Slips.n.Tips

🪜 NBA LADDER - SNT 🪜

Replacement as Bogdan isn’t playing anymore

Good spot to fade Tyus here imo. His only gone over this 5 times out of 22 games this season and this is a tough match up for him vs this Magic team who play slow, defend well and are 1st in points against and 10th in points against for his position

🪜 SNT LADDER DAY 1 🪜

Back again to day 1 … this time no Denver ML becuase what the hell …

Reasons in second photo.

Boggy is the hardest one here. Need him to step up

Live on my feed

🏀 NBA PART 2 🏀

Expecting Sengun to really struggle in the paint today and that match up against Zubac is not going to do him any favours, I honestly wanted to take his unders on his points but I think this is a better spot because he should be dishing the ball out a lot and we need to pray that vanvleet doesn’t play as he’s currently listed as gametime decision. That would only help this.

For the Warriors I have been watching the NBA long enough to know that when an opposition team is versing you multiple times in one week, their goal is to usually steal at least one win on the road and that is what the Timberwolves did last game. The Warriors shot horribly and had so many turnovers and were really sloppy all around. They are still a great team and even better team at home so I’m expecting a strong bounce back spot here and for them to come out and start off really strong. The odds are worth it and Steph Curry is in which is always so important

Will try add more to this write-up later, but for now this is a general gist of my thinking

Ladder to follow

🏀 NBA PART 1 🏀

Late post sorry for all my Aussies. Will try and get around to doing a write up later. Just want to get these out now before any major line movement or changes.

More to come

🏀 NBL 🏀

Fading the United game that’s on soon with no Goulding

I think it’s finally time to jump on Bryce after monitoring for a few games. This should be a high scoring back and fourth game and I expect to see him make some open threes and get to his jump shot a lot. Adelaide missing DJ and Trez but Davis back is huge, he alone can help contribute to make this game go over which I think it will.

Both teams great at rebounding and play at a fast pace. Screams over to me. Henshall isn’t a great passer but a lot of plays run through him. Low number the bookies went with here as his usually getting 3-5 assists per game. In a game like this I’ll take the over.

1.1u on total over
1.15u on Cotton
1.15u on Henshall
0.60u on the multi

🏈 NFL PART 2 🏈

Last 2 picks. Not going too hard as it’s been a cold run for my NFL picks. Also will struggle to find time soon to do a full write up. When I’m home later I’ll come back here and try add it in

Time to bounce back and see some ticks!

Usuall unit strategy, happy to go 3/4 and goal is to obviously sweep

Just like Ja, Pacheccos owes me big time for letting us down the last few weeks. His due to pay us back

Tracy has a dream spot I honestly couldn’t ignore him here. Should be a close one too I think

All live on my feeeeed

Let’s sweep this thing 🍀

🪜 NBA LADDER - DAY 3 🪜

Let’s keeeeeeeeep climbing! Reasons in second pic as per usual 🫡

🏀 NBA 🏀

My bad gang late post. I been out and about on this Saturday night and only got to my phone before too cook

Let’s roll these all got insanely good potential, great hit rates and the match up is perfect for them. No KD and Bookers everything goes up when his out

Watered down Williams line for the multi, it jumped up to 22.5 on SB and I don’t like it there.

White and Brunson all playable at a point higher. Other 2 should be here

Sorry no full write up. Will be home soon to cook up some more. Always tough on Saturday nights.

Ladders will focus on later games also dw

Let’s sweeeeeep 🤞🏻

🪜 DAY 5🪜

Half way there. Shits getting real!!

Let’s climb!!

Reasons in second photo

🏀 NBA 🏀

don’t hate me team but no full write up for these. Will have something up soon but want to get them out as im currently out and about visiting Sydney

all good hit rates and no unders as its the NBA cup!!

🏀 NBA 🏀

continuing on I only have two more players so three picks today in a four game slate

Go read my write up on IG you want to see why I’m going with these two guys 😁🤞🏻

🏀 NBA 🏀

It’s quite late sorry for all my Aussies. I’ve got my ladder day 4 here and honestly if Castle cashes then I am convinced that the rest is free. That castle line has been so juiced and the odds have gone down fast. I am waiting for the bookies to bump it up.

