CRYPTO 4 LIGHT

In simple words explained and create for you #ENA dashboard

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Friends, I want to show a visualization using STRK as an example—what if we are potentially expecting an altseason, but the token has dropped below the listing price, leading to an invalidation of the IAP model?

According to the rules, yes, the model is invalidated, and below the listing price, there is an absolutely empty zone—an open space for unrestricted freefall since there is no data to work with. No one knows the exact zone or price level where funds and market makers will decide to stop the decline. However, if the project remains active and continues to be listed on exchanges, all targets remain relevant. This is why visualization is important.

According to the model, if we stop at the first zone, the growth to the profit-taking area would be around 200%.
If the token drops into an optimal buy zone, the potential growth could be 400-500%, followed by new highs similar to the case of TIA and further upward movement.

If we fall even lower, then the growth from the lowest point to the profit-taking zone could bring more than 1200% in returns. This means that while the targets remain the same, the lower we fall, the harder they become to achieve. As a result, 1200% might already act as the final peak since, in percentage terms, this is a significant profit. This is similar to the case where, if the token had stopped in the first zone, a 1200% increase would have brought it to $11.
However, from the current lowest point, an $11 target for STRK would already mean over 6000% growth.

So, friends, after the invalidation of an idea, this visualization serves as a great tool for continuing to work with potential profit in percentage terms.
In previous cycles, altcoins grew conservatively by 2000-5000-10000%.
Now, with a massive number of tokens in the market, it's clear that setting conservative, realistic profit targets based on the last price where the token stabilizes is the best approach. Something to think about!

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immutable x updates #imx $IMX

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https://youtu.be/B4wBBfCRfwQ

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Big updates for #ICP $ICP

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https://youtu.be/ckGpS5KrKSw

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Wow! TradingView just rolled out a new feature!

Now you can create a watchlist and set an alert for all assets in that watchlist at once! For example, I just tested setting an alert for the Buy line level across all assets in my watchlist. I’m not sure exactly how notifications will be sent—probably separately for each token when the condition is triggered.

This feature is incredibly useful! Now I can create a watchlist for swing trade tokens, set alerts for key levels like Buy Line or Money Inflow, and get notified when any token reaches the target. It saves a lot of time since there's no need to manually set the same alert for each coin individually!

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Has the fundamental aspect of the Chia project changed since 2021? No! Have its concept, purpose, or utility changed? No!

A question for those who believe in fundamentals: if this is a project with strong fundamentals, how can its price drop from $2,000 to $7? #chia #xch

When the market starts rising, everyone will say, "See? It's because this is a fundamentally strong project!"—but in reality, we’ll just be moving from one liquidity pool to another, where Tier 1 and Tier 2 funds that bought in during 2020-2021 at unknown prices will simply offload their tokens onto retail investors once again.

Yes, Chia is one of those projects where I might look for an exit at break-even. All key targets remain relevant! But moving forward, I’ve learned one thing: fundamentals have absolutely no impact on price action on the chart.

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https://youtu.be/uLkMrBaUwXY

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🚨 Did Kraken acquire clues to Satoshi Nakamoto's identity? 🚨

According to Coinbase CEO Conor Grogan, 24 transactions were recorded from Satoshi-era addresses, with the most common destination linked to the Canadian exchange CaVirtEx.

🔎 Key details:
🔹 CaVirtEx was acquired by Kraken in 2016
🔹 If records were preserved, Kraken may hold key info about Satoshi
🔹 Satoshi’s last recorded activity on the network may date back to 2014

Could Kraken have pieces of the biggest crypto mystery of all time? 🤯

#Bitcoin #SatoshiNakamoto #Crypto #BTC #Kraken #Coinbase

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Take some time to watch the entire 40-minute podcast from start to finish! You can play it in the background and listen to the insights. Buy, hold, and sell are no longer as simple as they used to be! I'll share my thoughts on what I would do, what I am doing, and what I plan to do. Developing a strategy for investing in the crypto market right now—including the psychology behind investing. #education #crypto #podcast

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https://youtu.be/Aq27OQeenqQ

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If you want to visualize liquidity and understand why this "season" is different, imagine the market as a giant funnel:

1. Liquidity Flow Has Changed – Unlike previous cycles, where retail money poured in freely, this time institutions, funds, and insiders control the majority of capital. The easy retail-driven pumps are less frequent.

