A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures @a1tradingfxanalysis Channel on Telegram

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

@a1tradingfxanalysis


Welcome to A1 Trading's Telegram Channel!
Explore free trade ideas on forex, indices, gold, & more.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures (English)

Are you looking to enhance your trading skills and stay updated on the latest market trends? Look no further than A1 Trading's Telegram channel! As the name suggests, this channel focuses on providing valuable insights and trade ideas for forex and futures trading.

A1 Trading's Telegram channel, with the username @a1tradingfxanalysis, is your go-to destination for free trade ideas on various financial instruments such as forex, indices, gold, and more. Whether you are a seasoned trader or just starting out, this channel offers valuable information and analysis to help you make informed trading decisions.

It is important to note that there may be imposters posing as members of A1 Trading's team. To ensure you are getting accurate and reliable information, make sure to visit their official website at a1trading.com. This is where you can access all of their products and services.

Additionally, A1 Trading encourages its followers to engage with them through their chat feature. By clicking on the provided link, you can connect with the team directly and ask any questions you may have regarding trading strategies, market analysis, or any other related topics.

Whether you are looking for trade ideas, market analysis, or expert advice, A1 Trading's Telegram channel has got you covered. Join now to stay ahead of the curve and take your trading game to the next level!

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 Jan, 13:19


FREE ACCESS TO THE EDGEFINDER!
⭐️ Available from January 20-27th

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Jan, 18:12


πŸ”₯ +980 Pips on SPX500
Floating 98 points, or 980 pips above entry. Price did end up breaking out of the wedge pattern which allowed me to trail my stop loss in profit. If I get stopped out, I will make 51 points or 510 pips.

-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Jan, 14:02


LAST CALL. Come join us in 2025

Use code TGVIP for 30% OFF here:
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Jan, 02:19


Have a good night, traders

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Jan, 21:32


This is a snapshot of the US economy on the EdgeFinder. Here we can quickly glance at the jobs market, inflation data, and economic data to see where it's beating and missing expectations. The table is meant to assess risk appetite in the market. The more blue than red, the more optimistic investors are on indices, bitcoin, stocks, and oil (sometimes). The more red than blue, the more optimistic investors are on assets such as the dollar, gold, and sometimes oil
- Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Jan, 20:45


Here is some positive shifts in net change % from the past four weeks on USOil. COT data was released as a delay due to the market closure last Thursday for a funeral for the late President Jimmy Carter. Tomorrow we will get another COT report pretty close to Tuesday's release.

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Jan, 20:16


As oil price rises, retail sentiment falls further to the bearish side of the trade. This is usually a bullish sign for assets as retail could be too early or completely wrong about a reversal in price.

-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Jan, 19:46


DOW JONES got a 7 point upgrade this morning as a result in a change in trend scores, yields dropping and retail sentiment returning. It looks like only good news on the EdgeFinder after this week's inflation results. Price tested a previous top around $43,300 on the 1D timeframe and stalled. Although inflation is increasing, the market took it as bullish initially because it was as expected. Lower Core might be the catalyst that keeps stocks bullish for now.

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Jan, 19:15


Bitcoin appeared to have broken out of the $100,000 level, but sellers took the crypto back under to $97K. Now there is an established falling trend line on the 1D timeframe with a bottom around $92K. Despite a muted decision on direction, bitcoin looks to be in a tradeable range between $100k and $92. Until we see a breakout, these two zones may be the indicators on when to buy and sell.

-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Jan, 18:52


USOil is bullish in all categories on the EdgeFinder at a +15 score. Price tested the $80 top from August last year and began to retrace on the 1D timeframe. The drop in retail sales could have some impact, but CPI y/y rose due to oil's rise in price. Oil inventories dropped yesterday by 1 million more barrels than expected causing a surge in demand for the commodity.

-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Jan, 14:33


SPX500 Trade Signals
🎯 Entered yesterday
I took this long trade because of a technical setup on the 1D timeframe after price had bounced off the bottom of a bullish flag pattern. But I waited to get in until I saw the lower Core CPI number to confirm that buyers would step in. I am looking for price to complete its move to the top of the flag pattern to watch for a retracement or a break higher into the $6,000s.

If you want to see more trades like this in real-time and get access to Nick’s and Eivind’s trades as well, now’s the perfect time to join our VIP Discord community.

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-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Jan, 19:16


For EdgeFinder fans out there... I am SO excited to finally have this.

The US Economic Data Heatmap is now LIVE! πŸ“ˆ

All US economic data that we showcase within the EdgeFinder can now be easily viewed on our heatmap page πŸ”₯

This is the core reason we began the EdgeFinder construction campaign years ago.

If you have a copy, this new scanner is now available to you (free of charge)

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Jan, 17:04


Quality > Quantity.

Bitcoin signal still doing its thing πŸ‘

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Jan, 17:02


$AAPL 4H Chart:

Still looking rough, even with good inflation data today.

Floating ~$600 in profit so far

Apple continues to look like an overvalued company to me for now. I will stay bearish!

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Jan, 15:26


Stocks are trading slightly higher in the futures market as we are 15 minutes away from the first CPI report of the year. There is nothing to interpret from this morning’s green candle as the numbers have not come out yet. What the market needs to see is a miss from Core and y/y CPI. These are two factors that can help get SPX500 back to a bullish reading. A hotter CPI report could break the index back to the lows of November of last year. If we get a miss, price may attempt another test at the top of the bullish flag pattern on the 1D timeframe.

- Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Jan, 14:48


CPI came in line with expectations except Core, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Although inflation is increasing, the market took it as bullish initially because it was as expected. Core might be the catalyst that keeps stocks bullish for now. Lower core prices combined with a better jobs report last week might be ripe for risk appetite.