Reasons are in the second photo and my first play for you guys is Randle and his reasons are below

Randle - 1st player of the day and it’s a dude who I met over in Greece earlier this summer, does that make us best friends?

Last time he met the Raptors He got 9 rebounds on 13 chances, he was the first player I thought of because Historically he dominates Toronto especially on the boards going over this line in 10 straight games with an average of 12.4 rebounds oer game and 18.4 rebounding chances. Insane history.

Toronto ranks well overall in rebounds allowed, but they do give up boards to power forwards and I actually like that Scottie Barnes might return for this game, but it likely won’t change much as he played in their first matchup where he got 9. I mean If Scottie doesn’t play, this becomes an even better spot for him on paper but I still like it either way.

More to come

🏈 NFL 🏈

I kind of am taking a risk with both Harris and Warren as these two dudes usually share the load when it comes to rushing attempts. I would say bet with caution for that reason, I obviously am confident that they both have big games and the Steelers won’t win unless they both do

It’s expected to be rainy and super cold so I think that’s why we’re seeing a lot of unders here. I think they we’ll both get a piece of the pie on the ground game.

Anyway, here’s my full write-up

NFL prime time and it’s not as exciting of a game as last week so not going too crazy volume wise here and tryna keep it nice and simple.

The Steelers are on a 5-game winning streak and they are on the road for this to face up against division rivals Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field.

The Browns, after a 35-14 loss to the Saints, struggled defensively, giving up 214 rushing yards and three TDs. (They have also failed to cover the line in 9 of their last 12 - major struggle town)

The Steelers however are red hot right now and just beat the Ravens in a very impressive 18-16 win with Chris Boswell hitting six field goals.

Pittsburgh will aim to strengthen their AFC North lead. Last season, these 2 teams split their two matchups - Pittsburgh won 26-22 at home - while the Browns won 13-10 win on their turf.

I gotta go with the Steelers here as one of the hottest teams right now, on paper they do look like they have the winning match up across the field, but this will be a desperate Brown’s team who’s gonna go all in and give it their rule so that’s why I’m giving them alt line to cover. The weather is expected to be rainy and cold so I don’t expect many points here in this game. I think the ground game will be where it’s at. That’s why we are seeing such low numbers for players (and the total).

Harris usually takes turns with Warren as the main rusher but this time I think Warren who’s back now healthy will get some good yardage. His gone over this line In 4 straight games and 2/3 meetings vs the browns. On the road his been a beast aswell covering this in 7/10 games. I’m not sure who gets what minutes at the position but I do know their offence coordinator loves the swap between these too. I think Najee will be take his chance and find his way in the end goal (his scored atleast one TD on 5/6 road games v AFC north opponents and last 2 away games in general). I think both of these dudes will have big games and the Steelers get the win based on their efforts

🏀🪜 NBA LADDER DAY 3 🪜🏀

It’s so funny how these ladder challenges work. I really feel as if one gets hot while the other goes cold and right now we are on day three and I’m really feeling confident about this one.

As always my reasons are in the second photo if you wanted to have a read or maybe even tail

Let’s just keep climbing boys. That’s all we can do. I really want to finish this challenge at least once in my lifetime 😂 it is very hard though so hats off to the few human beings on this planet who have done it.

Let’s get them ticks baby!!

🏀 NBA - PART 2 🏀

Love all of these pics today and yes, some of them are sharp but this is the downside of when I post really late as the lines get bumped in a bit juiced. Strongly recommend all of my street bettor out there to take the alt lines and shop around the different bookies to see who is offering what.

We are due for a sweep on SNT and I think this is it … hopefully I’m right

All bets live on my feeeeed

🏀 Kings game - NBL 🏀

This one could easily be one of the games of the season because whenever these two teams meet it’s usually fireworks.

There is also a break coming up for both of the teams here so they will want to go all in and empty the tank. Get a win before the break.

Sydney now have the best defensive rating in the league and hold opponents to a league-low 82.3 points which commands respect. I think if they play this game on their terms and their way they win and keep the scoring low.

I feel like I have to go with cooks here and I like his points and rebounding line more than just his point outright to be honest . If this is a bit of a slugfest I can expect some desperate shots being thrown up and cooks is always good on the glass cleaning up the loose balls. He is averaging 16.92 points per game right now on 26.86 minutes and he’s also averaging 8.83 rebounds per game right now so this looks about right. I’ll take it. The Days and Cooks match up will be elite tonight.