2. Distribution Over Hype – Before, hype alone could send alts to new all-time highs (ATH). Now, many tokens have high FDVs (fully diluted valuations), meaning early investors and insiders have large, unlocked bags to offload on retail.

3. Exit Liquidity is Scarce – If everyone is waiting for ATHs, who will be the new buyers? If the expectation is that altcoins will "eventually" reach previous highs, liquidity might not be there to support it at the levels traders hope for.

Key Differences This Cycle
- ETF-driven liquidity – Bitcoin dominance remains high, with institutional demand focused on BTC and ETH rather than speculative alts.
- Retail participation is weaker – Less fresh capital is entering the market compared to previous bull runs.
- Macro uncertainty – Trade wars, interest rate policy, and liquidity tightening affect overall market flows.

🔍 In 2022 marked, unfortunally during bull run (and yeas we are in a bull run but not in altseason) people will loose the same amount of money like in bear market! And marked not all alts will hit new ath! Showed million times examples on Dash, Iota, BCH (open charts 2018-2021) If you're waiting for every altcoin to reach new ATHs, it might be time to adjust your expectations. Liquidity isn't infinite, and this cycle's mechanics are fundamentally different. Better finish cycle with smaller profit but in profit than wait x100 for each token and stuck for next 3 years!

For newbies who perceives any non-native post as bearish and capitulation (its not a bearish post, no i dont think its an end of cycle)

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If I Had Only $1,000, These Are the 5 Cryptos I’d Bet On!

Don't take this video as financial advice. I've already posted detailed analyses of all these tokens. I just want to see what potential gains these five could offer if I were starting from scratch.

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https://youtu.be/M4c1XXeUXbk

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FTX will begin paying creditors on February 18

This is the Bahamian branch of the company.

Payments will be received by users who have claims of no more than $50,000. The rest will receive the money later.
I wouldn’t be surprised why, only now, after two years, people are miraculously starting to get their funds back—and only gradually!

Imagine yourself as a crypto investor who had their funds frozen on a scam exchange. When their assets were locked, Bitcoin was worth $16,000–$20,000. They watched helplessly as the market took off without them.

Now, they suddenly have the chance to recover $20,000–$50,000. What’s the first thing they’ll do? Most likely, they’ve already come to terms with their loss and covered their expenses over the past two years. So, they won’t use this money for their everyday life. Instead, they’ll pour it back into the crypto market—because they still want to make a profit!

At first, they won’t invest the full amount, but once they see potential market growth in the spring, not only will they reinvest those recovered funds, but they’ll likely add even more!

Then, around May or perhaps after summer, the bulk of the funds will start being returned to other investors. And those amounts will be even larger! Now, imagine what those investors will do—they’ll throw their money back into the market again! But this time, they’ll be entering a falling market, and they’ll suffer the most. Imagine waiting three years for a payout from a collapsed exchange, reinvesting in crypto, only to lose everything again—it would be devastating!

Two key emotions will be at play here:

Fear of missing out (FOMO)—"Everyone else made money, but I didn’t!"
Frustration and revenge trading—A desperate urge to make up for losses and punish this damn casino!
So, after the 18th, we’ll start seeing new (or rather, old) liquidity entering the market—the kind that has been missing for a proper rally. I expect some positive news to follow around that time.

Let’s just hope that the 10,000 armed Mexicans at the U.S. border don’t start a shootout! I assume you're keeping an eye on macro news?

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Worldcoin updates #wld #worldcoin

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https://youtu.be/WCq9CK3gUFo

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Updates for #Rune

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https://youtu.be/ETFZJa5kPGY

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First video was in August! In February we came to the zone of interest! Remember three things
1 - old patterns of asset behavior on the crypto market do not work, adapt
2 - Binance, Upbit listings are sales, not purchases
3 - IAP model works in 90% of cases

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https://youtu.be/3Y1MwRvn30c

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🤦‍♂️
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Recommend you to read about tariffs!
📈 - https://x.com/dgt10011/status/1886125163642552606
My targets for BTC personally for me relevant! For Alts also ETH/BTC pair targets, Btc dominance also.