-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Jan, 14:38


This commodity can no longer be ignored as the EdgeFinder places its score as high as +14 this morning, one of the strongest readings on our list for some time. Some factors that can affect oil’s score today will be from trend if we get a pullback at these highs or inflation if CPI comes in missing expectations. Since oil’s inflation score is already +2, a miss is the only event that can change the score. If we do not see a miss, oil’s price may break through the $77 top and reach towards $80.

-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

10 Jan, 14:40


Trading results πŸ“ˆ

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

10 Jan, 14:30


JOIN VIP: https://a1trading.com/vip
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

10 Jan, 14:27


EdgeFinder 101 - keep it simple!

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

10 Jan, 14:24


USD/CHF Signals recently πŸ”₯

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

10 Jan, 14:19


Had to close gold trades this morning after a strong jobs report. This seems like a good sign for the stock market now that NFP is higher and wages declined as expected. Although NFP had a substantial beat in expectations, levels are still relatively modest in comparison to the last 12 months. Revisions didn't move enough to cause any sort of stir in that regard, and I think the biggest impact in price direction today will be from unemployment rate dropping. This is exactly what investors want to see, so I look at this stock market sell off initial reaction as a potential long opportunity.

- Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

10 Jan, 13:13


Have questions, or need more details? CHAT US HERE:
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

10 Jan, 13:13


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

09 Jan, 19:25


Unemployment rates are still elevated and are expected to stay this way for the next month or so. It seems that these rates are likely not going to go under 4% any time soon as the overall trend has taken us up by 0.50% from last January.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

09 Jan, 19:09


EdgeFinder has been (and continues) to favor USD strength.

Check out this very uniform reading the EdgeFinder has been signaling.

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

09 Jan, 19:06


$EURUSD - Daily Downtrend Spiral...

As the dollar continues to strengthen, the EURO continues to struggle.

Increased tariffs, and widening interest rate differentials (fed holding rates, Europe cutting rates) could continue to weigh on this pair.

Technically, price is eyeing the previous low.

Will NFP be the catalyst to continue this downtrend?

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

09 Jan, 18:51


Over the past 6 weeks, gold has seen a net positive change in positions which could mean that investors are prepping for a miss in labor data this week. The change in long contracts is low, but the change in shorts is much lower.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

09 Jan, 18:22


Retail sentiment in the tech market indicates fear in the overall market. If the market sells off, we could see the ratio get much higher which would mean the market is too fearful. Fears will likely escalate from now until Friday morning.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

09 Jan, 17:27


Want to follow our signals?

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

09 Jan, 17:25


🀫

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

09 Jan, 17:24


Taking profits on this USD/CHF long signal in VIP πŸš€

Signal was shared just a few days ago.

Total profit: +113 PIPS πŸ”₯

Reasoning: Locking in another profitable trade on USDCHF ahead of tomorrow's NFP event. Going to look for pullbacks as an opportunity to get back in, but for now happy to close out a very nice winner here.

Congrats to those that caught the dollar move too πŸ™

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

09 Jan, 17:13


Adding to the confusion and uncertainty, the SPX500 is now a bullish score on the EdgeFinder along with the other US indices. The change happened solely based the put/call ratio shifting retail sentiment's score from greed to fear. This was a relatively sharp move from 0.78 to 0.95 indicating that the number of puts to every long has increased. The market was a little to greedy until yesterday as fears churned in anticipation of an NFP miss. This is a pivotal level here on the 1D timeframe. Price is stuck between $5,800 and $6,000. A beat could spark another attempt at the highs while a miss could could break the support level.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Jan, 20:12


"The Edgefinder Revolutionized my Trading for 2025"

Thank you Charlie for your 5 star review! We really appreciate you sharing your experience and we're thrilled to hear you are finding the tool useful in your trading analysis.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Jan, 19:05


$AAPL breaking support & upward trendline.

Still playing the short side!

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Jan, 17:58


All alerts updated in VIP.

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Jan, 17:58


FX trades, last few months. Quiet, but steady!

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Jan, 17:47


Anyone else watching USD/CHF?

Up ~63 pips already on this signal from yesterday.

Get our trade alerts sent to your phone.

Join VIP: https://a1trading.com/vip/ (use code TGVIP for a discount!)

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Jan, 16:15


We also continue to see steady institutional accumulation of the #USD / $DXY

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Jan, 16:13


JOLTS Job openings showed an appetite for hiring this morning, boosting US10Y (strong jobs = higher wages = inflation potential)

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Jan, 16:11


This chart should concern you... US10Y

With recent US data continuing to show strength, and questions about whether or not Trump's tariffs could cause increased inflation, the bond market is calling for little to no rate cuts in 2025 from the fed.

This chart is a major contributor to the dollar's recent strength, and the reluctance from rate sensitive stocks & metals (Gold, silver, and other industrial commodities)

If we continue to see upticks in inflation / strong economic prints, this could cause a real scare for risk assets like $BTCUSD, $SPY, $QQQ, and $IWM.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Jan, 21:05


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Jan, 20:55


When it comes to jobs data, I think it's better to not pay much attention to NFP actual numbers and focus more on the surrounding data. JOLTS has become a more important indicator to me as it shows what business environments are like. Wage growth is another important factor, and so are NFP revisions and unemployment rate. Tomorrow, JOLTS will tell us more about job openings in the US and whether or not businesses are comfortable with hiring more in 2025 while in a elevated interest rate environment. Expectations for JOLTS is slightly higher than last month.

