Some thoughts around the current ‘cycle’
https://x.com/Crypto_Joe10/status/1890027710572909054
https://x.com/Crypto_Joe10/status/1890027710572909054
Crypto Joe
@cryptojoe100
Crypto Joe (English)
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Crypto Joe
10 Jan, 21:34
https://x.com/veildotcash/status/1877827571926053220?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
Coinbase integration :)
Coinbase integration :)
Crypto Joe
08 Jan, 23:05
Rare protocol highlight for me: $VEIL
Project : Tornado Cash on Base (with extra compliance layer)
Prices $5m market cap, $12m FDV
Macro thesis : Privacy becomes increasingly important in a world where AI unveils more on-chain.
—— Conservative, libertarian, pro-crypto US govt in power. I think they’ll make significant strides towards supporting rather than curtailing privacy on-chain. The political tides are changing.
https://x.com/naval/status/1866348722302652734?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
Micro thesis:
-> Tornado Cash, in current climate should be worth billions. It was made illegal and anyone that uses it blacklisted -> but it provides a crucial purpose of privacy on-chain (without being its own network).
—— Veil embeds their smart contracts but adds a preceding layer to prevent misuse (terrorism, laundering).
—> $Veil is backed by the Base team, particularly Jesse, that comes with coinbase too.
—- most interestingly Jesse hinted towards privacy payments being the default from coinbase. This is a significant statement.
—> Finally, the token itself trades at $5m market cap, which is priced cheap with $12m FDV. I think it has room to touch $1bn+ if privacy becomes more prevalent (which I think it will).
——Either way, it has a committed team, building something crypto needs at a very good valuation in the liquid market.
Very interested in this project, I think what they’re doing is genuinely important for the industry (I was thinking of building this myself and so have been tracking this project for a while).
Project : Tornado Cash on Base (with extra compliance layer)
Prices $5m market cap, $12m FDV
Macro thesis : Privacy becomes increasingly important in a world where AI unveils more on-chain.
—— Conservative, libertarian, pro-crypto US govt in power. I think they’ll make significant strides towards supporting rather than curtailing privacy on-chain. The political tides are changing.
https://x.com/naval/status/1866348722302652734?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
Micro thesis:
-> Tornado Cash, in current climate should be worth billions. It was made illegal and anyone that uses it blacklisted -> but it provides a crucial purpose of privacy on-chain (without being its own network).
—— Veil embeds their smart contracts but adds a preceding layer to prevent misuse (terrorism, laundering).
—> $Veil is backed by the Base team, particularly Jesse, that comes with coinbase too.
—- most interestingly Jesse hinted towards privacy payments being the default from coinbase. This is a significant statement.
—> Finally, the token itself trades at $5m market cap, which is priced cheap with $12m FDV. I think it has room to touch $1bn+ if privacy becomes more prevalent (which I think it will).
——Either way, it has a committed team, building something crypto needs at a very good valuation in the liquid market.
Very interested in this project, I think what they’re doing is genuinely important for the industry (I was thinking of building this myself and so have been tracking this project for a while).
Crypto Joe
25 Nov, 23:03
I think BTC breaks $100k in 2025, this may be an issue in 2026 or 2027
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1861183766103744649?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1861183766103744649?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
Crypto Joe
20 Nov, 12:42
Don’t forget that your job is to extract money from markets.
The market now is showing several signs of a mania phase, but the problem is the market has evolved. We’re no longer pumping random coins, and historic coins like in previous cycles. The supply of coins from Pump.Fun is high, and the way in which the market is interacting & engaging in them (including a lot of retail by the way) is very similar to mania.
So two things to take from this: 1) Evolve, the market isn’t the same as it use to. It requires you to be in the trenches buying hippo coins & dog coins & cat coins & memes. You can make a lot from a little if you learn the game 2) Extract money, regularly be taking profits. The market has basically gone up only for 2 years in a row. The market might continue to go uponly (it might not), but make sure to be taking profits where appropriate.
The goal of this market is to solidify yourself, your life, your friends, your family. You can’t do that if you don’t eventually TP parts of your portfolio & buy real world assets or yield bearing assets. This is important, don’t forget it.
The market now is showing several signs of a mania phase, but the problem is the market has evolved. We’re no longer pumping random coins, and historic coins like in previous cycles. The supply of coins from Pump.Fun is high, and the way in which the market is interacting & engaging in them (including a lot of retail by the way) is very similar to mania.
