Alex Mascioli

🇺🇸 Federal Reserve pauses interest rate hikes, remains at 4.25% - 4.50%.

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#BTC haven't really moved much, just have an retracement and now trying to have the recovery. Expecting the higher push to the upside, around $105,000 mark.

MicroStrategy has acquired 10,107 BTC for ~$1.1 billion at ~$105,596 per #bitcoin.

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PRICES ARE CLOSING INTO THE ALL-TIME HIGH. EVER WONDERED WHY?❓

Gold prices are approaching record highs, influenced by former President Donald Trump's recent criticism of the Federal Reserve's monetary policies. Trump has called for immediate interest rate cuts, aiming to stimulate economic growth.

However, the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain current interest rates in its upcoming meeting, citing stable inflation and low unemployment as indicators of a healthy economy. This tension between Trump's push for rate cuts and the Fed's steady approach has led investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset, driving its price closer to all-time highs.

#BTC Weekly closing was not good enough and dropping sharply now. You can see the weekly gave the pin bar candlestick. Price wicked below $100,000 as expected and also on the retest of the broken trendline. Last area to be held else we can see some drops towards $95,000 area.

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Daily TF, gave a new All Time Highs and rejected strongly after the liquidity grab. Price looks like in a compression now and volumes dried up and move sideways. We can expect a dip lower to stop hunts before moving up.

We Rather be profitable than perfect.

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Bitcoin's recent $100k milestone triggered significant capital inflows as investors realized profits. However, these inflows are now moderating, suggesting a stabilization period. With the Realized Cap reaching a new all-time high of $832 billion and growing at $38.6 billion monthly, the market appears to be transitioning from an aggressive profit-taking phase to a more measured consolidation, potentially indicating reduced selling pressure and a maturing market structure.

Hey everyone! Exciting news for all of you 🥳

DEX pumps are the hottest trend right now, and we’ve received countless requests from our community to bring the next MEGA PUMP SIGNAL to a DEX platform.

Taking your feedback into account, the team and whales have made a decision:

🚀 The NEXT 50X MEGA PUMP SIGNAL will be on UNISWAP DEX! 🚀

This pump offers massive 50X profit potential, and the market FOMO is already off the charts for DEX pumps.

Reminder: Our last pump #BFLOKI achieved an incredible 2400%+ gains 🚀🔥. Don’t miss your chance to ride this UPCOMING MEGA PUMP WAVE!

Our team is currently validating insanely undervalued projects that are exploding with hype in the market and hold enormous profit potential, ensuring you don’t miss out on the next big opportunity!

Details of the NEXT MEGA PUMP SIGNAL:

📅 Date: January 26th, Sunday
🕔 Time: 5 PM GMT
📈 Exchange: UNISWAP DEX

In the meantime, make sure you have ETH and USDT (ERC20) funds ready in your MetaMask, TrustWallet, or Binance Web3 wallet so you don’t miss this opportunity.

Stay tuned for updates, and happy trading!

We are going to find out pretty quickly if oil is still bullish or not under Trump. Last time around, oil prices plunged even before the pandemic, so that is likely to happen again. There will probably be more domestic drilling, higher oil reserves, higher production. If price comes back down below $73, we could be looking at lower CPI numbers in the next few quarters. It looks like the oil trade may be on its last leg as price tests a previous support level.

🚨 Donald J. Trump has been sworn in as the President of the United States 🇺🇸, sparking high volatility in the crypto market 📉, especially for Bitcoin.

🔥 Shortly after, a White House document revealed that cryptocurrency is NOT an urgent priority 📄, as reported by Punchbowl News, contributing to the market dump. 💥

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, grab the liquidity from the low as drawn and have a very bullish strong move to the upside. Weekly candle can close strongly bullish and can continue further up there.

How To Identify Vaporware?

It isn't always easy to tell apart vaporware. Even well-funded new projects can turn out to be overhyped, while small grassroots projects can punch above their weight. Still, you can use a few frameworks to identify vaporware in crypto.

Research the Project

Many crypto projects launch with a minimum of information. Teams often focus on hype campaigns and influencer marketing to pump the token price at launch and keep expectations high. Thorough research is not a panacea but can help to spot more solid projects.