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Jan, 20:17


Smart money is long dollar due to its recent change of purchasing T-bills. Because there are going to be less expected rate cuts this year, institutions are lowering their risk by grabbing up more treasury notes that will give them elevated yields for longer. Meanwhile, they are shorting NIKKEI, SPX, DOW and NAS. This looks more risk-off than other weeks we saw in 2024.
- Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Jan, 18:56


Retail sentiment doesn't look to have changed much from last week as DOW and RUSSELL remain in the long category for now. Uncertainty revolves around SPX500, NAS100 and NIKKEI. The crowd likes metals and oil as well while being short the dollar.
- Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Jan, 17:47


Bitcoin is back up again rising over 3.5% on the day from approval of service in the UK and a new and as Micro Strategy made another purchase of 1,070 Bitcoin. What looked like a potential head and shoulders pattern ended up getting broken up by today's rally. The crypto may eventually come up to test the highs around $108,000 if price can close above the level of resistance broken today.

- Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Jan, 17:16


Gold remains a neutral score on the EdgeFinder and has had little directional movement for about a month. However, the metal is still pushing off a key level of support on the 1D timeframe. What investors would want to see this week is a lower trend in jobs data. If wage growth falls while inflation has been on the rise, it could be a good sign for gold bulls. But if stagflation concerns do not come back in to play, the metal could come back down to test lower around $2,600.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Jan, 14:07


If you'd like to see trades we're taking LIVE, consider joining our VIP room.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Jan, 14:04


Here's a look at institutional activity on NASDAQ futures. Overall, pretty steady buying activity...

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Jan, 14:00


NASDAQ Daily Chart:

Is the bull set to continue? Tech stocks continue to look strong, especially following today's weakness in the dollar due to Trump's less intense stance on Tariffs towards critical imports and allies.

Technicals wise? We look great. The recent retracement is now showing signs of potentially breaking out higher. I remain bullish and long unless we break key support (as shown in the attached image)

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Jan, 17:46


Smart money is not buying indices, but they are buying dollar, T-bills and oil. They are likely buying DXY and treasuries because rates are likely to stay around this level for the year and they can lock in some yield.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Jan, 17:25


Retail sentiment is showing an increase in bulls from the options market. The put/call ratio is almost near extreme greed area. This means that the market could be about to pull back.
- Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Jan, 16:45


Great question from a member!

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Jan, 16:36


Tech stocks came back from the pre market highs and are moving towards break even. With NVDA up over 2%, the tech index may have a chance, but everything is falling this morning so the NASDAQ may be stuck making swings both ways today. The indices do look to be in a prime spot for recovery back to the highs, and that strategy has worked all of 2024. It might not be a bad idea to look for a bounce here.

- Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Jan, 16:12


USOil is up over 1% today as uncertainties rise in the markets and demand grows in the energy sector. There is an increase in oil consumption which has caused less oil production cuts in anticipation of this added demand. It looks like the commodity could try to test the mid $70s range if it can hold above resistance at $72. Oil has hovered near the bottom around $67 and broke through a sideways channel on the 1D timeframe. We will likely see today whether or not this trend has been broken.

- Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Jan, 15:23


US OIL Daily Chart:

Are we finally seeing a breakout? Technicals look strong here as we break through the last few months range.

With strong economic growth data out of the US, could oil demand take is back to the 80s?

EdgeFinder also giving us a confirming signals. Looking for longs!

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Jan, 14:16


πŸ‘€ Sneak peak into the EdgeFinder's top setups now

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

01 Jan, 13:03


Happy New Years Traders! πŸ₯‚πŸŽ†

Let's make 2025 your best trading year yet!

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

31 Dec, 16:42


πŸš€ Ready to Level Up Your Trading in 2025?
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

31 Dec, 16:39


🚨 The Biggest Barrier Holding Back Traders
After years of trading, creating content, and connecting with thousands of traders, I’ve noticed one recurring issue that holds so many back from success: Unrealistic expectations.

Here’s the reality:
No one expects to become a doctor or engineer in six months. But somehow, social media has led many people to believe they can master trading in that time and start making life-changing money.

The truth? Trading is a skill that takes years to develop. It’s about steady progress, not quick riches. Even when you become profitable, consistent returns are modest, not exponential. For example, making 2–5% per month on a $100,000 account is excellent, but that’s $2,000–$5,000β€”not the 15–20% returns many expect.

Even the best hedge fund managers don’t achieve those kinds of numbers consistently. Trying to force unrealistic returns is how most traders blow their accounts.

So, ask yourself:
Are you here because you love the process, or are you chasing fast money? If you’re in it for the long haul, here’s my advice:

1️⃣ Take your timeβ€”trading is a marathon, not a sprint.
2️⃣ Set realistic goals and focus on small, consistent wins.
3️⃣ Embrace the learning process.

Trading is tough, but for those willing to commit, the rewards go far beyond money. Let 2025 be the year you focus on growth and real progress! πŸ™Œ

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

30 Dec, 17:40


Stocks, dollar, bonds, oil and gold are in demand for smart money according to last week's COT report. Meanwhile, NZD, JPY, AUD and ZAR have been sold. Despite the sell off we've seen in the stock markets, smart money is buying up risk assets.

-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

30 Dec, 15:56


πŸ’­ Ready to make 2025 your breakthrough trading year?
As we wrap up 2024 and look ahead to 2025, it’s the perfect time to level up your trading game. Why not kick off the new year with the resources and strategies to help you succeed?

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

30 Dec, 13:50


Nevermind! We just hit target πŸŽ‰

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

30 Dec, 13:49


Floating 104 pips on USDCHF πŸš€

I will potentially be taking profits on this move soon.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

27 Dec, 16:59


Nearing profit target on USDCHF. Floating about 75 pips now in profit πŸ‘

-Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

27 Dec, 14:07


If you would like to follow more of our stock picks for next year, please consider also subscribing to our stocks & options analysis channel: t.me/a1stocksandoptions

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

27 Dec, 13:57


Nike ($NKE) recently reported decent earnings, and I wanted to share this chart with everyone.

What you're looking at is the price/earnings ratio over time for Nike, showing that relative to its own history, NKE is trading at a lower than average valuation.