Honestly, I’m going to probably disappoint some of you guys but this is the only play I’m liking in this game and I really don’t want to force it. I have been looking into this one for the past hour and I can’t decide on a winner and I also can’t decide on whether or not this will be a low or high-scoring game.

The multi altogether is still at very juicy odds sitting right around 10x. Last night’s 28xer was a moment in itself, but again I don’t want to just force it for the sake of posting tips. I only like cooks here tbh.

Let’s get them ticks baby

🏀 NBL 🏀

NZ fans look away for this one

Read my write up on IG if you are tailing guys

More to come

🏀🪜 NBA LADDER DAY 1 🪜🏀

Well back to day 1 we go. As always my reasons are in the picture below and I don’t see any leg here that could cost us 🤷‍♂️ we will find out I guess

Let’s climb 🪜

🏀 NBA 🏀

reasons for these picks!

Also it’s NBA Cup day so am doing my best to avoid unders ….

Mathurin - I’m looking to cash in here because it’s clear his role on this team has shifted. This happens all the time in the NBA—coaches tweak a player’s focus, asking them to play more defensively or aggressively. For Mathurin, it looks like he’s playing closer to the rim, and the stats back it up. He’s hit this in 4 of his last 5 games, averaging 8.8 boards per game, and he’s done it in 5 of 7 home games too. Plus, this matchup is a dream: Miami ranks bottom three in the league for rebounds allowed. With the NBA Cup in full swing, I’m expecting him to get solid minutes in what should be a high-paced game full of bricks for him to clean up.

OKC - The Suns are without KD and Beal, and Allen’s status is still up in the air. They’ll need a monster game from Booker just to keep it close, but this matchup isn’t great for him. On the flip side, SGA loves playing the Suns, and I think he and the OKC players thrive under the NBA Cup spotlight. 9 of OKC’s last 12 wins have been by 12+ points which is pure dominance. Add in the home-court advantage, the clean jerseys, the cool courts, and the league’s coolest player in SGA and I’m a fan of them covering here.

Poole - Last time I bet on him, I took the under because, honestly, Wizards players scare me for overs. But against this fast-paced Hawks team, I can’t resist. This is the dream spot for Poole, especially coming off that massive 40+ point game. He’s looking sharp and confident, and we only need half of that effort tonight with 22+. Previously v the Hawks his scored 26 and 24 points and has hit this line in 6 of 10 games this season. The Hawks are giving up the league’s highest 3-point percentage, and shooting 3s is his bag. We just need him to drain those shots.

Zubac - We all remember what happened last game against these Rockets, Zubac got pulled early, and I’m still trying to figure out why. If the Clippers coach doesn’t mess around this time, I’m confident Zubac clears his line here. Sportsbet has already reduced the line, so if you can, wait for the alt lines at 13.5. But even at 14.5, I think he hits 15+. It’s an NBA Cup game, so he should get full minutes hopefully. The Rockets are 6th worst against post-ups and the pick n roll man, while Zubac ranks 2nd in post-ups league wide. He’s cleared this in 9 of 10 games with 30+ minutes, and I see no reason he doesn’t do it again tonight.

Brooms out gang! What a night! after sweeping the tennis this morning, then the mini sweep for my 2 SNT+ picks then now the NBL sweep I’m buzzing right now and am loving this sun run

🧹🧹💵💵

NBA tips coming soon

🏀 NBL 🏀

next game!

Second game for Friday night hoops, and this one should be a lot faster-paced with more points compared to the JackJumpers matchup. These two teams actually faced off recently, and it was a pretty quick game where Phoenix came away with a big win.

Now they’re on the road visiting Perth at RAC Arena. From what I’ve seen, Perth is still missing Bryce Cotton due to injury, but they’re still a very dangerous team.

Honestly, I’m not sure who to back here, and I think the best bet is to stay away from picking a winner. Both teams have solid cases, and Phoenix has completely changed their style under their new coach.

For me, I’m looking at one of the overs for one of the hottest players in the league right now, Maatar. He’s been on fire, making almost every shot lately and has really reinvented this offense. He’s averaging over 31 minutes a game and just under 19 points per game. If this game turns into a fast-paced battle like I expect, he’ll benefit greatly.

