SCHMID WANTS FED TO SHRINK BALANCE SHEET FURTHER
Labyrinth Capital
@defi_hustle
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Keeping you informed and up to date with the latest developments within the financial markets, minus the unnecessary economics jargon.
NFA
Labyrinth Capital: Your Go-To Source for Financial Market Updates (English)
Are you looking to stay informed and up-to-date on the latest developments within the financial markets, but tired of wading through unnecessary economics jargon? Look no further than Labyrinth Capital! This Telegram channel, with the username @defi_hustle, is your go-to source for all things related to finance. Labyrinth Capital is dedicated to providing its followers with clear and concise updates on the financial markets, without overwhelming them with complicated terminology. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started in the world of finance, this channel is designed to keep you in the know and help you make informed decisions about your investments. With a focus on transparency and accuracy, Labyrinth Capital aims to be a trusted source for financial news and insights. The channel covers a wide range of topics, including stock market trends, cryptocurrency updates, and global economic news. Whether you're interested in traditional investments or the latest developments in decentralized finance (DeFi), you'll find valuable information and analysis on Labyrinth Capital. In addition to providing market updates, Labyrinth Capital also offers educational content to help followers better understand the complexities of the financial world. From beginner-friendly explanations to in-depth analysis of market trends, this channel is a valuable resource for anyone looking to expand their financial knowledge. With a commitment to keeping you informed and empowered, Labyrinth Capital is a must-follow for anyone interested in the world of finance. Join the channel today to start receiving regular updates and insights on the latest developments in the financial markets. Stay ahead of the curve with Labyrinth Capital!
Labyrinth Capital
09 Jan, 18:43
FED'S BOWMAN: THE DECEMBER INTEREST RATE CUT SHOULD BE THE LAST.
Labyrinth Capital
08 Jan, 19:35
FED MINUTES: VAST MAJORITY OF PARTICIPANTS SAW IT AS APPROPRIATE TO LOWER TARGET RANGE BY 25 BPS AT THE DECEMBER MEETING.
Labyrinth Capital
08 Jan, 19:35
FED MINUTES: SOME PARTICIPANTS SAID THERE WAS MERIT IN KEEPING RATES UNCHANGED AT THAT MEETING, CITING HIGHER RISK OF PERSISTENTLY ELEVATED INFLATION.
Labyrinth Capital
08 Jan, 19:35
FED MINUTES: PARTICIPANTS ANTICIPATED THAT LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS WOULD REMAIN SOLID.
Labyrinth Capital
08 Jan, 19:34
FED MINUTES: PARTICIPANTS INDICATED IF DATA CAME IN ABOUT AS EXPECTED, IT WOULD BE APPROPRIATE TO CONTINUE TO MOVE GRADUALLY TOWARD A MORE NEUTRAL POLICY STANCE.
Labyrinth Capital
08 Jan, 19:34
FED MINUTES: PARTICIPANTS EXPECTED INFLATION TO KEEP MOVING TOWARD 2%, BUT EFFECTS OF POTENTIAL TRADE AND IMMIGRATION POLICY CHANGES SUGGESTED THAT PROCESS COULD TAKE LONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED.
Labyrinth Capital
08 Jan, 19:34
FED MINUTES: PARTICIPANTS INDICATED THAT THE FED WAS AT OR NEAR THE POINT AT WHICH IT WOULD BE APPROPRIATE TO SLOW THE PACE OF EASING.
Labyrinth Capital
08 Jan, 11:46
A stronger dollar sucks up global liquidity, largely from equities. The flow of liquidity starts with the highest concentration of speculation so BTC, then trickles down through assets.
BTC pull back isn’t much of a surprise when you recognise this.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
BTC pull back isn’t much of a surprise when you recognise this.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
08 Jan, 11:45
Will reiterate the above..read it again. From now to 20th Jan, anything Trump says in relation to tariffs likely to be bullish for $DXY and unprecedented because he speaks on the off occasion until he’s in office.
The market will constantly react and try to price in conditions related to trade deals, tax cuts and tariff regulations.
All hint to a stronger dollar.
This is dangerous for markets. DXY is reaching levels that, while the Fed continue QT, is unsustainable.
I would expect Trump and Fed to curb inflation expectations soon.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
The market will constantly react and try to price in conditions related to trade deals, tax cuts and tariff regulations.