Nike is a stock pick I like going into 2025, as it has been beaten down badly in the last 2 years due to rising competitors like Hoka.

However, with a recent CEO shift (an insider from Nike taking on the role), I think they can pull off a strong turnaround story in coming years.

I will be looking to build a position on this stock going into the new year.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

26 Dec, 20:39


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

26 Dec, 18:25


UE claims came in lower for the second week in a row and could be keeping stocks afloat today. Claims have been relatively the same for some time, but it could serve as volatile news as it is the only USD news this week.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

26 Dec, 17:44


Last week's activity composed of buying Treasuries, stock indices, bitcoin and mostly, the dollar. Today, however, there isn't much happening in the market price action-wise. There is hardly any volatility today as we close up the first hour of trading.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

26 Dec, 17:22


The crowd is long Dow, gold, RUSSELL, oil. This suggests that retail is buying everything as they are broadening out into different areas of the market.

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

26 Dec, 16:55


Rising yields is bringing rise to the dollar while hurting assets such as Bitcoin, gold, stocks. We could be looking at the peak price of Bitcoin for now after an incredible run to $108,000 followed by profit taking. My target was $110,000 and we fell just short of it this month. At this point, it seems to me that the rally is probably fizzling out, and $110K is no longer a target I'm looking for. What we're looking at could possibly be a head and shoulders pattern on the 1D timeframe with support at $90,000 and much lower to $73,000.
- Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

26 Dec, 16:07


The 10 year treasury yield rose this month due to the Fed's cautious stance on inflation and lesser concerns over the labor market. Rate cuts were meant to save jobs but at the cost of inflation rising. Now the Fed needs to rebalance and gauge when they think the next cut is necessary. Next year, forecasts only show one or two more by 2026. Treasuries are now losing demand as yields continue to climb and will likely keep rising in 2025.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Dec, 18:53


USD, CHF, NIKKEI, bond notes, and SPX were the top bought assets last week. Meanwhile, NASDAQ and RUSSELL were neutral. Smart money actually sold blue chips last week suggesting that demand is going into a broader market index such as SPX while leaving tech, small caps and blue chips out of the equation.

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Dec, 18:21


Retail sentiment is leaning back into metals, commodities, small caps and Dow. Meanwhile, other global indices are in the neutral camp and the only asset being sold by the crowd is USDCAD, which has been our top bullish pair on the EdgeFinder.

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Dec, 17:52


Gold is still a neutral reading because of two contradicting signals. The bullish signal is that stagflation poses a severe threat in 2025, an indicator of extreme bullishness for the metal. However, the Fed has decided to keep from devaluing the dollar for the time being in order to battle inflation again. So gold is kind of stuck in this uncertain market where demand is hesitant.

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Dec, 17:20


NZDUSD is the top bearish pair on our list right now for the same reasons as USDCAD. Since the rest of the world is trying to ease as well, a Fed pause in 2025 would keep the value of the dollar higher than other countries' currencies. Just from looking at the EF score, we can tell that the economics in the US are healthier than in New Zealand. So less rate cuts to work on bringing inflation down will only help the USD.

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Dec, 16:49


USDCAD is the top bullish score on the EdgeFinder now as the dollar gains more demand from investors who are expecting interest rates to be elevated for longer. This news caused risk sentiment to slow down and money to flow back into the dollar.

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Dec, 15:41


Solid start on USD/CHF! 🀝 β˜•οΈ

Up about 57 pips, looking to hold for profit around 0.9043

-Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Dec, 14:47


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23 Dec, 14:47


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20 Dec, 15:54


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Dec, 19:39


https://form.jotform.com/242024771293151

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Dec, 19:37


Sorry - too many people blew up the link... one sec, lol

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Dec, 19:30


There you go.

Enjoy, Happy Holidays

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Dec, 19:28


Would anyone like an early Christmas present from A1 Trading?

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We really appreciate you guys support of our work in this channel this year, and want to give you something useful to study during the Holidays!

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Dec, 17:16


This is the interest rate forecast going into Q3 of 2025 in the US. Rates are depicted to drop to 4.25% (which is only a 25 bps move from here) and remain there until perhaps Q4. Powell said only 2 more rate cuts are expected for now.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Dec, 16:46


The main fear gauge used in the markets is the VIX which spike over 70% yesterday in the last two hours of trading. Although this is a bad sign for the bulls, there is a common pattern for every time the VIX breaks above $22 in the past year. Each time we get a spike in volatility, it is shortly quelled before buyers step back in. The VIX dropped 20% after flying through $28. Although volatility may drop, bearish sentiment may linger in the stock market.

-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Dec, 16:03


NASDAQ got kicked off the strongest bullish score on our list after yesterday's 5% drop from the highs. Investors were hoping for an aggressive Fed to cut back down to under 3% in 2025, but it looks like it won't be happening. As a result, we might not be seeing the euphoric market that we thought next year. If that is the case, 2025 could be another choppy year littered with uncertainties. Today, we could see a similar move to yesterday if this bounce is a bull trap. Further support is around $20,700 if we continue to see a drop.
-Frank

Data from the EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

04 Dec, 17:52


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

04 Dec, 16:46


False Hope for Oil
Oil prices rise on further tensions in Russia and Ukraine, while South Korean president Yeol declared martial law before parliament got it rejected several hours later. Geopolitical tensions are rising, but the market remains steady for now and oil consolidates around $69. Price is between two key levels at $72 and $67, but it seems unlikely that it will continue to push higher on for the day. The score has changed into positive territory on the EF due to a reversal in trend, but no real fundamental bias. This could go back to a +3 overall score this week sometime if the uptrend ceases.
-Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

04 Dec, 14:23


BTCUSD Daily Chart:

Price action looks a bit stagnant just short of 100k. I do believe there is a strong probability that we head to test that, but would personally like to wait for a retest before possible longs.