I’m also going with Perth’s Jordy Hunter for the over on rebounds. As their big man in the center, it’s his job to clean up the boards. This season, he’s averaging exactly 7 rebounds per game. If we do get a fast-paced, high-scoring game, I’m expecting a lot of shots to go up, with Perth likely launching it from beyond the arc at home. He should be able to grab plenty of those boards.

Finally, I’d say stay away from this last one if you don’t want to risk your parlays on a bit of a gamble. I usually avoid these, but I can’t resist since it’s based on stats rather than a “read.” Phoenix has lost the 2nd quarter in each of their last 5 games, so I’m tailing this one based on history and stats alone. This isn’t a smart read, more for a bit of fun—definitely not my usual style, but oh well!

If you want to put it all together, it’s boosted at 28x odds on my feed for a potential back-to-back game sweep. I’d be thrilled to see that hit.

1.5 units on Matt and Hunter
1 unit on the 2nd quarter play
0.75 units on the multi
0.45 units on both games combined 28x odds

🏀 NBL 🏀

First game of the night! Here’s the write up and breakdown. More to come !

Off to the NBL we go for some Friday night hoops!

This is an interesting matchup, with the JackJumpers taking on the Brisbane Bullets. In my mind, the JackJumpers are still a top team in this league, even though the numbers and standings suggest otherwise due to their slow start to the season. I think it’s time for them to turn things around, and that recent win against United really impressed me. Wins like that go a long way for morale in the locker room.

As for the Bullets, I can’t help but see them as a bottom-tier team right now. Being on the road doesn’t help their case either here, I still think they’ll put up a fight but won’t be able to get the win over a JackJumpers team that has Crawford and Doyle.

Between those two, they’re kind of alternating week in and week out as the primary scorer. Given Milton Doyle’s strong track record against the Bullets, I’m backing him today for 15+ points. I’m getting this at a bit of a discount since his actual line is set at 15.5, which is still very playable. If you need to take it at 15.5, then go for it. Personally, I like it here for a 1.8-unit play—I’m confident he’ll carry the team today and put on a show.

Stat-wise, Doyle has hit this line in his last three matchups against the Bullets. Being at home should give him even more confidence, especially with his three-point shooting.

The JackJumpers have also won 9 of their last 10 home games, so I’m hopeful they’ll get it done here, keeping it within a 10-point margin. Expect a slower-paced game I think.

1.8 U on Doyle
1 U on margin
0.80 units on multi

Let’s see

🏀 NBA 🏀

Well put it this way guys. I have lowered my usual units for this game because it has the potential to become very ugly real quick.

Still gonna send it of course, as it is the NBA and I will be watching .. out of all of these three Gafford is my favourite play but I still have lowered my usual units on him. Very hard game to predict.

We have a big slate of games tomorrow so I’m kind of enjoying the break but at the same time I still like these three plays so why not have a cheeky dabble.

Reason are here 👇🏼

George - well with Kessler out this should help. He will probably be the shortest guy on the field so this isn’t a play that I would recommend hammering… but you can’t deny the numbers here because if he gets the minutes and plays how are usually does this is actually a pretty short line for him. His covered this in 5/7 games and an impressive 4/5 meetings vs this Dallas team who actually rank bottom 3 in the league for rebounding against. Main reason I like this will be due to his energy at home, his covered this in 6/8 home games averaging 3 per game so we just need an average performance from him
Here. Dallas are not a good rebounding team.

Lauri - one of my favourite players in the league and last season he was a cash cow. Now again I don’t recommend hammering this one because he actually had a pretty slow start to his season. Can’t really give him any excuses besides his injury but he has been playing and I think this could be the top of game that he needs to get his confidence back. This man does not know how to pass and he’s never seen a three-point shot attempt he didn’t like. His covered this in 4 of 5 meetings Vs Dallas and again I like the matchup as they rank 28th when it comes to 3 pointers made versus his position at the power forward.

