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About the euro/dollar (#EURUSD, 1W) note

On 8 July 2022, I promised parity for the pair, this is when 1 euro would be worth as much as 1 dollar. At the end of September that year, the prediction came true – the exchange rate was 95 US cents to 1 euro. Although, if you look at the chart, you can see perfectly well that after parity there will be a rise in 2025 to 1.12, and only then a fall below parity again in 2027. This is how it turns out so far – the forecast is working for the third year without the slightest changes.

On the failure of Trump-Zelensky negotiations

Disclaimer: I don’t usually comment on politics – especially when it has no direct impact on my portfolio. And this is one of those cases.

But my subscribers seem to think otherwise.

Meanwhile, everyone is scrambling to push their own interpretations of what happened. Political analysts and conspiracy theorists (which are often the same thing) are looking for some kind of grand logic behind this. I think it’s a waste of time.

There are only two things that are truly infinite: the universe and human stupidity. And this situation? It’s definitely about the latter.

The fact that the U.S. will eventually leave NATO has been obvious to me for a while. The idea that weakening Russia and Europe has always been a core objective for the U.S. should also be clear to everyone. No one wants stronger competitors.

The only thing that really matters now is that the entire process has accelerated in the most beneficial way possible for the U.S. – where the EU is smashing itself against Russia while the U.S. focuses on China.

So, whether this was carefully orchestrated or whether Zelensky has completely lost touch with reality doesn’t even matter. The outcome is predictable – especially from a market perspective in the medium-term. No need to adjust any forecasts or rethink strategies.

Note on Rare Earth Metals

The global market for these metals is estimated at $6 billion. Despite being termed "rare earth elements" (REE), they are quite abundant in nature, found in countries like Russia, the USA, and notably, Ukraine. In fact, their presence is as common. So, it's not about their scarcity.

What Trump truly needs are metals like lithium, nickel, cobalt, titanium, and niobium. While not classified as REEs, politicians often aren't precise with terminology. Including these, let's round the total global trade volume to $100–150 billion annually. Again, this represents the entire world's trade!

Now, consider this: how many years would it take for Ukraine to repay $500 billion to the U.S.? Especially given that the territories under Kyiv's control have virtually exhausted their deposits of truly rare and valuable REEs. Conversely, Russia boasts abundant reserves, and Putin has already offered American companies access to exploit these resources. Some critics online claim he's selling out to the them for pennies.

In reality, we're witnessing a brilliantly orchestrated arrangement! Trump secures a political win, showcasing to his citizens that they've compelled Ukraine to pay up. The U.S. acquires essential resources to counter China's influence. Russia boosts its exports, gains foreign currency, and stimulates its economy. Putin solidifies control over new territories, further elevating his approval ratings. Ukraine is left with debts and obligations, while Europe faces new financial burdens.

As traders, our task is to capitalize on this by identifying the beneficiaries of these developments. Some of them are poised for growth — I even showed them today in the PREMIUM channel and made some purchases.

#SPX, 1D, I have extremely optimistic expectations for the US. The euphoria from Trump's victory has subsided and stocks have corrected a bit, giving me a good entry point into them right now for the medium-term. Elliott waves suggest a target of 7700-7800 on the S&P500 index already this year as part of the wave "3".

A trader can easily have multiple stops and take-profits in a single day. Some days it’s all stop-losses, some days it’s all take-profits, and sometimes there are no trades at all – no setups worth taking. That’s just part of the game. Nobody knows the future.

A professional works with probabilities and expected value across hundreds or even thousands of trades. Positive results come over the long run through discipline, not by guessing which way the price will move in the moment – that’s not always predictable.

I always share my results honestly and transparently. I highlight not just the wins but also the losses, because they matter just as much. I don’t delete posts with bad analytics. I own my mistakes, work on them, then make new mistakes and refine my process again.

I want this channel to attract critical thinkers, people who care about following a trader who actually trades, puts skin in the game, and shares real results. As for the hamsters who just came here expecting 146% accurate signals—they can get lost. I don’t need them among my subscribers.

Trader Anna: stop-loss is my plan, yeah! 😄

Here we go… Eh, the news about the ByBit hack knocked the rocket off course.

#NBIS, 1D, Yesterday, I watched as every media outlet was blasting the news about the Western "Yandex" crashing due to poor earnings...

Honestly, I have no idea what exactly "crashed" there, but from my entry on October 21, I'm currently up nearly +120%, with 4,5R taken, I’m still holding the position.

And it’s always the same story: whatever the media is hyping up now, I somehow know in advance – and I profit from it.

I didn’t share this trade here earlier because I wasn’t sure if my audience would even find it interesting. Let me know, would you want to see more of these setups?

Let’s go?

#BTCUSD, 4H, I celebrate the growth of the MICEX index and the increase of portfolio in Russia. The next holiday will be modest for bitcoin holders, according to my estimates. I'd definitely take a spot position, and for margin position I'd wait for an entry on a break of the upper trendline.