Fundamentally, I think BTC has a good backdrop into 2025. With the return of Donald Trump and the new department of government efficiency (DOGE) run by Elon Musk, Bitcoin currently has some strong allies taking power. Additionally, we see a pretty strong setup for the US economy, amidst falling inflation and a consumer feeling stronger than recent years.

I remain bullish, but patiently waiting for an opportunity.

- Nick

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03 Dec, 17:57


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03 Dec, 16:34


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

03 Dec, 15:54


NASDAQ Daily Chart:

Price looks poised for a breakout, now that we've returned to all time highs.

Fundamentally, we have a decently strong US economy, the fed still plans to reduce interest rates, and inflation is much more under control.

Technically, I will be looking for either a break and retest of the highs, or a pullback down towards 20,400.

Feeling bullish...

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Dec, 22:02


US Manufacturing PMI data came out today higher than expected and rose by a substantial amount from last month. However, in a primarily services economy, this number does not matter as much as Services PMI on Wednesday. These are a few of the key metrics to come out this week as we await jobs data starting with JOLTS tomorrow.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Dec, 21:35


On the other side of sentiment, it seems COT and retail are in agreement on the direction of gold and oil. The largest positions to the upside are yen, NASDAQ and oil. Meanwhile, they are selling out of small caps, NIKKEI, DOW and treasuries.

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02 Dec, 21:21


Metals have been on the top of the list for some time. Oil and gold are also hot commodities among the crowd, meaning that gold might not be ready to return to the highs yet and oil might not be ready to recover from the lows.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Dec, 20:47


After the crypto's meteoric spike to the upside, Bitcoin's price struggles just under the $100,000 mark. Risk sentiment has not declined in the stock market, but signs of diminishing optimism in the crypto market are very much present. Last week's candle closed in a bearish way suggesting buyer's exhaustion. Although investor may be optimistic on Bitcoin, it could be out of buyers in the short term.

- Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

02 Dec, 20:31


Gold's score has been creeping higher over the past few days which could indicate that investors are betting on a slow down in the US labor market this Friday. The metal is in between a level of support and resistance at $2,600 and $2,670s. It looks like there was a head and shoulders pattern on the 1D timeframe that caused the initial drop, but price has remained steady for the past several trading days. Worse NFP and unemployment numbers could result in a rise in demand for the metal.

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02 Dec, 20:00


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29 Nov, 15:12


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

27 Nov, 14:48


Gold, Daily Chart:

Although not as exciting - I remain neutral on gold at this time.

From a price action perspective, I think we need to wait for a breakout one way or the other.

Levels I'm watching:
- A break of 2700 or 2560

Fundamentals:
- Election drama is behind us
- Peace negotiations going seemingly well in Israel
- US economy looking robust.

Bearish fundamentals, technicals very mixed.

If I take a trade, it will be shared in VIP.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

27 Nov, 14:44


USD/JPY
UJ is coming down towards the 149.500s support level today on one of the most bearish days since September. This could seem like a risk-off alert, but yields are dropping and so is the VIX. Sentiment could be momentarily going heavy risk-on this week and next as we get closer to closing out the month.

- Frank

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24 Nov, 14:41


Nick's Gold Trade Breakdown
August 2, 2024

🟒 Entry Price: 2472.47
πŸ”΄ Exit Price: 2567.87

Trade Result: $1,816.36 (3.97%)

Technical Analysis:
After breaking a key level of daily resistance, and pulling back into now support, a buy entry was executed with stops just below recent swing lows.

Fundamental Analysis:
With the fed poised to cut rates in 2024, and uncertain economic conditions (notably, cooling jobs data and a weakening US dollar)

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24 Nov, 14:35


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Nov, 18:45


Jobless claims came in lower for the third straight week in a row. Revisions are slightly holding us back as previous numbers keep getting revised higher. The overall trend is lower however, and seeing a steady in the jobs market could be what investors are looking for.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Nov, 18:43


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Nov, 18:42


Stops trailed :)

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Nov, 18:39


Will BTC hit 100k this week?

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Nov, 18:03


Here is bitcoin's COT vs retail positioning. We can see that retail is getting increasingly long while COT is dropping their positions. This could be telling us that this current wave of price swings could be retail-led. With the introduction of more options trading on BTC ETFs, institutions and retail traders alike could be flooding the market with interest.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Nov, 17:21


NASDAQ, SPX and DOW are mixed while RUSSELL and gold are getting bought. The crowd is also getting long USOil despite the amount of oil production happening in the US. This could be a short term trade to the upside as geopolitical tensions increase in Russia-Ukraine.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Nov, 16:14


Bitcoin to $100,000
The reason Bitcoin's price could come up to $100k by month end is not just because it's very close to target, but because there are opportunities for the crypto to fly to $110,000. Options on crypto ETFs have been launched by Black Rock to allow and encourage further speculation in the coin's price. This could lead to short term interest and take Bitcoin past expectations, become over extended, and possibly correct. In the short term, $110,000 might be the top, with support much lower at $80,000.
-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 Nov, 20:48


Gold is making another attempt at the highs after geopolitical tensions swell in Ukraine/Russia. This has not really affected Bitcoin's price, but it has startled the US markets. If the metal continues to climb, price could come up to the $2,680s and form a head and shoulders pattern on the 1D timeframe. Gold had a year notching better returns than the stock market, but upside seems more limited than other assets such as stocks, bitcoin, dollar (maybe). I would imagine that when tensions fall again, so will the price of gold.
-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 Nov, 20:33


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 Nov, 15:11


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Nov, 19:55


S&P 500
The market slid this morning on Russia-Ukraine tensions. Now price is back to break even on the day as we await NVDA’s earnings after the bell on Wednesday. Walmart beat earnings this morning which was good news for the countercyclical business and may suggest higher demand in consumer defensive stocks. However, we now have perhaps the biggest earnings play of the year at 4 pm EST tomorrow. This report will likely set the tone for all of tech, especially semis and AI companies. If we do see a beat in both EPS and revenue along with an upward guidance, we will likely get the green light on indices.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Nov, 18:32


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19 Nov, 18:31


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Nov, 18:29


This trade was alerted to members from the beginning.

