Cicero’s Compass

The wick touching and close above the weekly EMA (200) confirms our short term bullish scenario. Currently at 30220, we are going up from here.

- Mr Cicero

As we approach the closing of the week red once again, the mistake I made was trying to time and predict the unpredictable short term movement of the market. I was fundamentally and technically confident we would close green but completely missed it and did not see the LUNA situation coming. Although I don’t hold LUNA, I hope none of u got burnt because of it or because of leverage trading.

There is no excuse for making such a mistake, but it also served as a good reminder that fundamentals and technicals can be thrown out the window when whales 🐋 decided on a specific direction. It has and always been about whales determining the direction of the game.

Time to take a step back, look at the macro and go back to the drawing board.

- Mr Cicero

Market is RED, fishes got liquidated, whales are accumulating, GREEN week ahead. Going to scoop up some ALTs

I have started to allocate more to ETH, making it now 15% of my total portfolio.

There’s heavy manipulation going on. I have just bought back all in again at 38951. There are no guarantees for short term since its unpredictable, but in my opinion we are going up soon

We are still macro bullish and BTC will still hit a new ATH this year.

I am taking profits now doesn’t mean I think the macro direction has changed. I am converting BTC into stables now, so that I can buy and accumulate more BTC if it drops in the short term. If it doesn’t I’ll be in a position where I can use it to buy more ALTs

Good opportunity to take some profits and turn them into USDT. I have converted about 35% of my BTC into USDT.

Many expected a bear market with all the news about rate hikes, Russia-Ukraine tension and all the orchestrated news. They are now confuse as to why the price went up instead. While all these FUDs were happening, whales have been aggressively accumulating. While fishes have been selling, the whales have been buying. Why? With the buying aggressiveness of the whales, i expect things to happen much sooner den expected. Anytime from now, or possibly March we should see an uptrend in the market. Simply follow the smart money. The fishes will never win in this game. Remember that things will always happen when it is least expected (even for me). The bull-run will happen when most expect a bear market. A bear market will happen when everyone expect the bull run to continue. This is how the game is being played. 90% of people will try to time the market and end up losing and getting played. Just make sure u are not one of them.

- Mr Cicero

The emotion of anger, fear, uncertainty and doubt in u is the same as what everyone else is feeling. Think about what it means from a macro perspective for a moment. I said this in June last year.

Panic selling here is the worse decision u can make. On a macro view, this is still in consolidation area in the bull trend. As long as BTC don’t consolidate and close below $30K, the uptrend is still in play

Remember, the price chart is a reflection of the emotion the market is FEELING. The metrics behind is a reflection of what the smart money is DOING

The way to lose is if you are doing leverage futures play. Once u get liquidated and margin called, u are out of the game. But if u are in SPOT and bought at $50k, what does it even matter if BTC drops to $1 in the short term, and get to $100K in 6 months? U only get angry and emotional in the short term looking at the price, cursing and swearing when things are bad, elated and happy later on when price goes back up. Stop letting the price charts determine and control u and your emotion. Take a step back, look at it rationally from the big picture and learn. Simply stay in SPOT and instead of focusing your attention on the price charts, look at the metrics behind to understand what’s going on to educate yourself.

- Mr Cicero
@CiceroCompass

I’ve entered some fiat money and have used 20% of the allocation to purchase BTC. The other 80% I’ve placed a buy order at 35607.

In a bull run, everyone thinks they will make money. They are dreaming. Whales will always eat the fishes. Just like a casino. They make u think u will make money. How many walk out of a casino losers? They first make u think there is hope to win. But u end up losing. It’s human nature to be greedy and fearful. Whales capitalize on that. Put yourself in the shoes of a whale now. What would u do now that u have unlimited resources to control the game?

When I say we are extremely bullish, what are your immediate thoughts and reaction? If you feel skeptical and think I’m bullshitting, it means most people also feel the same way. That’s when I know I’m right.

In my opinion, this is a bearish perception crafted by whales 🐋 to make u believe that we are going down to make u panic sell. I kept thinking that this “should be” the bottom. But forgetting that in this cycle, the number of whales participating have also increased dramatically as compared to the past. The past does not equate to the future. With the increasing numbers of whales, the number liquidation events increases as well because they all NEED TO accumulate low. BTC has been designed with the game theory concept.

No matter how much a nation hates, despise or are against BTC, they are forced to buy. Everyone in the world already knows that BTC is now already unstoppable. After more than a decade of trying to stop this global disruptive force, their blanket ban news are starting to have lesser and lesser impact den it used to. Especially China, who is the most vocal against BTC, yet owns the most. Their words and action contradicts.

Since BTC can’t be stopped, whether u are against or not, nations and institutions are forced to buy because if they don’t, others will.

Now as more of these mega whales participate, don’t expect that they will just FOMO in to buy to let u retailers and fishes profit from their money. They will never let u profit from them. They only profit from you. This is a game that they have played way before BTC was even invented and it works in every industry. They control the media and flow of information. They control the perception of the masses, and therefore control there perception of their reality.

Once you take away all the stories and news, removing away emotions and take a step back to look at the fundamentals, u know that $100K BTC is inevitable.

But because we are in new territory where alot of new and more powerful whales entering into the scene, there is no way to predict how many liquidation events they will conduct before they start deciding it’s time. In any case, retailers are bound to lose. The only ones that can win against them are those don’t play against them. Buy and ignore all the noise.

It’s a very simple thing say and to do. Stay in the game, yet very difficult to do when u are constantly emotionally attached. In June and July last year, many doubted me when things are bad. When things go well, people think I’m from the future and time travel back. All these years I have already not been bother.

At the end of this cycle, my goal is to ensure all of u profit. More den 90% of people will lose money at the end of the cycle. My goal is to make sure u don’t belong to the losing category.

- Mr Cicero
@CiceroCompass

There are some things that I can give 100% guarantee because they are backed by data and metrics. The bullish trend and supercycle is certain and we will 100% see a new ATH this year.

What I cannot give guarantee is specific timeline. This is the last liquidation event. I highly doubt we will go under $35K. The whales have already squeezed the fishes dry.

We are going up from here. Make sure you DON’T panic sell and DON’T do futures play now. Before every huge bull run, there’s always manipulated news to liquidate fishes. It’s already a repeated and obvious pattern.

When there’s fear in the market, fishes react to situations based on emotion by panic selling. When you feel the emotion, take a step back and use logic to analyze the situation and ask why is this happening and who’s selling/buying? Learn to form your own thesis.

The worse thing that can happen is u react to panic selling and FOMO buying. Don’t act out of emotion. Leverage futures trading heightens your emotion especially when u are not a professional. U may win now but u eventually will lose.

Remember, all TA experts can tell u whatever they want. But when the whales decided on a specific direction, all technical charts and analysis can be thrown out of the window. Stay safe, stay in spot, and stay in the game.

- Mr Cicero
@CiceroCompass

100K BTC is inevitable

So long as u are sitting in SPOT, u have nothing to worry about. The value of your portfolio may frighten and worry u today, but if u are in SPOT, it doesn’t matter because the end result is all that matters.

- Mr Cicero