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BTC and ETH on USA session open today and this week
🖤NY opening
🖤fund reaction
🖤ETH close 50% of the wick that was left below or sweep that low and go close the GAPs above

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Guys TradingView launched new The Leap competition! Where we can trade paper account and with prizes (real money or tradingview free plan upgrades)!
Its a demo accounts so youll loose nothing, but can practice
https://www.tradingview.com/the-leap/

My top investment mistakes in this cycle!
Since the portfolio is formed, I can say for sure that this is
BBL / Venom / XCH / GENE and probably DYDX because wasted time with this coin in a range.! 🙃
Yes, mistakes happened

Mistakes happen, the example with BBL is a great example that if there are large funds on board and a beautiful token idea, it means nothing! Venom, the same story) Entry points for venom and dydx of course imply possible profit since I bought low but the price still went more than -50%, then with bbl and chia it is most likely not a fact that I will even break even! Gene if they present anything at all about the game with their Tamagotchi)) maybe I'll be lucky enough to break even!
Break even for me would mean the possibility of a lucky chance to leave the token at 0 or with minimal losses, and even if the token continues to grow further, I won't look at this asset! Never again

Good experience that can be measured in numbers equivalent to USD)

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Key Events for This Week
In addition to trade wars, we have a few major events that will bring volatility! Time will tell whether the market moves up or down.

Right now, market sentiment is not just bearish—it looks like complete loss of faith in crypto. The mood is terrible, and maybe that’s exactly what the main players want to achieve! After all, here we have BlackRock, ETFs, and institutional moves behind the scenes.

At times like these, I always ask myself:
💭 What have "utility" projects been working so hard on for the last 3 years?
If after all that effort, their tokens are at historic bottoms, then what was the point?

🚨 Be careful with futures positions today, especially during the opening of the U.S. session!
🌍 I also expect a response from the European Union and China regarding Trump’s tariffs, which could trigger further market reactions!

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$2.24 billion in liquidations within 24 hours. I think we've only seen this level of liquidation twice before—during the FTX and Luna crashes.

Everyone was expecting some kind of black swan event. Even I thought a market collapse could be triggered by worsening geopolitical tensions, a new banking crisis in the U.S., the closure or scam of Binance, a major hack of Ethereum protocols, a U.S. crypto ban—anything! But in the end, the crash happened because of Trump’s decision on tariffs.

Who could have predicted that? No one! This is another clear example that we work with probabilities on charts, not certainties. We simply cannot foresee every real-world event that could suddenly push markets up or down.

Tomorrow, Xi Jinping could make a new statement. The European Union might impose tariffs on U.S. products. Trade wars certainly aren’t good for anyone. But the funniest thing is—what do virtual tokens have to do with any of this? 😂

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Btc dominance max pain. On dydx example i can confirm utility tokens useless. 3 years in a range and dump under 0.60. Just can congrats the devs 🎉 Next days based on this tariffs wars between countries ill check again my tokens targets and mark a few new one to out at break even. keep your shields up friends. mentally and maybe physically such moments are hard to bear but the market teaches us all the same and each one differently 🤝

if you want to see the altseason, visit the historical museum, myths and legends department #ALTSEASON 🫠😀

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Never say never! NOTcoin after 8 month came in first zone of interest! #notcoin #not

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https://youtu.be/kU13PVTbIBw

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Who’s Selling BIO If There Was No Airdrop?
Absolutely right to question this shady tokenomics and fundraising structure—it's one of the biggest issues in the current cycle. Let's break it down.

If there was no retail investment before listing, but the token is being dumped on the market immediately, then logically, someone had pre-listing access to those tokens. And if it's not public investors, it's:
- Funds that got in at private rounds (often undisclosed).
- Exchanges themselves, which might have received an allocation.
- Project teams and insiders, sometimes distributing tokens to various wallets to dump unnoticed.

BIO Case—Suspicious Timeline
- Undisclosed Binance Labs investment (Nov 2024) 🤔
- Listing on Binance (Jan 2025) 💰
- 30% untracked allocation with a vesting period—but no way to verify what’s actually being unlocked and sold.

That’s exactly how they game the system. They publish a vesting schedule to make it look like they’re locked in, but in reality, tokens are being funneled to undisclosed wallets and slowly dumped.

How the Industry Became Rigged for Insiders
1. No Public Access to Early Rounds: Unlike ICOs, where anyone could participate, now only select funds/institutions get in before listing.
2. Airdrop Manipulation: Some teams fake decentralized distribution, but in reality, they control the wallets and dump on retail.
3. Untrackable Fund Wallets: Vesting schedules are just a formality—large investors can spread tokens across multiple addresses to hide sales.
4. Exchanges Are Complicit: They profit from trading fees and early investment rounds, so they have zero incentive to protect retail investors.
5. Insane FDVs: They list projects at crazy valuations ($1B+ FDV) because they know early investors will sell immediately and cash out.