So two things to take from this: 1) Evolve, the market isn’t the same as it use to. It requires you to be in the trenches buying hippo coins & dog coins & cat coins & memes. You can make a lot from a little if you learn the game 2) Extract money, regularly be taking profits. The market has basically gone up only for 2 years in a row. The market might continue to go uponly (it might not), but make sure to be taking profits where appropriate.
The goal of this market is to solidify yourself, your life, your friends, your family. You can’t do that if you don’t eventually TP parts of your portfolio & buy real world assets or yield bearing assets. This is important, don’t forget it.
Crypto Joe
11 Nov, 10:28
Don’t forget to sell some magic internet beans to change your life..
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1855918584016322673?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1855918584016322673?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
Crypto Joe
08 Nov, 17:49
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1854942245428117973?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
It’s not obvious until hindsight hits you. The goal is always to be extracting value from the market if you’re successful. Markets can change, they’re inherently uncertain. Always worth securing your future
It’s not obvious until hindsight hits you. The goal is always to be extracting value from the market if you’re successful. Markets can change, they’re inherently uncertain. Always worth securing your future
Crypto Joe
06 Nov, 11:47
Seems to be following the squiggle. Red wave was inevitable. Looks to be a lot of leveragebeing added here, just be a bit careful..
Crypto Joe
23 Oct, 13:43
Update on the plan. That was indeed a buy the dip. I think we’ve naturally come into resistance.
Patience here I suspect some chop over next week or two ahead of the election indecision before continuation on a Donald victory.
Patience here I suspect some chop over next week or two ahead of the election indecision before continuation on a Donald victory.
Crypto Joe
22 Oct, 16:55
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1848769855815557178?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
Last time Paul Tudor Jones was constructive BTC was $9,000 and $26,000…
Last time Paul Tudor Jones was constructive BTC was $9,000 and $26,000…
Crypto Joe
02 Oct, 10:25
Very possible this is one of the last pullbacks pre-election.
I expect a red-wave (Trump Win) & I expect markets, and particularly crypto markets to follow.
I posted this chart in the chat attached to this channel at the end of August (shoutout to all the amazing people in there) . Looks to be interesting & playing out, thought I’d share publicly.
I’ve noticed we’re frontrunning more events into low liquidity. Largely due to increasing market knowledge/intelligence. This also leads me to believe future alt seasons will be very aggressive & much shorter.
I think the next 10 days could be one of the final shakeouts. If you made it this far, we’re almost there..
Edit: Loads of DMs asking for links to the chat: https://t.me/+fpjOd0SAi8VkMmQ0
I expect a red-wave (Trump Win) & I expect markets, and particularly crypto markets to follow.
I posted this chart in the chat attached to this channel at the end of August (shoutout to all the amazing people in there) . Looks to be interesting & playing out, thought I’d share publicly.
I’ve noticed we’re frontrunning more events into low liquidity. Largely due to increasing market knowledge/intelligence. This also leads me to believe future alt seasons will be very aggressive & much shorter.
I think the next 10 days could be one of the final shakeouts. If you made it this far, we’re almost there..
Edit: Loads of DMs asking for links to the chat: https://t.me/+fpjOd0SAi8VkMmQ0
Crypto Joe
29 Sep, 17:20
Next prediction, Doge hits $1 before end of cycle.
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1840441075283951808?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1840441075283951808?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
Crypto Joe
29 Sep, 17:19
Looks like I was spot on with this. BTC trading 20% higher, rest of market trading higher than this even..
Crypto Joe
06 Sep, 13:03
https://x.com/deitaone/status/1832033549240693212?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
NFP came in a small miss. I spoke about this on a podcast last week as something to be watching.
This was an important number that macro markets were placing a huge emphasis on. It was characteristically a ‘boring’ print. In this case, when the market has de-risked ahead of a key event, and the data is in-line with expectations, this is a signal for re-adding risk.
There are three more important events in September:
1) Presidential Debate - 10th September
2) CPI - September 12th
3) FOMC - September 19-20
The next 2 weeks are crucial in determining the trajectory for Q3 & 4. But I suspect this print could be a turning point, and turning points occur during specific events, not prices..
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1639965367840776198?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
NFP came in a small miss. I spoke about this on a podcast last week as something to be watching.
This was an important number that macro markets were placing a huge emphasis on. It was characteristically a ‘boring’ print. In this case, when the market has de-risked ahead of a key event, and the data is in-line with expectations, this is a signal for re-adding risk.
