov, 20:07

Video finally - mostly macro thoughts on overall market, then quick run throughs of all the majors. Check the description for timestamps so you can skip to anything of interest!

https://youtu.be/o_eDCVieniM
92
Elisa's Charts

31 Oct, 15:00

Am waiting til tomorrow to do a video so I can see the monthly close. Decent drops on indices, gold and silver today. Non-US indices and possibly Russell likely to create monthly supply.

Dollar correcting off monthly supply, although yet to break daily structure, however we have the majors at decent zones and NFP tomorrow.
Would like to see majors stay lower and DXY crawl up for the rest of the day to potentially break down tomorrow. (NFA, I just like to hypothesise NFP but don't trade it. Analysis may change by tomorrow too.)

USDT.D hit 2M demand finally. Decent bounce finally but as always need to see reaction when we hit decent supply - 2d not far off and tl backtest now. 12h demand below.

BTC is going to need a significant drop for the rest of the day to not create 1M and 2M demand now. These zones will be weak as they are coming off swing failures of the high, with CME having swing failed ATH.

Local 2d demand incoming and two CME gaps this week (fwiw since they aren't filling reliably lately!)
207
Elisa's Charts

31 Oct, 12:02

Blackrock ETF huge net buying all week... is this time different?
166
Elisa's Charts

28 Oct, 17:54

Binance spot selling off, CB and futures still supporting buying.
219
Elisa's Charts

26 Oct, 17:21

#ETH - forgot ETH!

Still indecisive - coming off monthly demand but making the same bear triangle as many alts. Gaps above and below don't help matters. Failed an aggressive long off the top of new 2W demand but held test on 4d inside yesterday. Same 1d and 3d supplies as alts discussed above. ETHKRW stronger in structure like BTCKRW.

BTC pair gave the bounce on monthly demand but failed to gain momentum on the retest. Now testing 2M/3d demand lower (3M still lower again)
Watch local structure for signs of reversal again - I've also alerted the new trendline.
274
Elisa's Charts

26 Oct, 17:14

Anyway, hope you made some sense of my garbled and detailed posts today!

tl:dr trendlines starting to break, looking for local retests on 1d/3d supply and for weekly/monthly supplies to confirm for bigger down moves.

Bias will change if I start to see 2W demands pick up and the local supplies break.

Be wary of monthly close incoming a. for fuckery and b. for new supply.
190
Elisa's Charts

26 Oct, 17:11

#SOL also may create a 2M demand in which case I'll lay off shorting it! Few days remaining :)
168
Elisa's Charts

26 Oct, 17:10

Alerted daily supply on #ATOM and #NEAR, 8h/12h on #DOT and #SOL.

Weekly supply likely to confirm on DOT and NEAR, possible also on ATOM. ATOM and DOT also set to create monthly supply.

SOL is in monthly supply too but like BTC it was weak and is also pushing inside. Like everything else I'd like to see the trendline break and a drop down into monthly demand at $100 but need to confirm the LH and start to see weekly demand breaking for more confidence.
155
Elisa's Charts

26 Oct, 17:05

I need to get ready to go out now but will just share the new majors charts so you can see the local short entries I've alerted.

#BNB only one to hit so far and one of the riskier with 2W demand there.

#LINK I was more wary as it was holding trend but has actually rejecting the daily supply.

#ADA and #POL further off the zones. These two likely to create weekly supply as well. And #ADA and #LINK could also create new monthly but won't preempt that as we often have month end fuckery!
151
Elisa's Charts

26 Oct, 17:00

A note on #XRPBTC - this is where I wanted to look for a retest on 5d/1W demand so keep an eye for the HL if you're trading this.

It is possible we get this accumulation/manipulation/distribution pattern in inverse as the new monthly demand is still in play. However I think this would need a catalyst!

I find these hard to trade as I can't bring myself to take longs right into supply just an observation to watch out for.
97
Elisa's Charts

26 Oct, 16:51

#XRP - This is very messy, gave some solid bounces on monthly demand but still unable to break supply even with the news that the suit was dropped.

Was scalping in July so heaps of short entries, bias eventually played out into longs on new monthly demand.

Trendline break entry early October (think that was when there was news if the lawsuit coming back!) but again no decent retest. Another trendline break alert on the 22nd but again only weak retests.

I've alerted the immediate daily supply and the 3d above for possible shorts and this is likely to make a new weekly supply in between them too.

This is one of very few which didn't have a monthly supply but is now looking likely to make one at 0.57 which will be a clear short zone if it confirms too - for now there is a 5d at 59c which I would watch if it gets that high.

Longs - unless this 4h becomes interesting probably waiting til a lot lower! There is an untested hourly which could give another HL at the green box 0.45 but I haven't alerted it.
111
Elisa's Charts

26 Oct, 16:33

#LTC and #BCH are two of the examples of slightly more bullish structures which could indicate another wave to take them to monthly supply before a bigger drop.
50
Elisa's Charts

26 Oct, 16:32

#BCH - Excuse the super messy htf views!

Bounced off 3M demand, I've also alerted the monthly inside ($260) but there are also tl stops there so it's high risk of a wick.

New 2W demand held for a long entry but new 2d supply rejected. I put another long alert deeper in the demand at the 3d inside ($329).

Again my preference on this would have been higher for shorts - rejecting a 2W supply with the monthly being a bit above.
71
Elisa's Charts

26 Oct, 16:28

#LTC - Multiple tests on 1M and 2M demand, possible swing fail of August 2023 low and reclaim of tl - made 2W demand which held and now is testing a new one above.

Currently rejecting in 2W supply - monthly would have been be preferred at $79.

A bit too aggressive on short reentries - with hindsight given the 2W demand bounce - then was hoping we'd get to either the equal highs at the black cross or the monthly but no luck there.

Trendline holding for now but looks scary for a possible stop hunt.

Long alerts placed for a HL on daily demand at $58 or a much bigger drop if the monthly demand finally fails at $35,

On the short side, this also has a new daily supply but the 2W demand can still hold so there are better options for aggressive shorts.
47

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