All hint to a stronger dollar.
This is dangerous for markets. DXY is reaching levels that, while the Fed continue QT, is unsustainable.
I would expect Trump and Fed to curb inflation expectations soon.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
08 Jan, 11:41
🔴 ⚠️ BREAKING: TRUMP CONSIDERING AN EMERGENCY DECLARATION FOR NEW TARIFF PROGRAM.
$DXY reflecting this strongly
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
$DXY reflecting this strongly
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
08 Jan, 00:42
😉
$XRP
https://x.com/bgarlinghouse/status/1876783603603939438?s=46&t=sUb1Ue14tFwZ_zX-6H64Mg
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
$XRP
https://x.com/bgarlinghouse/status/1876783603603939438?s=46&t=sUb1Ue14tFwZ_zX-6H64Mg
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
07 Jan, 15:02
US JOLTS Job Openings (Nov): 8.098mln vs. 7.740mln exp. (prior 7.744mln)
Labyrinth Capital
07 Jan, 13:11
Investors are piling right back into large-cap equity ETFs, which took in nearly $23 billion to start off 2025.
Also strong interest in bonds, with bond funds taking in $2.7 billion and government funds taking in $2.89 billion.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Also strong interest in bonds, with bond funds taking in $2.7 billion and government funds taking in $2.89 billion.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
06 Dec, 07:29
NFP Forecast 1:30pm:
218k
Unemployment Rate: 4.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings: 0.3%
Would not be surprised if we see further weakening in the labor market. A flush in equities would be ideal, resulting in an end of year rally.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
218k
Unemployment Rate: 4.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings: 0.3%
Would not be surprised if we see further weakening in the labor market. A flush in equities would be ideal, resulting in an end of year rally.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
03 Dec, 17:42
Donald Trump reportedly picks pro-crypto Paul Atkins for SEC chair, to replace Gary Gensler.
Boolish
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Boolish
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
03 Dec, 15:02
JOLTS comes in stronger than expected with openings up to 7.744 vs 7.372 mil last month. Quits rate up as well. Suggests a healthy job market.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
03 Dec, 14:33
🚨 - SOUTH KOREA'S YOON NOTES HE DECLARES MARTIAL LAW.
Expect:
Gold bulls
Bond bulls
Equities have a reason to bleed in response
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Expect:
Gold bulls
Bond bulls
Equities have a reason to bleed in response
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
02 Dec, 15:51
XRP Volume:
3.5x of BTC on Coinbase
No.1 across all perps aggregated.
Likely to get diluted into other projects as fomo dies down.
Take something off the table if you’re a long term holder, the momentum won’t last forever.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
3.5x of BTC on Coinbase
No.1 across all perps aggregated.
Likely to get diluted into other projects as fomo dies down.
Take something off the table if you’re a long term holder, the momentum won’t last forever.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
02 Dec, 14:45
The importance of the neutral interest rate: https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1859599220077994086
Labyrinth Capital
02 Dec, 13:45
How inflation is created: https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1861859522773442770
Labyrinth Capital
02 Dec, 13:02
There have been record inflows into equities over the last four weeks, according to BofA, as investors experience FOMO during one of the best election years for the market in history.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
02 Dec, 12:58
If you purchased and read our Q4 report you’ll have seen that the extensive in depth research paid off. Our forecasts were spot on.
Please PM me a quick review it would be much appreciated!
@ZakCrypto
Please PM me a quick review it would be much appreciated!
@ZakCrypto
Labyrinth Capital
02 Dec, 12:34
Crypto Market Update (2nd December)
- XRP becomes world's third-largest crypto
- Spot crypto exchange volume hit $2.7T in November.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
- XRP becomes world's third-largest crypto
- Spot crypto exchange volume hit $2.7T in November.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
02 Dec, 12:20
As of October 31st, global net flows into ETFs hit $1.4T, eclipsing 2021's full-year record of $1.33T.
This figure seems set to rise as we head into the latter end of the quarter.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
This figure seems set to rise as we head into the latter end of the quarter.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
02 Dec, 12:15
Key Events This Week.
Most volatile day: Friday US NFP.
Q4 Report: https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Most volatile day: Friday US NFP.
Q4 Report: https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
01 Dec, 19:18
At the start of the year, we published our Cryptocurrency Report.