Gafford - as of right now this is my favourite Mavericks line to take. I will be keen to see a couple of hours before the game who’s in and what minutes are projected but one thing we know about Gafford is that he is the centre and without Kessler on the other end I love this even more. His smashed this line in a perfect 4 games straight (15, 16, 15 and 17) and also 4/5 meetings vs this Utah team who are 26th when it comes to points agaisnt right now league wide. With their key big man defender out and his current form it’s hard to knock. Out of these three this is my fav by far.

🪜🏀 LADDER DAY 2 🏀🪜

It’s time to climb!

Let’s get them ticks baby

🏀 NBA 🏀

Write up is live if you want to have a read!

Ladder coming soon!

🏈 NFL 🏈

A winning streak meets a losing streak as the Rams host the Miami Dolphins at SoFi Stadium on Monday Night Football.

The Rams have won 3 games straight and are putting up good numbers scoring wise getting 20+ in all 3 recent wins.

The Dolphins have only won 2 games this season baring injury to their key QB in Tua. Their loss last week was a close one to a really tough opponent in the bills so I think that’s why the bookies are giving them some respect

These two teams last clashed in Week 8 of 2020, when Miami took a 28-17 win at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins have now won five straight against the Rams however it’s very important to note that both teams are missing a lot of key personnel due to injuries so it could really go either way but for me personally I have to trust the home team here and my gut feeling says the Rams right now are the better team obviously they’re more informed as well, it’s a short line but I think they can cover it and I think it will be a one touchdown type of win at home

Despite last week’s limited play (1 catch for 11 yards before an early ejection), Puka is primed for a strong bounce-back performance against Miami. With his receptions line set at 5.5, he’s proven reliable, surpassing 70+ receiving yards in 10 of 11 games last year when he hit 5+ catches. Miami’s pass defense stats are skewed by facing lower-tier QBs, but they’ve struggled against top passers like Josh Allen and Kyler Murray. Expect the Rams to prioritize getting Puka the ball, especially on screens where he’s explosive after the catch. Gimme his overs here.

Another reason why I like the Rams to cover is because they just play better at home winning seven of their last eight home games, kyren is a perfect example of this as he also goes to new levels and playing at home, he’s had at least one TD in each of his last eight home appearances and I think the Dolphins will struggle containing his running game.

None of these legs hit unless Stafford has a big game so his lines speak for themselves. He has also had 200+ passing yards in 17/20 games so I’m trusting him to cover and send it again.

🏀🪜 NBA LADDER DAY 1 🪜🏀

Let’s climb 🧗

🏀 NBA 🏀

well I don’t have to tell you guys how bad it’s been because over the past three days everything that can go wrong for my free NBA tips has gone wrong.

I am the fade God right now until proven otherwise. I really hate to say it but these are the slumps that you can go through as a sports better and I have been in this situation before. Need to turn it around asap and start the sun run. A sweep here would absolutely heal all wounds but at this point I just want a winning day.

I didn’t get to do a full write up as it’s currently Sunday night here which is family time, but I’ve given a quick mini recap on Instagram as my main reasons and thought process on taking these lines

The Ladder challenge will come soon as well!

Let’s get it 🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻

🏈 NFL 🏈

Well at this point I’m praying the gambling gods reward my NFL tips with some luck as they have been pointing down and laughing at my NBA tips

About to do the write up but here are all my fav plays. CMC is back my fav player 👏🏻

All live on my feed

🏀 NBA 🏀

well, we took the day off today and it was really quiet which I’m not going to lie I did enjoy.. However it’s time to get back in the lab and get back to Business as usual and we have a big slate on so as always here are my favourite picks I’m rolling with

Now I was telling the gang in SNT+ that as soon as I placed the bet for Chet’s his line jumped to 17.5… I didn’t notice and placed it for the big multi, however I would suggest if anyone had the patience, and if they really wanted to tail maybe wait until the alt lines come out as they are really sharp. I still love it though and think chet has a big game against the nuggets which I will talk about in my write-up, of course..

that’ll be coming in the next hour on Instagram as usual 💪🏼

Check out this bet I placed with Sportsbet. Tap the link to add it to your bet slip
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/mjeNKMcA

Also here’s the SB link if anyone wanted to send it/cut/copy/ammend/tail

🏀 NBA 🏀

MASSIVE slate - every single team is playing today!

I’m going with my usual 4 fav plays for a unit each, then a half unit on the sweep, and a qtr unit on the multi becuase I know how much the community loves when I do these.

