Bitcoin video analysis https://x.com/StanFXTrading/status/1878939822783602881
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ApexBull.com
10 Jan, 13:31
NFP December 2024 256k vs 165k exp.
Pr 227k.
Unemployment rate 4.1% vs 4.2% exp/pr.
Participation rate 65.5% vs 62.5% exp/pr.
Wages 3.9% vs 4.0% exp/pr y/y.
Pr 227k.
Unemployment rate 4.1% vs 4.2% exp/pr.
Participation rate 65.5% vs 62.5% exp/pr.
Wages 3.9% vs 4.0% exp/pr y/y.
ApexBull.com
09 Jan, 20:33
โExpectations of economic losses stemming from the fires have more than doubled since yesterday to closer to $50 billion, and we estimate that insured losses from the event could exceed $20 billion (and even more if the fires are not controlled),โ JPMorgan wrote in a note to clients.
ApexBull.com
09 Jan, 15:27
The stock market will be closed amid a national day of mourning in honouring former US president Jimmy Carter
ApexBull.com
06 Jan, 15:01
Take profit on 1/2 of your position at the current price for 16 pts. StopLoss at your Entry - Risk Free Trade Now.
ApexBull.com
25 Dec, 01:26
MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE & HAPPY HOLIDAYS ๐
๐ฒโ๏ธโ๏ธ๐โ๏ธ
ApexBull.com
21 Dec, 19:41
good thread https://x.com/frankoz95967943/status/1870470934106444245
ApexBull.com
20 Dec, 19:00
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSD/idrCKq2Y-ETHUSD-ETHEREUM-LONG-IDEA/
ApexBull.com
18 Dec, 19:12
The Summary of Economic Projections showed that FOMC members expect two additional cuts for all of next year according to average estimates, compared to a full percentage point in the last projection from September.
expected 4 cuts now only 2
USD flying
expected 4 cuts now only 2
USD flying
ApexBull.com
11 Dec, 12:09
https://www.jpmorgan.com/content/dam/jpmorgan/documents/wealth-management/outlook-2025-building-on-strength.pdf
ApexBull.com
02 Dec, 00:22
https://x.com/mayhem4markets/status/1863223215163658552?s=46&t=D4e4aKZfq9Dv7Z9VJxrdgA
ApexBull.com
14 Nov, 00:22
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DAYWCBDyXEB/?igsh=MXhvZHc3OGxwYWpweQ==
ApexBull.com
06 Nov, 14:21
Doing live trading 9:30 US market open www.discord.gg/fundingtraders
ApexBull.com
30 Oct, 14:42
Main bullets via JPM from their IMF/World Bank Fall Meetings:
Possibility of a Red Wave is underestimated, and domestic and foreign policy consequences could be material.
In the event of a Trump 2.0 administration, the impact from a tariff war 2.0 could be much higher than during Trump 1.0.
Geopolitical risks are trumping macro risks and driving industrial policy at the expense of trade.
Higher for longer is underpriced and rate cutting cycles are not a given as divergences are overtaking common shocks as the key cyclical driver.
Fiscal sustainability is now accepted as a long-term challenge, but there is no political will or sense of urgency to act.
There are growing concerns that the European economic model is broken, not just in need of reform.
China is no longer a mainstream investment and greater stimulus is not enough to restore confidence and global portfolio flows.
Gold is the commodity of choice for hedging the US elections with downside risk to oil prices into 2025 under either Harris or Trump.
EM as an asset class will struggle more under Trump 2.0.
Productivity gains due to AI adoption cannot yet be quantified, but transformative impact should not be underestimated.
Possibility of a Red Wave is underestimated, and domestic and foreign policy consequences could be material.
In the event of a Trump 2.0 administration, the impact from a tariff war 2.0 could be much higher than during Trump 1.0.
Geopolitical risks are trumping macro risks and driving industrial policy at the expense of trade.
Higher for longer is underpriced and rate cutting cycles are not a given as divergences are overtaking common shocks as the key cyclical driver.
Fiscal sustainability is now accepted as a long-term challenge, but there is no political will or sense of urgency to act.
There are growing concerns that the European economic model is broken, not just in need of reform.
China is no longer a mainstream investment and greater stimulus is not enough to restore confidence and global portfolio flows.
Gold is the commodity of choice for hedging the US elections with downside risk to oil prices into 2025 under either Harris or Trump.
EM as an asset class will struggle more under Trump 2.0.
Productivity gains due to AI adoption cannot yet be quantified, but transformative impact should not be underestimated.
ApexBull.com
29 Oct, 02:41
https://x.com/stanfxtrading/status/1851091484239442112?s=46&t=D4e4aKZfq9Dv7Z9VJxrdgA
ApexBull.com
11 Sep, 12:58
"When the QQQโs 100-day returns lag the S&P by a statistically significant amount such as has just occurred, it usually goes on to outperform by more than average over the next 100 trading days.
When the QQQโs trailing 100-day returns underperform the S&P by 1 and 2 standard deviations, it goes on to outperform by 3.8 and 5.1 points, respectively, over the next 100 days. Both are above the long run average of 2.1 points, but still within the normal distribution of relative returns" (Bepsoke)
When the QQQโs trailing 100-day returns underperform the S&P by 1 and 2 standard deviations, it goes on to outperform by 3.8 and 5.1 points, respectively, over the next 100 days. Both are above the long run average of 2.1 points, but still within the normal distribution of relative returns" (Bepsoke)
ApexBull.com
11 Sep, 12:57
"The yen carry trade was a vestige of the pandemic period of free money. As the BOJ has only just started monetary tightening, it makes sense that financial markets are coming under pressure. We expect tamer inflation pressures in Japan and stronger growth data in the US to prevent the yen from strengthening dramatically from here" (Yardeni)
ApexBull.com
06 Sep, 12:31
U.S. Aug. Nonfarm Payrolls: 142K, [Est. 164K, Prev. 114K]
Aug. Unemployment Rate: 4.2%, [Est. 4.2%, Prev. 4.3%]
Aug. Average Hourly Earnings (MoM): 0.4%, [Est. 0.3%, Prev. 0.2%]
Aug. Average Hourly Earnings (YoY): 3.8%, [Est. 3.7%, Prev. 3.6%]
Aug. Unemployment Rate: 4.2%, [Est. 4.2%, Prev. 4.3%]
Aug. Average Hourly Earnings (MoM): 0.4%, [Est. 0.3%, Prev. 0.2%]
Aug. Average Hourly Earnings (YoY): 3.8%, [Est. 3.7%, Prev. 3.6%]
ApexBull.com
27 Aug, 14:03
Why is Powell suddenly so dovish?
In short, maybe Fed Chair Jerome Powell wants to keep his job. His born-again dovishness during Jackson Hole reminds us of his dovish stance during the pandemic, which earned him a second term from President Joe Biden. Powellโs second term is up in May 2026, and his governorship ends in January 2028. That means he would be up for one more renomination as chair.
In short, maybe Fed Chair Jerome Powell wants to keep his job. His born-again dovishness during Jackson Hole reminds us of his dovish stance during the pandemic, which earned him a second term from President Joe Biden. Powellโs second term is up in May 2026, and his governorship ends in January 2028. That means he would be up for one more renomination as chair.
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