For example, new tokens should provide a plan for how to execute their roadmap in addition to their vision of the end goal. Vaporware products often miss concrete steps as part of their roadmap. Moreover, the whitepaper should provide deadlines for when the goals are to be met.

In addition, the project should disclose as much information about its team and investors as possible. Vaporware tokens often obscure their financial trail to make it as difficult as possible to track the people behind the project in case a rug pull happens.

Critically Evaluate the Project

Legitimate projects will explain their solutions in very concrete terms and justify what problem they address in the market. Vaporware projects mostly offer big promises but little tangible information about why their purported solution is needed. Investors should look into a project's social media accounts and ask as many questions as possible to get a feel for whether the project is legitimate or vaporware.

Avoiding Vaporware Investments
Here are some tips for avoiding vaporware crypto projects:

- Research the team credentials thoroughly. Are they blockchain experts or marketers?

- Read whitepapers critically. Do claims match the technical capabilities described?

- Assess MVP progress. Does the project have a working product instead of promises?

- Analyze community engagement. Is the discussion focused on development or just price hype?

- Check in on long-term roadmaps. Are promised features being delivered on time?

- Stick to established projects with functioning technology. Avoid brand-new ICOs.

- Spread investments across multiple solid projects, don't go all in on unproven concepts.

With rigorous due diligence, investors can filter out vaporware and put money into legitimate projects.

How Cryptocurrency Projects Can Prevent Vaporware

Crypto projects can avoid becoming vaporware in the first place by:

- Creating detailed roadmaps with realistic timelines for rolling out features. This establishes clear deliverables.

- Maintaining constant community engagement and transparency about development progress. This keeps investors informed.

- Delivering a working minimum viable product before fundraising. This demonstrates technical capabilities.

- Avoiding unrealistic hype and promises that exceed the current state of the technology. This sets honest expectations.

By under-promising and over-delivering, cryptocurrency projects can stand out from the vaporware crowd.

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What Is Vaporware?

Vaporware in crypto describes protocols or DApps that provide solutions to non-existent or exaggerated problems. In plain English, vaporware overpromises and underdelivers. It often pitches decentralization as a key attribute of the solution. But often, decentralization only serves as a marketing ploy to make the product sound more appealing and innovative than it is in reality.

Vaporware appears in different sectors, be it DeFi, NFTs or GameFi. Metaverse products have also faced many vaporware accusations, as the technology to deliver an immersive and decentralized metaverse is not nearly developed enough to live up to the hype the projects generate.

History of Vaporware

Vaporware has been around for decades, especially in the tech industry. Remember that revolutionary operating system that was going to outperform Windows? Or the new game console that would blow away the competition? Many hyped-up products don't survive past the concept stage.

Early examples stretched back to the 1970s and 80s. The tech world saw vaporware in things like Atari's Mindlink controller and Sinclair's C5 electric vehicle. Vaporware has this tempting allure - the promise of innovation and progress. But turning vaporware into an actual product requires substance.

#BTC dropped lower strong to the support and even wicked below the $90,000 for a liquidity hunt. Price had a very quick recovery and again at the resistance now. The conditions are same now, have to see some sort of breakout now here or a rejection following though it.

#BTC trying to hold the support zone and on daily TF price did able to sustain over the support zone and in H4 TF it turned into a fake-out. Now, we can expect some sort of fake out and price can move higher towards the $95,000 area as resistance.

What Is a Utility Token?

Utility tokens in crypto refer to blockchain-based tokens that have a specific use and offer utility. They are created on the blockchain and are native to the platform they are used on. They are also not considered to be financial instruments, meaning that they are not subject to the same regulations as securities.

Utility tokens are typically issued during an ICO, IDO or IEO where investors can purchase them in exchange for cryptocurrency or fiat currency. They are used to incentivize users to participate in a platform and to power the network. For example, a platform may require users to hold a certain amount of tokens in order to be eligible to participate in certain activities or to access certain features. Utility tokens can also be used to reward users for completing tasks or providing services on the platform.

The use of a utility token is limited to the particular ecosystem that it is designed for. For example, one day, Uber could have its own utility token which people would use to pay for rides on the Uber network. Utility tokens are not designed as investment vehicles.

The SEC is constantly on the watch for new utility tokens and security tokens. The regulator uses the Howey Test to determine whether or not a particular token is classified as a security token or a utility token.