I have 2 parts long write up explaining each of my picks with stats and data and my reasons on IG if you want to have a read ✍️

Fk if we can’t see some green ticks today on a full slate like this then I don’t know what to do with myself 🤣

Gamble Responsibly team and as always be safe especially for my Aussies partying for the Melbourne Cup 🍻

🏀 NBL 🏀

We have a sick game on tonight in the NBL and this weekend I have been very cold in the NBL so if you are tailing please tail with caution 🤣

I need to end this horrible round on a nice win here hopefully

First thing I thought of for this one was the MVP battle between white and PJC . I talk about it more my write up but I’m expecting United to win and shut him down. My write up his live so go have a look if you’re interested.

All together in a multi it’s at 6.75 odds live on my feed too.

For me personally I’m going with

1.25 units on PJC and White
1.1 unit on the flip
0.65 units on the multi all together

🏈 NFL 🏈

Chiefs v Buccs over at Arrowhead Stadium

Back to explaining myself as that’s what you guys deserve.

My write up is now live on my Instagram if you want to have a read and see why I love these markets!

Simply put I just can’t bet against the Chiefs at home as they have won 13 games in a row dating back to last season ….

Let’s try hit that sweep 🤞🏻

🏀 NBA 🏀

Typically honest with you guys, I wasn’t gonna post any picks as these three games are pretty ugly. I’ve got some of my best bets already locked and loaded in SNT+ but seeing these two lines made me want to share with you all as I think we have some good value here in these hit obviously

Give me Kyrie to go over 4.5 assists on Dabble. Now best way to think of this is that the bookies have gone with the shorter end of this and they could’ve easily made this line 5.5. The Magic give up the most assists to point guards and he has covered this line in 4/5 games so we know this is is usually mark. He is averaging 9.3 potential assists per game which usually translates to roughly 5.3 assists per game and that’s exactly what his averaging over his last 10 games. Love it and 1.70 is the minimum I would go for a straight pick.

Now for the Hawks, this is more of a lie because I am confident that they will be in full desperation mode , even if they lose this game, it could come down to a point because I think they will fight to the last second. They have lost their last four games in a row and some of those losses could have been controlled. The pelicans won their last game but I would say that was a cheap win and they didn’t really dominate or control of the game. They got very lucky. There’s also a chance that Zion doesn’t play as he’s currently gametime decision, the bookies have removed his lines as well so who knows. Honestly, even if he does play, I’m still confident that the Hawks can cover this small line and I wouldn’t be surprised with them winning

Let’s see

Let us gather around and pray to thy gambling gods for the sweep 🙏 cmon Herb Jones have a big second half and deliver the BROOM 🧹 🙏

🏀 NBA 🏀

not a lot going on in the sporting world for this quiet Tuesday/Wednesday morning but as you guys know it’s Business as usual here as I’ve cooked up my favourite bets for you all

I’ve got a write up on Instagram with a mini breakdown and analysis as to why I like each of these

After taking an under today and getting absolutely crushed, I made sure that these are all overs

Full write up on IG and all bets live on my feeed you already know the dealio

Let’s get them ticks baby !!

🏀 NBA - FREE PICKS 🏀

Absolutely massive slate tomorrow in the NBA our biggest one yet to start the season

I have been cooking in the lab and these are my best bets in which I think the bookies have made a mistake on the lines, I really like these players match ups as well and their history is absolutely great. Even if you do your own research and have a quick look you’ll see that these guys have an amazing hit rate and and an amazing hit rate against the opponent. A bunch of other key factors aswell but you know the deal.

I’m going to upload the write-up a bit later tonight, but I just want to put these here first.

Still waiting on that juicy sweep to come by, tomorrow could be the day 🤞🏻

All bets live on my Sportsbet feed also

🏀 NBA - FREE PICKS 🏀

NBA time and I’m fading the 76ers game as it’s on earlier and pretty ugly anyway.

It’s always my reasons and stats are up on Instagram if you wanna have a read. I want to see a sweep tomorrow 🤞🏻🔥

All bets live on my Sportsbet feed also

⚽️ EPL ⚽️

Could not decide what to do for the M United game so I’m just going with these 🤷‍♂️

write up live now on IG ✍️