It includes the 14 projects we were looking at in detail, with fact files on everything you need to know in terms of utility tokens.
You can still get it here:
https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/cryptocurrency-report-2024
It includes the 14 projects we were looking at in detail, with fact files on everything you need to know in terms of utility tokens.
You can still get it here:
https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/cryptocurrency-report-2024
Labyrinth Capital
01 Dec, 19:15
Utility coins have been the top earners in the past 30 days.
If you have been following us for the past 3 years you’ll know what we’ve advocated for. Our website tells all.
$XLM 466%
$ALGO 264%
$HBAR 263%
$XRP 238%
$SOLO 537%
$QNT 93%
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
If you have been following us for the past 3 years you’ll know what we’ve advocated for. Our website tells all.
$XLM 466%
$ALGO 264%
$HBAR 263%
$XRP 238%
$SOLO 537%
$QNT 93%
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
29 Nov, 21:42
New York's crypto regulator nearing approval of Ripple-issued stablecoin.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
27 Nov, 15:03
October PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, RISES to 2.3%, in-line with expectations of 2.3%.
Core PCE inflation RISES, to 2.8%, in-line with expectations of 2.8%.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Core PCE inflation RISES, to 2.8%, in-line with expectations of 2.8%.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
21 Nov, 18:04
🚨- Gary Gensler announces he is stepping down as SEC Chair.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
21 Nov, 14:08
Twitter 🧵 Thread on the Neutral Interest Rate.
Key to understanding. Why is keeping rates at these higher levels contradictory to an economy that is performing well and evidently leading to fewer rate cuts.
See below:
https://x.com/labyrinthmarket/status/1859599220077994086?s=46&t=sUb1Ue14tFwZ_zX-6H64Mg
Key to understanding. Why is keeping rates at these higher levels contradictory to an economy that is performing well and evidently leading to fewer rate cuts.
See below:
https://x.com/labyrinthmarket/status/1859599220077994086?s=46&t=sUb1Ue14tFwZ_zX-6H64Mg
Labyrinth Capital
20 Nov, 21:31
Nvidia, $NVDA, posts RECORD quarterly revenue of $35.1 billion, above expectations of $32.3 billion.
Nothings stopping this train
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Nothings stopping this train
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
20 Nov, 00:03
BREAKING: Donald Trump to replace SEC chair Gary Gensler with pro-crypto Teresa Goody Guillen
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
19 Nov, 11:26
Foreign Ownership of U.S. Treasuries rises to an all-time high of $8.67 Trillion.
There is enough evidence out there to prove to you that the Dollar is here to stay.
See the tweet below to show how the BRICS is a false flag: https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1856443177026416830
There is enough evidence out there to prove to you that the Dollar is here to stay.
See the tweet below to show how the BRICS is a false flag: https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1856443177026416830
Labyrinth Capital
19 Nov, 00:01
Equally, US. ETFs have seen the largest annual inflow in history of $913 Billion.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
18 Nov, 23:59
Cryptocurrency just saw the largest weekly inflow in history of more than $6 Billion.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
18 Nov, 20:14
🚨NEW Article Is LIVE:
"A Booming Market But Weak Economy"
In this article we dissected the raw data to show you that despite markets reaching all time highs, Americans are being gaslit and lied to, suffering in real time.
Be sure to like and share.
https://medium.com/@LabyrinthCapital/a-booming-market-but-weak-economy-31b73cdfce24
https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1858604178920403315
"A Booming Market But Weak Economy"
In this article we dissected the raw data to show you that despite markets reaching all time highs, Americans are being gaslit and lied to, suffering in real time.
Be sure to like and share.
https://medium.com/@LabyrinthCapital/a-booming-market-but-weak-economy-31b73cdfce24
https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1858604178920403315
Labyrinth Capital
18 Nov, 15:11
Key Events This Week.
Most volatile day: Friday US, UK, EU PMI.
Q4 Report: https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Most volatile day: Friday US, UK, EU PMI.
Q4 Report: https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
15 Nov, 10:11
This morning at 7am, the UK’s GDP came in at -0.1%. Adds to the deflation narrative we support in the United Kingdom. Below forecast of 0.2% growth.
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:57
Powell: We have a lot of space to cut rates if economy weakens and we can be careful when reducing rates.
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:57
Powell: Labor market shows policy is restrictive but we are not sure how restrictive just yet.