Utility tokens are not subject to the same regulations and requirements that security tokens are, because they are not considered to be investment contracts. One of the most well-known examples is Filecoin, which has been designed to help users use the Filecoin decentralized data storage platform.

Examples of Utility Tokens

0x (ZRX)

0x is an open-source protocol that enables the peer-to-peer exchange of Ethereum-based tokens and assets. It is designed to provide a decentralized, trustless exchange for ERC-20 compatible tokens.

Augur (REP)

Augur is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to create predictions and wagers on the outcome of real-world events. The Augur token (REP) is used to reward market makers who accurately forecast the outcomes of events.

Golem (GNT)

Golem is a decentralized supercomputer that allows users to rent out their computing power to others in need. The Golem token (GLM) is used to pay for services and resources on the platform.

Basic Attention Token (BAT)

The Basic Attention Token is an Ethereum-based token used to monetize user attention on the Brave browser. Users are rewarded with BAT tokens for viewing ads in the Brave browser.

#BTC moved as per the plan and dropped towards the $93,000 area which is drawn as support. The Bearishness might continue as price is not giving any signs of bullishness. In short-term buyer are in control but wait for the further session opening to see the clear picture.

#BTC gave a healthy close over the $100,000 level and now, in a bit of small consolidation forming. This is good sign of healthy moving market and small retest might come after a fakeout near from $103,000 area.

#BTC 100,000 💪

My crypto track record for 2025.

Documented, with receipts and also just went through it all via live stream.

What Is an Unpermissioned Ledger?

An unpermissioned ledger — also known as permissionless or public — is a ledger that anyone can access and download. Users can submit messages for processes and even be involved in processes of authentication, verification, and consensus protocol for blockchain transactions.

What Is the Difference Between Permissioned and Unpermissioned Ledgers?

Permissioned ledgers are private ledger systems that are managed by a single company or entity, where transactions are recorded, verified and stored with the permission of the controlling entity. This type of ledger is typically used in industries such as banking, healthcare and government, and access to the ledger is restricted to those that are authorized by the controlling entity.

Unpermissioned ledgers, on the other hand, are public and open-source ledger systems that don’t require permission from a centralized authority to access or make transactions. Instead, these ledgers are managed by a distributed network of computers, and anyone can participate in the network. The most popular example of an unpermissioned ledger is the blockchain, the technology behind cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

The main difference between permissioned and unpermissioned ledgers is the level of control and the degree of trust that is required for each type of ledger. Permissioned ledgers require permission from the controlling entity in order to access the ledger, and any changes to the ledger must be approved by the controlling entity. Unpermissioned ledgers, on the other hand, are open source and don’t require permission from a centralized authority to access or make transactions. Furthermore, unpermissioned ledgers are more secure and trustless, as they are managed by a distributed network of computers.

Unlike permissioned ledgers, all users of unpermissioned ledgers can create data, publish smart contracts and run a node. As such, they are completely transparent, as data are accessible to anyone. They also incentivize users to run nodes.

#BTC also rejected the support zone and had a fakeout to the resistance area. Price on Daily TF again had a rejection from the top and back inside the ranging zone. This time seller are huge, so we might break to the downside.

2024 made for a memorable year in so many ways

Here's a quick recap and look ahead for 2025 - clean slate time, let's get ready to grind!!!

tradingview.com/chart/US10Y/8s…

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You're looking at crypto market dynamics where Long-Term Holders are taking profits of $2.1B daily. While this suggests strong buy-side demand matching these sales, the "fresh capital" interpretation might be oversimplified since it could include recycled trades and market maker activity rather than all new money entering the market.

#Bitcoin had a very decent closings on weekly TF, showing the bearish side. Currently, price rejected from the resistance and dropping towards the support around $92,550 - 92,800. Not expect much from here as price as volume dries up multiple times.

MicroStrategy has called a shareholder meeting to expand on their $42b Bitcoin acquisition plan.

$100 Billion? 😉

Here's the Analysis of #XVG :

#XVG gone into the sideways market with respecting the resistance trendline and also supporting trendline too. Price can reach out the strong support zone of $$0.0099 - $0.010. Market seems to be slow and need to wait for the market to give some clarity.