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Nov, 18:24


BTCUSD Daily Chart

The crypto gods are favoring us this day.

Bitcoin just became my top performing trade this year...

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Nov, 18:16


Gold bounced for the second day after a harsh pullback to a strong trend line. The metal may have limited upside as demand for the dollar and stocks stays high. This short term swing could be another setup to the short side after price tested resistance above $2,615. Gold had a good technical bounce off a clear support level, but it might not be enough to bring prices back to all time highs. The EF ranks gold at a -4.
- Frank

Data From The EdgeFinder!
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Nov, 20:16


I'm watching several charts - but I wanted to share this screenshot.

I am finding it hard to find new entries at this time, because several of the top setups ideas are currently not fully agreeing with price action.

I would like to see a technical setup + fundamental setup, and currently don't see many setups that have confluence between the two.

Staying patient, but watching!

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Nov, 19:12


There was another change of 0.4% retail sales growth last month indicating steady rises in consumer spending. This is a good sign because investors don't want to see a surprise increase in spending and at the same time, don't want to see a decline. The economy needs to stay healthy, but not rum rampant and cause another inflationary concern.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Nov, 18:22


For the first week in a while, there is a clear shift away from stocks last week. SPX is the top seller at -7.09%, and the rest of the indices were sold as well. Just about everything saw a negative net positional change except, AUD, ZAR, EUR, GBP and NIKKEI.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Nov, 17:31


Gold caught a swing back to the upside this morning which could break the 6 day losing streak falling 8% off the highs. Price came down to a significant trend line on the 1D timeframe and is now up 1.79% today. This could be a good entry for buyers this week, but we will have to see if the metal can stay above the $2,600s level. This could be a short term swing from being oversold.

-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Nov, 16:19


Gold Daily Chart:

I'm watching cautiously here... The post election selloff in gold seems to be trying to find a bounce at these levels.

However, we recently saw a similar attempt to bounce, that was met with a strong bearish move lower.

The US dollar's recent strength, due to a robust US economy, is a major headwind I see for gold at this time.

Unless inflation begins to cool again, and US economic data slows, I remain neutral / slightly bearish on this one.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Nov, 16:16


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08 Nov, 19:47


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Nov, 19:21


The crowd seems to be getting more attracted to the metal after its initial drop from the highs. Meanwhile, COT history suggests that smart money is getting out. You can see that after COT was reduced in late October, price peaked the next week and is now on a decline.
- Frank
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Nov, 18:50


Retail suggests that they might start shorting the markets here at the highs. All the indices seem to have fallen in bullish positioning as all are neutral and RUSSELL is the least long asset in the long assets. The crowd is still buying gold and oil.
- Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Nov, 18:20


Is this a Legitimate Warning Sign?
US treasury notes are now leaning bullish as the EF scores dip into positive territory. Meanwhile, the treasury yields flew higher. Notes and yields have a negative correlation. As yields go higher, the price of the note decreases, and vice-versa.

Higher yields suggest the Fed won't be cutting as aggressively due to an anticipated period of growth. Wherever yields are heading will directly affect gold, so it's important to hear what the Fed plans to do with interest rates going forward. If they sound like 25-50 bps are too much to cut each meeting, it may cause yields to go higher/gold to go down.
- Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Nov, 18:11


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Nov, 17:45


What seemed like an unstoppable force ended up giving back weeks of gains in only a short amount of time. Yesterday was the worst day for gold in the past several months. What seems to be the cause behind the drop were clued by higher bond yields. The actual rate decision will not affect gold in the longer run, rather the Fed statement will.

It seemed that Powell was clear about cutting rates to help the jobs market - at the expense of higher inflation. If we do anticipate a period of growth, there may not be any reason to cut rates further. Spending, circulation and more jobs may bring back the inflation issue. And this could prevent the Fed from cutting rates, thus less bullish for gold.

- Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Nov, 16:45


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Nov, 15:59


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

07 Nov, 14:16


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Nov, 20:52


Similarly to the markets rising before the Trump victory, yields may be pricing in a less dovish tone from the Fed tomorrow. Expectations are still near 100% that the Fed will cut by some amount, but maybe bonds are telling us not to expect too much easing from the Fed. Especially since inflation has not moved comfortably where analysts expected by now, we might not have the green light on consecutive interest rate cuts in 2025.

Judging by the stock market's reaction, we could be looking at a period of substantial growth. However, this type of environment often leads to more spending, higher circulation of the dollar, thus higher inflation. Entering into a period of higher growth at the cost of higher inflation is not a bad thing, but it may mean that the Fed doesn't need to cut. If there's nothing to save (jobs, GDP, consumer spending...), then there might not be a reason to ease on policy much more.

- Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Nov, 17:42


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Nov, 16:18


Gold finally breaks lower after several months of upside. Major risk on sentiment has returned to the markets which alleviated all the pressure from geopolitical tensions, direction of the economy, and major uncertainty now that we have an outcome in the election. Tomorrow’s interest rate report is set to come out with a cut. Lower rates may be bullish for the metal as it suggests a weaker dollar. Yields are rising too which is likely putting pressure on gold. If price can’t hold up at support, it may look to test lower around $2,600.
- Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Nov, 15:48


RUSSELL
Small caps took off last night on a Trump victory and optimism from small business tax cuts. The Fed meets tomorrow to discuss interest rates and make another decision on monetary policy. There is nearly 100% consensus the Fed will cut by either 25 or 50 bps tomorrow which is another catalyst for the index. Price has tested resistance on the 1D timeframe and may look to retrace in the short term.
- Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Nov, 14:48


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

06 Nov, 13:36


With Donald Trump winning the 2024 election - there are a few quick notes I wanted to share that the market will likely now focus on.