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:54
Powell: In our current situation we feel policy is restrictive, and its moved pretty much how we hoped it would. We started the process of cutting rates towards neutral and need to be patient. If the labor market deteriorates we will need to ease faster. We think policy has long and variable lags and in this situation we need to be careful as we approach neutral. It may then be the case we slow the pace of cutting so we get this right,
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:52
Great presser from Powell here giving all the gems on how the economy functions. FYI this is the exact documents we review to draw up how to work with the Feds likely decision...
Powell: "The era where rates were incredibly low, for ex major EU countries had longer term debt yielding negative 30bps so rates were low and that's a problem for CB because we cant cut rates meaningfully before 0 and cutting rates is what we do to support the economy so we like having positive interest rates like we do now. "
"We published a whole literature on how to deal with IR stuck at 0 and you cant cut or support the economy. So we did lots of research and took a mainstream approach to promise to let inflation run a little high if it was running too low. The idea was if people believe inflation is high than it will be."
"20 years of low inflation ended as soon as we did this framework."
"The new framework will revolve around how to deal with the 0 lower bound now, especially now that interest rates are substantially higher than they were back then. "
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Powell: "The era where rates were incredibly low, for ex major EU countries had longer term debt yielding negative 30bps so rates were low and that's a problem for CB because we cant cut rates meaningfully before 0 and cutting rates is what we do to support the economy so we like having positive interest rates like we do now. "
"We published a whole literature on how to deal with IR stuck at 0 and you cant cut or support the economy. So we did lots of research and took a mainstream approach to promise to let inflation run a little high if it was running too low. The idea was if people believe inflation is high than it will be."
"20 years of low inflation ended as soon as we did this framework."
"The new framework will revolve around how to deal with the 0 lower bound now, especially now that interest rates are substantially higher than they were back then. "
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:30
Q: Would the Fed step in if there was a problem with issuance of treasuries?
Powell: If really important markets broke down, we set up facility's to backstop the markets and they didn't actually get used because just those facilities being there was credible enough to restore credibility for the markets to work.
Another important quote.
Powell: If really important markets broke down, we set up facility's to backstop the markets and they didn't actually get used because just those facilities being there was credible enough to restore credibility for the markets to work.
Another important quote.
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:27
Q: Deficits and debt to get harder for the Fed to operate?
Powell: Not yet, But the US budget is on an unsustainable path. We have a large deficit and we know it has to be addressed.
Powell: Not yet, But the US budget is on an unsustainable path. We have a large deficit and we know it has to be addressed.
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:21
Powell: "If people believe inflation will be higher it will be, if they believe itll come down then people who take prices in wages will make sure it comes down."
A key quote most will ignore! Do you see?
A key quote most will ignore! Do you see?
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:20
Why did the Fed cut by 50bps? Whos lying?
https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1857156327933464763
https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1857156327933464763
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:07
Just like that...
TRADERS OF RATE FUTURES TRIM BETS ON FED RATE CUTS AFTER POWELL'S REMARKS.
FED DECEMBER RATE CUT STILL SEEN AS MORE LIKELY THAN NOT.
TRADERS OF RATE FUTURES TRIM BETS ON FED RATE CUTS AFTER POWELL'S REMARKS.
FED DECEMBER RATE CUT STILL SEEN AS MORE LIKELY THAN NOT.
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:07
Powell: Economy is not sending signal that the Fed needs to be in a hurry to cut rates
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:06
Powell: Moving policy over time toward neutral, policy path is not pre-set
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:05
Powell: The Fed expects these rates to continue to fluctuate in recent ranges
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:04
Powell: The Fed doesnt need to hurry in its reduction of interest rates
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 20:04
Powell: I expect inflation come continue to come down toward 2% goal.
Labyrinth Capital
14 Nov, 13:40
My personal raw thoughts is that recent hot inflation data is a blip. However, have to acknowledge Trumps Tariffs acting as a perceived inflation threat towards the market for the November report. Could very well add fuel to the fire. Combine this with NFP staying relatively stable and the Fed then have reason to keep rate cutting pace fairly slow. This keeps the neutral rate elevated and inflation expectations elevated also, falling within the framework that the Fed wish to operate in. This is something we have made clear for the past year.