𝐈𝐅 𝐘𝐎𝐔 𝐅𝐈𝐍𝐃 𝐘𝐎𝐔𝐑 𝐂𝐎𝐔𝐍𝐓𝐑𝐘 𝐇𝐄𝐑𝐄, 𝐏𝐋𝐄𝐀𝐒𝐄 𝐉𝐎𝐈𝐍 𝐍𝐎𝐖 𝐀𝐍𝐃 𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐓 𝐄𝐀𝐑𝐍𝐈𝐍𝐆 𝐅𝐑𝐎𝐌 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐈𝐍𝐕𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐌𝐄𝐍𝐓 𝐂𝐎𝐌𝐏𝐀𝐍𝐘.
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#BTC very slowly moved higher towards the $100,000 mark and failed by few dollar, Price also formed a small channel, which might lead the direction of the market with a breakout. Market right now is pretty slow, better wait for the volume to kick-in.

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@Alexmascioli2

Santa Rally? Let's find out

Here's a holiday market outlook for EOY 2024 and early 2025

tradingview.com/chart/SPY/V9tg…

#BTC had a bearish weekly closing and had a very strong close below of the zone of support. Daily is on a support now, and looks bearish too, price now trying to hold over the trendline as support, so let's see how market react today by NY session.

#BTC

Keep your inbox coming 👇👇

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What Is Turing Completeness?

Turing completeness refers to the capability of a system or programming language to solve any problem that can be solved by a machine created by mathematician Alan Turing. It signifies the ability of a system or language to carry out any calculation that a general-purpose computer can perform.

This concept holds significance in the field of computer science as it determines the power of different systems and programming languages. If a system is deemed Turing complete it means it has the capacity to execute any computation that a computer's capable of. Conversely, if a system is not Turing complete it implies limitations, in its abilities.

How Do You Determine Turing Completeness?

A system can be considered Turing complete if it meets the criteria;

1. Input/output operations; The system must have the capability to read data and generate output.

2. Conditional branching; It should be able to alter its behavior based on computation results.

3. Loop constructs; The system must have the ability to repeat sets of instructions times.

4. Computation; It should have the ability to perform any calculation that can be done by a Turing machine.

After establishing these properties it can be concluded that the system meets the criteria of being Turing complete. However, it's important to note that being Turing complete in theory doesn't automatically mean the system is practical or efficient for all calculations.

MARA has acquired 15,574 BTC for ~$1.53 billion at ~$98,529 per Bitcoin

Over $1.50 trillion was wiped out from the US stock market today !!!

BTC next move 110k$🤑🚀

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Weekly TF, Attempting to cross the build up resistance and need to a closing above $98,000 and best case will be $100,000 level. With that closing, price build the new support at $97,000.

What Is a TRC-20 Token?

The TRC-20 token standard allows for tokens to be created on the TRON network. It defines the functions that need to be implemented so that a token can be accepted as a standard TRC20 token.

The TRC-20 standard is similar to the ERC-20 standard used for Ethereum tokens and is intended to be fully compatible with it.
For the TRC-20 protocol to work correctly, the token's contract is required to implement several functions. There are three optional items and six required items that need to be defined in TRC-20 token development.

The following are some of the functions that are used in TRON's TRC20 implementation.

Optional items: Name, Abbreviation, Precision

Required items: totalSupply, balanceOf, transfer, transferFrom, approve, allowance

TRON Virtual Machine is a lightweight, complete VM. Its purpose is to offer millions of developers a custom-built system for an efficient, easy, safe, and scalable blockchain.

Before TVM was launched on May 25th, 2018, TRON had already been working on some additional functions to improve the security and usability of the protocol. TVM makes TRON more secure and robust without compromising the high TPS (transaction per second). It also enables compatibility with Ethereum. The TVM will be fully compatible with Ethereum smart contracts by using its own pluggable smart contract engine. Ultimately, this compatibility will allow Ethereum developers to easily migrate their smart contracts onto the TRON network.

TRON blockchain is an open-source protocol serving the digital content distribution space. It extends its support for several blockchains and smart contract systems. These include Bitcoin, Ethereum, and many public blockchain networks. TRON offers a multiprotocol infrastructure to developers for application development in the digital entertainment industry, allowing users to benefit from smooth multiprotocol smart networks.