- Trump re-flation concerns: with the proposed tariffs and large expectation for government spending, it is possible that inflation does not roll over easily. This is likely why the bond market is currently seeing a sky rocket in the 10yr treasury yield

- Stock market rally: with Trump's pro business agenda, which includes looser regulations and low taxes, stock are ballooning higher today.

- Crypto boom: Going again off of the lesser regulations side, crypto is higher today as the Trump/Vance administration seems favorable towards BTC.

- Foreign affairs uncertainty: Whether you like or dislike him, Trump brings volatility and uncertainty to the global situation - which is a sensitive one as is.

- Metals selloff: I mentioned this in my livestream yesterday. Following the election of both Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020, gold fell in price. This is likely due to the de-risking that takes place following an election getting called. The question of whether a peaceful pass of power will take place is no longer so scary, so investors move away from gold in the short term.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

05 Nov, 20:39


According to betting odds - the election is still expected to be very close.

It is unlikely there will be a conclusive decision by tomorrow, but we will have to see.

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

25 Oct, 12:03


BTCUSD Daily Chart:

Great start on this one so far. I am looking for a break through the highs in order to trail stops into profit.

Commodities, bitcoin, stocks, all look healthy to me right now with the macro environment seemingly pointing to a soft landing story ending.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Oct, 19:01


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Oct, 18:14


Jobless claims came out softer than expected which added another notch to the bullish record of economic data. The market is still dropping however, as we near mid day. We could be giving back the gains we made from overnight trading after TSLA earnings.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Oct, 18:05


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Oct, 17:40


Tech stocks have topped Dow (US30) in terms of bullishness on the EdgeFinder. We are getting towards the end of the month which means seasonality for this asset is going to be much higher in a week from Friday. TSLA's earnings has the biggest impact on NAS100 which popped early this morning.

We will have to see if the rally stays or fades after the biggest one-day jump this year for the EV automaker. Put/call ratio is now heading lower towards a more neutral sentiment after rising into the a slight fear reading.
-Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Oct, 16:51


BTC has been a top setup for the last few weeks, looking for more upside and trailing stops from here.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Oct, 16:48


BTCUSD 4H Chart:

Price bounced nicely off of this level of support + 38.2% retracement

I like bitcoin a lot going into 2025. Risk on seems to be the prevailing environment...

Cooling inflation, fed easing interest rates, economy decently holding up with strong employment data.

Bitcoin absolutely trades off of fundamentals :)

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Oct, 16:26


The S&P 500 is up to start the day, but has another hurdle to pass. After bouncing from the rising trend line on the 1D timeframe, the market will need to look for a break above the $5,850s to confirm the breakout of a consolidation zone.

Unemployment claims also came in much less worrisome than expected by 16K less claims. That number should also provide some optimism in this slow news week for the USD which is down today on solid earnings and economic news.

-Frank

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24 Oct, 12:59


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Oct, 18:00


Russell 2000 Index:

Small caps taking a beating today as well. I took a loss trying to go long this yesterday, but fortunately got out for a smaller loss this morning.

Looking for a possible second long attempt in VIP.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Oct, 17:58


NASDAQ Daily Chart

Price is pulling back in the last few days, down just shy of 2% today.

I am bullish on tech stocks until evidence that the uptrend is broken.

Signs of bears taking control would be a break and close under the 19,600 level on NAS100.

Will be watching / trading this myself.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Oct, 17:51


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Oct, 15:27


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- Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

23 Oct, 15:07


S&P 500
Markets come down for the third straight session this morning as we stall in another consolidation zone near the highs. McDonalds is one of the stocks down significantly today after an E Coli outbreak which sent the stock down 7% in premarket. Big tech is down to start the day, so today’s price action may be limited to the upside. The EdgeFinder still has a clear bullish score at +11 today. So although today could be red again, the overall trend still looks strong and healthy to the upside.
-Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

22 Oct, 17:13


Oil prices rebound after another barrage of missiles were launched at Israel last night. Price is once again testing a falling trend line on the 1D timeframe while stocks come down today. Earnings season has rattled the markets, but analysts still favor a bullish market and lower oil prices. The EdgeFinder has oil at a neutral rating.
-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

22 Oct, 16:08


Gold is still climbing despite a bearish reversal candle on yesterday’s move. Waiting for pullbacks may not be he best move as I have not been able to participate in gold past $2,600s. But price is now testing the top of a channel once again. If we do see a reversal, it could still be a good entry for buyers to step in, but it will need to be a 2-3% move lower to suggest a bullish setup.
-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

22 Oct, 15:55


SPX500 touches down to a supportive trend line on the 4H timeframe and looks to have caught a short term bounce. The market is about 1% off the highs which usually tends to be a solid entry for buyers to step in on this resilient market. If price can’t hold here, it may come down another percent to the $5,770 level. Still no major news today other than earnings. EdgeFinder has this scored at a +10.

-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

22 Oct, 15:01


Inflation last year or so. Contributing to gold's meteoric rally.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

22 Oct, 15:00


Gold Daily Chart:

The bulls remain in full control. This trend is supported by fundamentals as well, with falling inflation globally and central banks cutting interest rates.

Additionally, uncertainties in global conflicts (middle east, Ukraine, etc) + elections in the US continue to elevate price.