Make sure you get your hands on the Q4 Report. This is the best way for you to understand the true macro landscape. Our publications promote a different approach to viewing the market, with focus on Central Bank liquidity and not just mainstream indicators. We combine liquidity with the Fed and Central Bank official framework, something very little economists talk about. https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
Make sure you get your hands on the Q4 Report. This is the best way for you to understand the true macro landscape. Our publications promote a different approach to viewing the market, with focus on Central Bank liquidity and not just mainstream indicators. We combine liquidity with the Fed and Central Bank official framework, something very little economists talk about. https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
Labyrinth Capital
01 Nov, 13:35
By sector see above.
Manufacturing poised to be weaker.
August and September were revised lower by a total of -112,000 jobs.
Clear weakening in labor market reliant on government jobs.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Manufacturing poised to be weaker.
August and September were revised lower by a total of -112,000 jobs.
Clear weakening in labor market reliant on government jobs.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
01 Nov, 12:20
NFP in 10 minutes:
Forecast: 106k.
Unemployment Rate:
Forecast 4.1%
Average hourly earnings:
Forecast 0.3%
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Forecast: 106k.
Unemployment Rate:
Forecast 4.1%
Average hourly earnings:
Forecast 0.3%
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
31 Oct, 17:20
Reverse repo dumps $27BN to $201BN, lowest since May 2021.
Like clockwork.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Like clockwork.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
31 Oct, 11:01
Further quotes:
US TREASURY: WE EXPECT TO BUY UP TO $30 BLN IN OFF-THE-RUN SECURITIES FOR LIQUIDITY SUPPORT.
US TREASURY: WE ANTICIPATE BUYING UP TO $22.5 BLN IN ONE-MONTH TO TWO-YEAR SECURITIES FOR CASH MANAGEMENT PURPOSES.
Again, this is the first time the Treasury has announced such a program since 2002. The first time this was announced was back in April, which marked the bottom in bonds (See $TLT or $ZB1!).
US TREASURY: WE EXPECT TO BUY UP TO $30 BLN IN OFF-THE-RUN SECURITIES FOR LIQUIDITY SUPPORT.
US TREASURY: WE ANTICIPATE BUYING UP TO $22.5 BLN IN ONE-MONTH TO TWO-YEAR SECURITIES FOR CASH MANAGEMENT PURPOSES.
Again, this is the first time the Treasury has announced such a program since 2002. The first time this was announced was back in April, which marked the bottom in bonds (See $TLT or $ZB1!).
Labyrinth Capital
31 Oct, 10:53
🚨- US TREASURY: WE PLAN TO CONDUCT WEEKLY LIQUIDITY SUPPORT BUYBACKS OF UP TO $4 BLN PER OPERATION.
This will put downward pressure on bond yields.
Theres a Labyrinth Capital article for everything. : https://medium.com/@LabyrinthCapital/bond-buybacks-everything-you-need-to-know-5b462b9964cb
This will put downward pressure on bond yields.
Theres a Labyrinth Capital article for everything. : https://medium.com/@LabyrinthCapital/bond-buybacks-everything-you-need-to-know-5b462b9964cb
Labyrinth Capital
30 Oct, 12:32
ADP reported a job increase of 233K - well above expectations for the payroll number on Friday.
This is your regular reminder that ADP being private employment data, and nonfarm payrolls often not correlated.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
This is your regular reminder that ADP being private employment data, and nonfarm payrolls often not correlated.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
30 Oct, 09:44
Institutional Traders just sold the most amount of stocks last week in more than 9 years.
Fairly normal as we get further towards the end of the year. Considering the macro landscape, particularly the indecisiveness from the Fed, this adds to the likelihood of selling from big funds.
Once again, mentioned in the Labyrinth Capital Q4 Report.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Fairly normal as we get further towards the end of the year. Considering the macro landscape, particularly the indecisiveness from the Fed, this adds to the likelihood of selling from big funds.
Once again, mentioned in the Labyrinth Capital Q4 Report.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
30 Oct, 09:24
BTC ATH whilst alts drag:
https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1851389008422588856
https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1851389008422588856
Labyrinth Capital
29 Oct, 17:41
Deeper in the report:
JOLTS layoffs rose to 1.833M in September, up from 1.668M prior and highest since January 2023.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
JOLTS layoffs rose to 1.833M in September, up from 1.668M prior and highest since January 2023.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
29 Oct, 14:47
Gold has made a new All Time High. The OGs in here will know we've been advocating for Gold since the inception of this channel.