It uses its own cryptocurrency (TRX) to enable access to different services offered on its platform. Customers can pay using TRX for the services they use. The platform enables one-on-one interaction between consumers of content and the content creators.

The TRON network is secured by Delegated Proof-of-Stake (DPoS), which means that the stakeholders of TRX elect Super Representatives who are responsible for validating transactions and maintaining the network.

What Is a TRC-10 (TRON)?

Unlike the TRC20 token, TRC-10 is a native token on the TRON blockchain that is utilized for basic token production and does not need the TRON Virtual Machine (TVM).

TRC-10 can be accessed through an API (application programming interface). TRC-10 has 1,000 times lower transaction fees than TRC20, but it necessitates additional bandwidth for API transactions and deposits.

Any account user on the TRON network can create a TRC-10 token for a minimum of 1,024 TRX. Account-holders on the network can also lock up their token individually. The issuer must specify a token name, overall value, TRX conversion rate, circulation length, definition, maximum bandwidth points per account, overall bandwidth points usage and token stake when producing tokens.

TRON is a blockchain platform that enables the creation of smart contracts, virtual machines, decentralized exchanges, decentralized applications, smart contracts, wallets and blockchain explorers.

When TRC-10 tokens are utilized in an ICO project, there are no listing fees to pay, and to develop TRC-10 tokens, no prior experience of programming languages is necessary. TRC-10 tokens' supply can be raised once they are created and they can also be burned if the tokens are returned to their originating address.

A user must have at least 1,024 TRX in their wallet to get a TRC-10 token. They are used in initial coin offerings (ICOs), blockchain-powered products, and as a payment method in decentralized applications (DApps). They have been utilized by well-known initiatives like BitTorrent token, a decentralized file-sharing service whose development process is made easier and simpler by the existence of a flexible blockchain network.

In smart contracts, TRC-10 tokens are easily transferable, mintable and upgradeable, and and if a user sends these tokens to the wrong address, they become irrecoverable.

#BTC Fakeout worked pretty well and had a very bullish move to the upside, achieving the $100,000 milestone.

The $100,000 has been Registered on the History of the Crypto Market and It time to celebrate. Winter is in and Book profits in running position and all stuff. Nothing Much to Say Here, but this is not the end, it a beginning of the new Chapter.

Wait for the Retest and buy the Dip and 2025 will be very bullish for the crypto industry.

“Breaking Records! 🚀 Bitcoin just crossed the legendary $100K mark! 💸🌟 The journey from obscurity to six figures is a testament to innovation, resilience, and belief.

Who’s ready for the next chapter in crypto history? 🔥📈”

#BTC gave a break of the trendline and with due to some news event like US transferred a large bag of #Bitcoins to other wallet or exchanges. The price now stuck between the ranges and need to see some sort of breakout now.

Another Bag Added ✅✅✅✅

Let's keep bagging the profit 📈

#BTC had a great weekly close with the rejection Doji like candlestick. Now on LTF, price standing at a supporting trendline and overall, anticipation would be $100,000 by this weekend. Also, it like a range created so by NY we can expect some movement in either direction.

Bitcoin’s top price target is $146K based on realized price valuation.

This price band has historically marked cycle tops, including in April–May 2021.

#DXY UPDATE :

#DXY had a perfectly rejected from the resistance drawn, and had a bearish whole week. Index looks like turned bearish now and we can see good moves by next week.

🔝A great day at work has come to an end

📈Total profit for today was Massive
Ready to take 1 last person for personal trading


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#BTC again reclaims the $95,000 level mark after a short retracement and trying to make the new Higher high. Well, weekend is about to in and we can expect low volatility. Nothing as of now, only fundamentals can drive slowly now.

Happy Thanksgiving 😊

Don't forget to help the less privileges.

What trade do you want?
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#BTC had a great very good weekly candle close with a very small wick at the top. Currently, price holding the supporting trendline and rejecting the build-up resistance too. Expecting a break now in the week sooner or later.

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#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN broke the consolidation range and floating near the $100,000 milestone. Well, Nothing as of now, Price is teasing near the $100,000 level and in case next week we might have some retracement if we don't see a hit of $100,000 in this weekend.