Bullish until something changes. Most likely scenario is in yellow (in my opinion), bearish confirmation would look more like waiting for red path scenario.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

22 Oct, 14:14


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21 Oct, 19:35


Some interesting data from the business forecast is projecting inflation rates to rise over the next 3-4 quarters starting in Q1 of next year. Inflation is expected to bottom out around 2% before heading higher in the coming months. We will need to monitor these forecasts more along with labor data to make sure we are not heading for another slowdown/stagflation scenario.

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21 Oct, 19:15


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2016: Rough. Had no idea what I was doing, quickly learned this stuff was hard

2017: slightly better, still negative. Learned a lot!

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2019: very profitable!

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Oct, 19:07


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Oct, 19:03


RUSSELL, Platinum, NIKKEI, SPX, oil and gold are the handful of assets bought up this week. DOW and NAS were sold the heaviest out of any asset on the EdgeFinder's report from the CFTC website. This is suggesting a very mixed group of traders from institutions and hedge funds.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Oct, 18:42


SPX500, DAX and USDCAD are among the top shorted assets on the list. Gold is mixed with NASDAQ, NIKKEI, GU and UJ. UK100 is the top most bought index from the crowd.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Oct, 17:35


The S&P is still a strong bullish score despite retail's switch to majority long on the index. The 2 year yield rose today as well which could pressure bullish sentiment, but COT is still buying. October is still a seasonally bullish month for the index.

Markets shake this morning ahead of several earnings reports that are to come out this week. 405 are reported today alone, followed by several hundred more throughout the week. Sentiment has not necessarily changed, but the the flood of earnings could discourage investors from wanting to participate in a potentially high volatility week.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Oct, 16:45


Another bullish score is NASDAQ at +8 to start off Monday morning. Stocks began to sell off early this morning during premarket trading, but have pared most of these losses by the open. With lots of earnings this week, the market remains uncertain about this week's direction with Tesla in focus.

Next week will be a key week for tech as we have MSFT, GOOGL, META and AAPL. Because big tech has carried a lot of the weight this year, their outperformance needs to be justified with stronger earnings. An issue with these earnings reports next week is that the company will have to consistently blow it out of the water to suggest higher price moves.
-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Oct, 16:42


NIKKEI is the strongest asset on the EdgeFinder at +12. With a weaker yen and uncertain policy from the BOJ, the index has almost every fundamental and technical score going in its favor. The put/call ratio suggests that we are in bullish favor from traders' sentiment.

COT reports show that smart money is getting increasingly long the markets. They are also selling yen after getting an unclear picture from the BOJ who is known for being unpredictable on their decisions regarding monetary policy.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Oct, 19:09


Silver Daily Chart:

Dang.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Oct, 16:21


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Oct, 19:43


We got another boost from economic data today with retail sales at 0.4% which is higher than expected. USD gained as a result with the stock market. Gold is up nearing all time highs as well.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Oct, 18:40


Smart money loves the stock market right now while retail remains neutral. An ideal situation for sentiment would be if retail began shorting the asset while COT remained long. This would likely identify another uptrend in the market with small periods of consolidation.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Oct, 17:21


Retail is buying more than previous months now as head near the month of November. USDCAD is the only short position from the crowd. RUSSELL is now mixed, NASDAQ is mixed and DOW too. Retail may be getting ready to short the indices now that they are at or near all time highs, but that could be a mistake.
-Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Oct, 16:39


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Oct, 16:15


Although DOW is the strongest bull reading on the list, we are now seeing a resurgence in tech demand despite the chip scare earlier this week. The Biden administration is aiming to put restrictions on exporting AI chips to other countries to prevent national security risks, but those fears seem to have subsided.

NVDA had an ugly day on Tuesday, but the stock has sharply risen since that 5% drop. Now up over 8% from the lows of Tuesday, price nears an all time high which would be $141. With heavy focus on the chipmaker stock, we can get a good read on where the rest of the market is heading, which seems to be up for now.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Oct, 15:45


One commodity that is underperforming now are oil prices after an incredible short term run to the upside. On the 1D timeframe, it looks like price made a false breakout to indicate a trend reversal as oil gets closer to the $60s price range.

Lower oil prices could mean softer inflation data in the next report although it will not affect Core CPI. Nearing the election, it seems like a lower commodity price could likely happen in the next month as well. Seasonally, November is oil's second worst month of the year according to the EdgeFinder.

-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Oct, 15:30


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-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Oct, 15:17


USDJPY came out of extreme bearish territory in early October and is now a positive-neutral reading on the EdgeFinder. The dollar is gaining momentum on good economic data and inflation news along with the expectations of softer rate cuts than expected.

Originally, investors thought 50 bps was needed in the next meeting. But seeing an improvement in the US economic state has relieved some of the pressures from the Fed cut as aggressively. Fears of a carry trade unwind might be over now that the pair has broken above the $149 level of resistance.
-Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Oct, 18:33


Congrats to those that caught the move though!

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Oct, 18:32


Painful one to miss... EURUSD selloff continues without me!

Going to wait patiently for a pullback. I'm bearish on this pair.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Oct, 17:04


Hint: That's not the edgefinder......

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Oct, 17:03


Shhhhhh 🀫

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Oct, 17:03


$XLRE Daily Chart: (Real estate ETF)

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Oct, 17:02


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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Oct, 14:59


Bitcoin +9 on EdgeFinder
Regardless of a Trump or Harris victory, bitcoin looks like the highs could be reached in the last quarter of the year. Due to softer inflationary data from CPI and PPI, investors are likely going to put money into more speculative assets like the stock market and bitcoin which somewhat acts as a leveraged ETF of the S&P. Trump has also endorsed the crypto when he held a bitcoin conference in Nashville during the summer. The next level price could test could be around $70,000 if the rally continues from the breakout above the falling trend line on the 1D timeframe.

-Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Oct, 13:42


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