Vital you protect your wealth. What does this chart scream to you?
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Vital you protect your wealth. What does this chart scream to you?
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
28 Oct, 17:34
More active on Twitter from now on. Make sure you're following the official Labyrinth Capital account. https://x.com/LabyrinthMarket/status/1850616998449045617
Labyrinth Capital
28 Oct, 17:21
The Federal Reserve's emergency BTFP dropped by $7 billion this week, with only $59 billion remaining.
In 5 weeks BTFP will be at $0, pulling all remaining emergency liquidity away from struggling banks.
On the surface, this looks very bad right. Search BTFP through the channel youll know we've been talking about this for a long time.
However, we covered the Feds response to this in March.
See: https://medium.com/@LabyrinthCapital/bank-failiures-are-coming-the-fed-cant-stop-it-d62557f76abc
The Fed is planning to enforce regulation which encourages banks to go to the discount window at least once a year. This will mitigate the type of crisis that the market is expecting here.
In 5 weeks BTFP will be at $0, pulling all remaining emergency liquidity away from struggling banks.
On the surface, this looks very bad right. Search BTFP through the channel youll know we've been talking about this for a long time.
However, we covered the Feds response to this in March.
See: https://medium.com/@LabyrinthCapital/bank-failiures-are-coming-the-fed-cant-stop-it-d62557f76abc
The Fed is planning to enforce regulation which encourages banks to go to the discount window at least once a year. This will mitigate the type of crisis that the market is expecting here.
Labyrinth Capital
28 Oct, 14:55
Treasury yields have moved in a straight line higher since the “Fed pivot.”
+65 basis points in one month putting 30-year mortgage rates back above 7%.
Want to know why? See our latest article.
https://medium.com/@LabyrinthCapital/why-fed-cuts-have-caused-rates-to-rise-40d645ff43c1
+65 basis points in one month putting 30-year mortgage rates back above 7%.
Want to know why? See our latest article.
https://medium.com/@LabyrinthCapital/why-fed-cuts-have-caused-rates-to-rise-40d645ff43c1
Labyrinth Capital
28 Oct, 07:37
In the recently published Q4 report, we covered the US Election also. This is happening on November 5th (2 weeks).
Ensure you're kept in the loop alongside the Global Liquidity backdrop!
https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
Ensure you're kept in the loop alongside the Global Liquidity backdrop!
https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
Labyrinth Capital
27 Oct, 22:20
Key Events This Week.
Most volatile day: Friday US Non-Farm Payroll.
$DXY weekly cloee forecast in response to news: 🔴
Q4 Report: https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Most volatile day: Friday US Non-Farm Payroll.
$DXY weekly cloee forecast in response to news: 🔴
Q4 Report: https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
27 Oct, 19:13
🚨📣New Article is Live:
"Why Fed Cuts Have Caused Rates To Rise"
In this article we covered why the recent Fed 50bps cut has resulted in other debt instruments such as mortgage rates and treasury yields to rise instead.
Be sure to like and share.
https://medium.com/@LabyrinthCapital/why-fed-cuts-have-caused-rates-to-rise-40d645ff43c1
"Why Fed Cuts Have Caused Rates To Rise"
In this article we covered why the recent Fed 50bps cut has resulted in other debt instruments such as mortgage rates and treasury yields to rise instead.
Be sure to like and share.
https://medium.com/@LabyrinthCapital/why-fed-cuts-have-caused-rates-to-rise-40d645ff43c1
Labyrinth Capital
24 Oct, 12:30
Unemployment Claims: 227k
Forecast: 243k
Prior: 241k
#Q4watch
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Forecast: 243k
Prior: 241k
#Q4watch
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
22 Oct, 16:40
For transparency. We have audited the price for the remaining parts of the Q. Was travelling in the first half wanted it to be done properly. Any queries pm me.
Labyrinth Capital
22 Oct, 16:33
📣🚨We have today published the Q4 report as we close out 2024.
This is a 6800 word report, 27 pages long, including breakdowns for catalysts in the upcoming quarter.
The topics we detail:
- Global Liquidity Update / Backdrop.
- The Feds approach
- Central Bank expectations
- China's path & stimulus program
- Labour Market expectations
- Deflation in the US
- US Equities Expectations
- Commodities and Fixed Income Expectations
- Crypto Expectations
- Where to position yourself for Q4
This report is for the investor, student, economist who wishes to understand the backdrop more in depth.