Bitcoin has entered a new price discovery phase, putting all of the circulating supply into profit. This chart shows the percentage of supply held in profit, alongside the count of consecutive days each month where this metric is more than 95%.

Historically, these euphoric phases have persisted for around 22 days before a correction occurs, pushing more than 5% of the supply below the original acquisition price. The current rally has maintained this high-profit level for 12 consecutive days, underscoring strong market sentiment but also hinting at the possibility of a correction ahead based on past patterns.

#BTC 98,000 🙌

2000 more to go

Bitcoin ETFs in the US have been very popular, bringing in lots of money similar to when they first launched. However, investors have recently pulled some money out, possibly due to uncertainty around the upcoming US election. Despite this, Bitcoin's new all-time high price might attract new investors back to these ETFs.

​​I have been trading for over 10 years and during that time there have been many ups and downs. I came into the world of trading just like you, I was excited by the fact that I can earn two / three times more than ordinary people, while not even leaving home.🚀

At first I thought that after reading a few books and understanding the basics, I could quickly conquer this peak, but then I stumbled upon the first problem - the problem of fear.🤯

After several unsuccessful attempts, fear seized me, I did not believe in the strategy until the very end, which is why I closed the days in the red. But I did not give up, every day I worked hard, looked for more and more new strategies, and trusted them more and more.📈📈📈

In the end, I became calm, practically stopped getting upset because of losing signals, because I understood that this was only part of a well-thought-out strategy. There is not a single person who has come true all the predictions. Mistakes are good, they show that the error is always present, the main thing is that in the end you would be in the cash.💵

My advice to you is to be calm, never panic and do not hysteria if today is not your day and the rates are not going. Know that strategy always beats error!☑️🎓

Hello subscribers I have unsubscribered over 4200 members from my channel due to unseriousness and inability to participate in the activities here.

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#Bitcoin surpasses Saudi Aramco to become the world’s 7th most valuable asset by market cap.

Bitcoin is experiencing significant capital inflows since September, with the Realized Cap (which tracks the total cost basis of all coins) hitting a new all-time high of $656B. Over the past 30 days, this metric has grown by 3.8% - one of the strongest growth rates since January 2023 - representing $2.5B in fresh capital entering the market. This surge in Realized Cap suggests robust market health, where new investors are actively buying Bitcoin while existing holders taking profits are met with strong demand at higher price levels.

Donald Trump has announced the creation of a new “DOGE” department, with Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy set to lead it.

What Is a Tipset?

A tipset is a term mostly used to describe the blockchain of decentralized storage system Filecoin. Filecoin’s consensus mechanism is built on tipsets, as their Expected Consensus system (unlike Bitcoin) is election-based and allows for multiple miners to be the elected leaders in a round.

This means that Filecoin (or another similar storage system) allows more than one storage miner to create blocks in one epoch, which in turn increases the network throughput. Basing a blockchain on tipsets can also contribute to the security of the network: simply put, since each tipset’s weight is relative to the amount of storage it provides, any node that attempts to disrupt the creation of valid blocks must contend against the consensus’ preference for heavier chains.

Filecoin’s tipset system is similar to Ethereum, since the system motivates participants to collaborate and prevents work being wasted through an increase in chain throughput.

The advantages of using a tipset system are that miners will gather together to support the heaviest chain, or the chain that is creating value — this is because decentralized storage systems naturally prioritize chains that are offering more storage. Tipsets that are lighter chains become orphan blocks, since they don’t have the draw of greater storage power.

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#AUCTION continue to play with the market and reached arouna $15.0 which is 175% in profit with 10x leverage

I hope you enjoyed the free calls these days 🍺

#BTC $89,000 🚀

WE'RE NEAR FOR $90,000 and eventually $100,000 🙌🏻

#BTC have a pretty good weekly closing and gave a new #ATH. We can see some sort of retracement and new ATH multiple times in a Day and in Week too. So expect minor retracement and push higher and accumulate the Dip.

#BTC $80,000 ✅

#DXY UPDATE :

#DXY perfectly played well and tapped into the mentioned resistance area and retraced. Index again gaining the strength and might go above the resistance. Not a Good call for us as it might start melting down the overall market or make it stuck in consolidation. By next week we can have more clarity with the market.

