Foreign Policy Magazine

FP: With the U.S. presidential election less than two months away, and a 50/50 chance that Donald Trump will return to the White House, many observers around the world want to know what to expect from a second Trump administration when it comes to foreign policy. As the author of a recent book on Republican foreign policy and a leader at a Washington-based think tank, I field questions almost every day from diplomats, journalists, and business executives looking for insights into a Trump 2.0 administration, writes Matthew Kroenig

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FP: Oct. 7th, 2023 brought about five major changes that will shape dynamics in the Middle East for years to come.

FP: By not holding both sides accountable, Washington’s diplomatic efforts have surrendered all moral authority and credibility, Allan J. Wind argues.

FP: Now is an ideal opportunity to destroy Iran’s nuclear program, columnist @matthewkroenig argues.

FP: As the first anniversary of the Oct. 7 attack and the ensuing Israel-Hamas war approaches, the prospects of peace seem less likely than ever. FP asked six experts to explain whether they think the conflict is closer to its beginning or its end.

FP: On what #Iran wanted out of its missile attack on Israel. Tuesday’s missile attack by Iran was a risky maneuver, but it was not a knee-jerk reaction. It reflects a more complex calculation in Tehran.
"Iran’s goal is not so much to deter Israel, but to compel the United States to do so." writes @vali_nasr

FP: Tunisia holds a presidential election on Oct. 6 that is expected to be the final nail in the coffin of the first democracy to emerge from the 2011 Arab Spring protests, @nosmotg reports.

FP: Netanyahu and his backers (including some Americans) want to transform the Middle East with military force. George W. Bush tried to do that too. Given the damage that Israel’s armed forces and intelligence services have inflicted on its various adversaries, it’s not surprising that Netanyahu is taking a victory lap. Just as George W. Bush did, columnist @stephenWalt writes.

FP: Pakistan is experiencing a fresh surge in tensions between Imran Khan's PTI & the civilian/military leadership, with Khan calling for more protests and PTI escalating its rhetoric--even as it faces ever-intensifying crackdowns. Pakistan’s opposition leader Imran Khan has called for protests across Punjab province this weekend in response to constitutional amendments that would increase government control. writes @MichaelKugelman

FP: Netanyahu looks more securely in power than he has at any time in the past year. Yet the politics of Oct. 7 may very well frustrate his ambitions, David E. Rosenberg writes.

FP World Brief: Israeli soldiers are killed in ground clashes with Hezbollah, Ukraine announces new weapons production goals, and deadly storms devastate parts of the United States and Taiwan.

FP: As Israel plans its response to Iran, Biden is attempting a diplomatic Hail Mary. For the United States, the question is whether Biden can prevent a politically hazardous escalation with little over a month to go in a very tight U.S. presidential election, columnist @michaelphirsh writes.

FP: U.N. Resolution 1701 was a great idea—if only Lebanon had been able to curb Hezbollah.

FP: As we mark the first year of the Israel-Hamas war and the escalating crisis on another front between Israel and Hezbollah, nowhere is the United States’ leverage problem more stunningly and tragically apparent, @aarondmiller2 writes.

FP: One-sided U.S. policy leaves Palestinians and aid workers vulnerable while Israel acts with impunity.

FP: Jimmy Carter is the only U.S. president to reach the milestone of celebrating a 100th birthday, and his centenary is an appropriate moment to reflect upon his presidency and his handling of foreign policy, columnist @stephenwalt writes.

FP: Checking Russia’s and China’s influence requires promoting good governance abroad, Sen. @ChrisMurphyCT writes.

FP: Since the Israeli airstrike, a small village has largely emptied of people—except for those still digging up the dead. Homes have been abandoned, and roads are eerily quiet. Residents of southern Lebanon no longer feel safe as the front line inches closer, @stephglinski reports.