We do not currently offer any paid services so this is the best way to learn about the real economy whilst also supporting the channel.
Get the Q4 report here: https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
This is a 6800 word report, 27 pages long, including breakdowns for catalysts in the upcoming quarter.
The topics we detail:
- Global Liquidity Update / Backdrop.
- The Feds approach
- Central Bank expectations
- China's path & stimulus program
- Labour Market expectations
- Deflation in the US
- US Equities Expectations
- Commodities and Fixed Income Expectations
- Crypto Expectations
- Where to position yourself for Q4
This report is for the investor, student, economist who wishes to understand the backdrop more in depth.
We do not currently offer any paid services so this is the best way to learn about the real economy whilst also supporting the channel.
Get the Q4 report here: https://labyrinthcapital.co.uk/financial-reports/p/2024q4report6800words
Labyrinth Capital
22 Oct, 16:32
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 15:30
Two-thirds of the 34 major central banks are already in easing mode versus 9% at the lows in July-2023.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 13:30
ECB'S PRESIDENT LAGARDE: THERE IS NO QUESTION THAT WE ARE CURRENTLY RESTRICTIVE.
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 12:59
ECB'S PRESIDENT LAGARDE: LATEST DATA POINTS TO MORE SLUGGISH GROWTH.
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 12:59
ECB'S PRESIDENT LAGARDE: INCOMING DATA SUGGESTS THAT ACTIVITY IS WEAKER THAN EXPECTED.
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 12:34
Big beat across the board. Traders now price in less Fed Easing after retail sales.
See how easy it is?
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
See how easy it is?
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 12:30
US Retail Sales m/m up to. 0.4% from 0.3% forecast.
Core Retail Sales 0.5% from 0.1% forecast.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Core Retail Sales 0.5% from 0.1% forecast.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 12:20
TRADERS HOLD ECB RATE-CUT BETS STEADY, SEE 25BPS IN DECEMBER
Lagarde speaks at 1:45pm to cover QnA and conference.
As we arrive at the inflection point with monetary policy, this is where the decision by the Central Banks becomes more significant, so watching communication and guidance from members is more important than it would usually be.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Lagarde speaks at 1:45pm to cover QnA and conference.
As we arrive at the inflection point with monetary policy, this is where the decision by the Central Banks becomes more significant, so watching communication and guidance from members is more important than it would usually be.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 12:17
ECB: INFLATION EXPECTED TO RISE AGAIN BEFORE DECLINING TO TARGET
ECB: DISINFLATIONARY PROCESS IS WELL ON TRACK
ECB: DISINFLATIONARY PROCESS IS WELL ON TRACK
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 12:17
ECB WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW A DATA-DEPENDENT AND MEETING-BY-MEETING APPROACH TO DETERMINING THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL AND DURATION
*ECB NOT PRE-COMMITTING TO A PARTICULAR RATE PATH
*ECB TO KEEP RATES SUFFICIENTLY RESTRICTIVE AS LONG AS NEEDED
Reminder, as per the mandate from every Central Bank that most people dont read, the communication is more important than the rate decision itself
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
*ECB NOT PRE-COMMITTING TO A PARTICULAR RATE PATH
*ECB TO KEEP RATES SUFFICIENTLY RESTRICTIVE AS LONG AS NEEDED
Reminder, as per the mandate from every Central Bank that most people dont read, the communication is more important than the rate decision itself
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 12:16
EUROZONE ECB INTEREST RATE DECISION (OCT) ACTUAL: 3.40% VS 3.65% PREVIOUS; EST 3.40%
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 11:57
At 1:15pm today, ECB should ease policy further and cut key interest rate by 25bps.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
17 Oct, 11:27
Compared to past four expansions, current one is still relatively young, especially when looking at two most recent expansions that started in 2009 and 1991.
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Labyrinth Capital
16 Oct, 08:16
We say “real” Fed easing because a reminder until we get below neutral, the $USD is still in restrictive territory.
Other Central Banks are guiding markets to cycles below their neutral weakening each of their respective domestic currencies against the dollar (for now).
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
Other Central Banks are guiding markets to cycles below their neutral weakening each of their respective domestic currencies against the dollar (for now).
labyrinthcapital.co.uk
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