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Weekly TF, had a liquidity sweep and goes through the wick fill. Price making new All-Time Highs Daily, we have no reference to the left and more push can come with a retracement with the strong weekly close.

The Bitcoin trading landscape has changed dramatically since 2016 when perpetual swaps were first introduced. These derivatives instruments have made Bitcoin trading much more sophisticated, allowing traders to use leverage and hedging strategies. The market's current state shows high activity, with total futures positions (Open Interest) hitting a record $32.9B - a sign of increasing leverage in the system.

What is Open interest (OI) ?

Open Interest (OI) serves as a vital market gauge in cryptocurrency trading, particularly in futures and derivatives. At its core, OI represents the total value of all open contracts that haven't been settled yet. Unlike trading volume, which might show $50B worth of daily trades, OI shows how many positions remain actively open in the market. For example, Bitcoin's recent OI reaching $32.9B means there are $32.9 billion worth of futures contracts currently active.

The real power of OI comes from watching how it changes alongside price movements. Imagine Bitcoin's price rising from $60,000 to $65,000 while OI jumps from $25B to $30B - this would suggest strong bullish conviction as more money flows into long positions. Conversely, if OI rises from $25B to $30B while price falls from $65,000 to $60,000, it typically indicates growing bearish sentiment as more traders open short positions.

Historical examples show OI's predictive power. During the 2021 bull run, Bitcoin's OI peaked at around $23B just before the $69,000 all-time high, suggesting an overheated market. When this high leverage unwound, it contributed to the subsequent price crash. Compare this to current markets, where OI has hit $32.9B - a 43% increase from the previous peak, indicating significantly more leverage in the system than during the last cycle.

The practical implications for traders are significant. When OI is high, like the current $32.9B level, it suggests both opportunity and risk. The opportunity comes from strong market participation and potential trend continuation. However, the risk lies in potential liquidation cascades - if Bitcoin were to suddenly move against heavily leveraged positions, it could trigger a chain reaction of forced closures. For context, even a 5% price swing at current OI levels could trigger billions in liquidations, potentially amplifying price movements in either direction.

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Daily TF, had a very strong Daily candle closing, and market right now, going weak as the market, so sideways to this Sharp move up. Price printed a new ATH over $77,000 and retraced lower. Overall, we're bullish so these pullbacks will come, now all eye on Weekly Closing.

#AUCTION/BTC is a perfect buy now as it’s retesting historical support range on higher timeframe 👀

Get in now before takeoff 🛫

What Is a Time-Weighted Automated Market Maker (TWAMM)?

TWAMM refers to Time-Weighted Automated Market Maker. Its aim is to help traders execute large orders with minimal slippage and low gas fees without negatively affecting the price.

In traditional finance (TradFi), traders will often employ brokers to execute large orders algorithmically over a designated time frame, which often gets them the best price. This is often done in the most straightforward way via a Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) order, which gives a security or asset’s price over the designated time frame.

For example, when large traders want to buy an asset, like $10 million worth of Solana, they cannot just execute that as one trade as it will increase the market price by a large number. Typically they will use a trading desk or an algorithm to break down the $10 million order into smaller orders of $1,000 across many hours or days to have less impact on price in the market.
The TWAMM strives to emulate TWAP orders by breaking them up into a combination of an almost infinite number of small orders via an automated market maker (AMM) over a period of time.

This method of trading may result in prices deviating from the crypto market as a whole. The TWAMM relies on arbitrageurs to mitigate this issue, by trading against the AMM’s price to return it back to the market price, ensuring effective execution for long-term orders.

When traders place large buy orders on AMMS, they face the same problems encountered in TradFi due to the constant product formula utilized by the AMM, and buying all at once pushes market makers to raise the price against the trader. Breaking up the trades manually as an alternative can be time-consuming and costs extra gas fees due to the additional transactions required. The TWAMM aims to resolve this issue by automating the small trades, maximizing the smoothness of executing trades at minimal gas fees.

The TWAMM algorithm is one of the first in DeFi which allows users to enter parameters on how much to buy and sell of an asset over a time period like 1 week, number of hours, or days without going to a CEX or some trading desk.

As DeFi and crypto become more mainstream and larger investors enter the market, features like the TWAMM will become essential in facilitating a better trading experience for all users, further facilitating the adoption and usage of DEXs.

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@Alexmascioli2