Why Regulation is Needed
Back in the ICO days, things were at least transparent—anyone could join, and the process was public. Now, it’s all behind closed doors, controlled by a handful of funds and exchanges that sell directly to retail without disclosure.

This is why so many projects dump 70-90% post-listing—they’re just exit liquidity for insiders. And this cycle is much worse than previous ones.

If you’re not in the pre-listing round, you’re the exit liquidity for those who were. Always check tokenomics, early funding rounds, vesting schedules, and whether tokens are actually being locked—or just distributed in ways we can’t track.

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A Message to Market Newcomers: Adapting to a Changing Crypto Landscape

Friends, especially those who have recently entered the market! Let me be direct—previous cycles were easier. The 2020-2021 market, even with the COVID crash, now looks like a fairy tale. Back then, we had a quick -60% collapse, a rapid recovery, some sideways action, and within five months, new all-time highs across the board.

But today? Things are different. There are millions of tokens flooding the market, brutal sell-offs from funds right after listings, and—perhaps the most painful factor—time exhaustion.

So congratulations, newcomers! You’ve entered at a time you’ll never forget. This brutal experience will shape you, and I doubt anything will surprise you in the next cycle. Even seasoned veterans are panicking, unsure what to do. I wrote about this in 2023—this cycle is breaking old patterns, and even those who have been in the game for years are struggling to adapt.

Before, the formula was simple:

- Money flowed into Bitcoin.
- After a correction or sideways movement, dominance dropped.
-Liquidity moved to Ethereum.
- From Ethereum, altcoins pumped.
- The cycle ended with meme tokens.
Now? Bitcoin and meme tokens are leading the charge. Bitcoin dominance has been above 50% for over a year, and there's no clear sign of liquidity flowing into Ethereum. The old rules are gone. Adaptation is the only way forward.
Read this 2 posts
https://t.me/crypto4lightchats/15348

https://t.me/crypto4lightchats/15540

By 2028, new patterns will emerge. The market can’t fall forever—just like it can’t rise forever. If you’re holding assets, mark your exit points. For some, even breaking even may be the best move, and I’ll likely do the same on some positions.

I still believe in Spring 2025, but right now, be cautious. Avoid impulsive buys just because you think the bottom is close—after all, there could be another -90% drop after the "bottom."

Everything will improve—most likely. But remember how you feel now. Watch the market’s sentiment. When the panic fades and euphoria returns, recall this moment and understand that mastering emotions is just as important as mastering the charts.

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Bome updates #bome #memecoins

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🇸🇻El Salvador officially revokes Bitcoin's status as legal tender
Reason: agreement with the IMF
BTC had this status for four years in this country, which was the first in the world to introduce Bitcoin as an official means of payment. 🤡
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Trump meme token, almost at the interest zones! My personal opinion, I don't think that the project was created as a scam, but I also don't think that the token will be used somewhere in something serious! The token fell by 70% and I will remind you that it is a meme token, but at the same time the super project Manta fell by 86%, so what is the difference? In fact, exchanges do not care what to add for trading! They just need more users and commissions from trading! And whether it will generate a meme token of the president, a toad, a dog or an RWA project is no longer important to them #Trump #crypto

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#THE - CLICK
A Huge Problem of This Cycle!

1. Too many tokens—an overwhelming amount, and not just meme tokens.
2. Airdrops have brought nothing beneficial to the industry; even ICOs were a more honest way to launch tokens.
3. Tokens are launched with insane FDVs and market caps, with a massive gap between them.
4. Funds and exchanges that invested in seed rounds from 2022 to 2024 simply dump their tokens immediately after listing.
5. Even when price levels reach their zones of interest or entry points, they don’t reinvest back into the project but instead move funds into new seed rounds for new projects. This leaves the original project with empty hopes and false promises of having fundamental value.
6. Large investors use the launch of new altcoins to shift liquidity into ETFs and Bitcoin, keeping Bitcoin dominance at high levels.

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🔷 I think ETH will reach new ath, targets showed in video. Double check eth/btc pair, global chart since 2015, everything what my indicators shows now on W and M, ethereum dominance chart!

🟥 Watch FULL video now🟥
https://youtu.be/tHko9mbxHS0

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