There are three more important events in September:
1) Presidential Debate - 10th September
2) CPI - September 12th
3) FOMC - September 19-20
The next 2 weeks are crucial in determining the trajectory for Q3 & 4. But I suspect this print could be a turning point, and turning points occur during specific events, not prices..
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1639965367840776198?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
Crypto Joe
31 Jul, 22:19
Believe in yourself. That’s the message.
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1818773521377444324?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1818773521377444324?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
Crypto Joe
30 Jul, 10:59
A personal update from me & why I’ve been quiet on Rug. Alas, we will back, thank you for the support always.
https://x.com/Crypto_Joe10/status/1818239629000110342
https://x.com/Crypto_Joe10/status/1818239629000110342
Crypto Joe
09 Jun, 11:12
We have a pretty vibrant community in our telegram chat, we chat ideas, alpha and it’s been going on for 5 years+
Would encourage you all to join in, link below :)
https://t.me/+jQ-KJR-TzvM3YWU8
Would encourage you all to join in, link below :)
https://t.me/+jQ-KJR-TzvM3YWU8
Crypto Joe
09 Jun, 11:11
A few thoughts on $MOG
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1799760705434096106?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
https://x.com/crypto_joe10/status/1799760705434096106?s=46&t=_7XSIq4v9z-tTNbRCvz60Q
Crypto Joe
25 May, 16:41
ETH still looks cheap to me at these levels..
https://x.com/Crypto_Joe10/status/1794408374932816210
https://x.com/Crypto_Joe10/status/1794408374932816210
Crypto Joe
19 May, 15:11
Required reading
https://cobie.substack.com/p/new-launches-part-1-private-capture
https://cobie.substack.com/p/new-launches-part-1-private-capture
Crypto Joe
09 May, 09:39
“Buy in 2023, Surge in 2024, Sell to institutions 2025”
https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1788371259287327136
https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1788371259287327136
Crypto Joe
01 May, 10:21
For those following TAO (Bittensor), I’ve had $350 marked on my hitlist for a while. I think this is a good level to be accumulating.
Generally, I think creating ‘baskets’ is pretty good. An AI basket would be like 10 AI coins, weighted by market cap (or whatever you have the most conviction in). TAO, being the biggest decentralised AI network is probably good to include in the basket.
AI still seriously underbid for now.
Generally, I think creating ‘baskets’ is pretty good. An AI basket would be like 10 AI coins, weighted by market cap (or whatever you have the most conviction in). TAO, being the biggest decentralised AI network is probably good to include in the basket.
AI still seriously underbid for now.
Crypto Joe
01 May, 09:54
I would be bidding spot $ENA here ~$0.80c. I think it will turn out to be good ETH beta as it’s a proxy for eth demand. ETH demand increases —> ETH funding increases —> ENA increases.
And I think ETH/BTC has bottomed, ETF rejection is largely priced in, and we may see upside relatively soon. I remain constructive ETH, and I think ENA is the best ETH beta that exists currently.
And I think ETH/BTC has bottomed, ETF rejection is largely priced in, and we may see upside relatively soon. I remain constructive ETH, and I think ENA is the best ETH beta that exists currently.
Crypto Joe
16 Apr, 16:15
Coinbase stock is a great bid here at $206, Target —> $600-700
ETHE is a great bid here at $21.60, Target —> $80-95
ETHE is a great bid here at $21.60, Target —> $80-95
Crypto Joe
16 Apr, 10:39
Expected value is the average outcome you can expect when performing actions. What actions can you take over a long period of time, to improve your chances of success.Having a positive expected value in any situation involving randomness or uncertainty means that, on average, you can expect a gain or benefit from that situation over many trials or repetitions.
Over time, it is far more beneficial to be positive & bullish. The best investors and traders are always bullish, not bearish. Be positive.
https://x.com/Crypto_Joe10/status/1780182757995430225
Over time, it is far more beneficial to be positive & bullish. The best investors and traders are always bullish, not bearish. Be positive.
https://x.com/Crypto_Joe10/status/1780182757995430225
Crypto Joe
13 Apr, 20:13
Peak FUD hit here. Majors hitting support on a weekend, and likely War fears overblown in short term.
Crypto Joe
08 Apr, 10:06
GM
The price is moving up but something feels very off.
Many altcoins are testing broken supports as resistance, fundings are increasing again and there are a lot of liquidity gaps below.
It wouldn't surprise me to see a strong reversal.
The price is moving up but something feels very off.
Many altcoins are testing broken supports as resistance, fundings are increasing again and there are a lot of liquidity gaps below.
It wouldn't surprise me to see a strong reversal.
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