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The price of Bitcoin surpassed the $97,000 mark on Thursday for the first time in its history, driven by hopes of the imminent return of former Republican President Donald Trump to the White House and expectations of more lenient legislation in the cryptocurrency sector.

During his first term, Trump described cryptocurrencies as a scam, but his stance has completely shifted. He even launched his own cryptocurrency, promising to make the United States the "global capital of Bitcoin and digital currencies."

During his campaign, Trump discussed the idea of establishing a national strategic reserve of Bitcoin. His campaign has also garnered support from groups active in the cryptocurrency field.

Bitcoin, originally designed to evade oversight by traditional financial institutions, is based on blockchain technology, which serves as a virtual, tamper-proof ledger that records the history of all transactions made.
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Today, November 19, 2024, Bitcoin experienced significant fluctuations. Following its rise above the $90,000 threshold last week, it surged again, reaching near $93,500 on platforms like Coinbase and CoinGecko, marking a new all-time high.

This upward movement comes after the re-election of U.S. President Donald Trump, which boosted optimism about pro-crypto policies. Additionally, the Fear and Greed Index rose to 90, indicating a state of "Extreme Greed" in the market. Currently, Bitcoin's market capitalization stands at approximately $1.85 trillion.

Analysts predict the bullish trend will continue, with Bitcoin potentially surpassing $100,000 by early 2025, driven by factors such as increasing inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and a 60% market dominance​​​​​​.
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This week, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown impressive movement, reaching a remarkable $90,668. This growth highlights its potential as both a long-term investment and a powerful tool for daily trading.

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Bitcoin passes historic $90,000 mark
Bitcoin crossed the $90,000 threshold for the first time in its history on Wednesday, with the sector anticipating more flexible legislation and favorable economic policies under the incoming Trump administration

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BTCUSD
Prediction: Increase

Fundamental Analysis:

Bitcoin is nearing a historic milestone, edging close to $90,000, with a peak value of $89,929. This surge aligns with what has been dubbed the "Trump Trade." Kentucky Congressman Thomas Massie recently tweeted, "The new Congress begins on January 3, but President Trump won't take office until January 20. With majorities in both the House and Senate, we should have at least a dozen bills ready to reduce government overreach waiting on his desk by his first day." Elon Musk later amplified Massie's statement, saying, "Long live the Department of Government Efficiency!" This department, promised by Trump before the election, would be led by Musk and abbreviated as D.O.G.E., coincidentally sharing the same acronym as Dogecoin (DOGE). As a result, meme coins experienced a surge. Furthermore, FXEmpire analyst Ibrahim Ajibade highlighted that MicroStrategy recently purchased $2 billion worth of Bitcoin, further encouraging market optimism and providing momentum that may drive Bitcoin toward the $100,000 mark.

Technical Analysis:

Bitcoin has experienced a 33% increase over the past week, reaching and surpassing the $90,000 level on November 12. Technical indicators signal the potential for continued upward momentum. Bollinger Bands are widening, a sign of heightened market volatility, and current daily candle patterns are trading above the upper band, suggesting a persistent uptrend. Additionally, the Bull-Bear Power indicator, sitting at 13, shows strong buying interest despite the substantial recent gains. If this trend continues, Bitcoin may climb to the $100,000 milestone in the near term. Immediate support is observed around $85,000, with further support at $73,117, near the 20-day moving average. With ongoing robust demand for Bitcoin, a significant pullback seems less probable. Provided these support levels hold firm, the path for Bitcoin’s ascent remains solid, enticing more buyers seeking to capitalize on the ongoing rally.

Bitcoin Surges Toward $100,000 as Market Optimism Grows📈

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التوقعات: انخفاض متوقع

التحليل الأساسي:

انخفضت أسعار الذهب بأكثر من 0.80%، لتتراجع إلى 2,493 دولار بعد فشلها في الوصول إلى أعلى مستوى لها على الإطلاق عند 2,531 دولار، نزولاً من أعلى مستوى لها مؤخراً عند 2,529 دولار. وقد ألقت البيانات الاقتصادية الأمريكية بظلال من الشك على احتمالية خفض بنك الاحتياطي الفيدرالي لأسعار الفائدة بمقدار 50 أو 25 نقطة أساس في سبتمبر. وفي حين جاءت بيانات الوظائف غير الزراعية لشهر أغسطس دون التوقعات، فقد أظهرت تحسناً مقارنة بشهر يوليو، مع انخفاض معدل البطالة وزيادة متوسط ​​الدخل بالساعة. وتحولت معنويات السوق نحو خفض أسعار الفائدة بمقدار 25 نقطة أساس، مع احتمالات بلغت 73%، في حين انخفضت احتمالية خفضها بمقدار 50 نقطة أساس إلى 27%. على الرغم من أن بعض مسؤولي بنك الاحتياطي الفيدرالي أشاروا إلى دعمهم للتيسير، إلا أن الانخفاض في عائدات سندات الخزانة الأمريكية لم يقدم دفعة للذهب، وتعافى مؤشر الدولار الأمريكي قليلاً إلى 101.22.

التحليل الفني:

لا تزال التوقعات طويلة الأجل للذهب إيجابية، لكن المؤشرات قصيرة الأجل تشير إلى اتجاه هبوطي محتمل. بعد الوصول إلى ذروة فوق 2520 دولارًا، عكس زوج الذهب/الدولار الأمريكي مساره وشكل نمط شموع "ابتلاع هبوطي"، مما يشير إلى خسائر محتملة أخرى. يبدو أن الزخم يتحول إلى هبوطي، حيث يقترب مؤشر القوة النسبية (RSI) من كسر دون الحياد. قد يؤدي الانخفاض إلى ما دون أدنى مستوى في 22 أغسطس عند 2470 دولارًا إلى المزيد من الانخفاضات، مع مستويات الدعم حول 2435 دولارًا إلى 2431 دولارًا. من ناحية أخرى، إذا تمكنت الأسعار من الارتفاع فوق 2500 دولار، فيمكن توقع المقاومة عند أعلى مستوى منذ بداية العام عند 2531 دولارًا. في حالة اختراق هذا المستوى، ستمتد الأهداف إلى 2550 دولارًا وربما 2600 دولارًا

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